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Ken Knapp 1 Chris Hennon 2 Carl Schreck 3 Scott Stevens 3 Paula Hennon 3

Citizen Scientists and Tropical Cyclone Activity. 3. 1. Ken Knapp 1 Chris Hennon 2 Carl Schreck 3 Scott Stevens 3 Paula Hennon 3. 2. Collaborators - evad 00soupcat 0zeros 1223 13asiclait 18jdt01 2017fub 2017guzmb 2017katze

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Ken Knapp 1 Chris Hennon 2 Carl Schreck 3 Scott Stevens 3 Paula Hennon 3

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  1. Citizen Scientists and Tropical Cyclone Activity 3 1 Ken Knapp1 Chris Hennon2 Carl Schreck3 Scott Stevens3 Paula Hennon3 2

  2. Collaborators -evad00soupcat 0zeros 1223 13asiclait 18jdt01 2017fub 2017guzmb 2017katze 2017mcevj 2017phils 2017randa 2017trant 2017trantr 2017whinc 2017zhanj 2017zimmg 2018Schar 2018bellc 2018biroe 2018fengd 2018flyna 2018fonsd 2018groua 2018harra 2018heinc 2018jacom 2018jafra 2018kathe 2018krusr 2018meikm 2018philj 2018ruizm 2018russm 2018sawys 2018thoms 2018vazqa 2019carel 2019chany 2019gordd 2019guias 2019komas 2019patts 2019rutll 2019smitt 2019trisi 2019trisj 2019vickn 2019waldm 2019wiesm 256538 25or6to4 3Simplex 53toms 59Ballons 7bratz7 7yukari7 @nn1e k@ye AGBielawa AL150N AMealsAcebulf Acheron-494 AdddiAdoGreenAeniahAenimaAgentQ Aggie92 Airik Al James AlanNokesAlexMoisanAlexxMontoya Alialamo98 Anaclaudia AnakiraAndrewTurner AndyC123 AnniebananieAntonyAAntstepArchi Ardric47 Arlon Arundada Astarte AstraeusAstroskylarkAtacca Athena666 AuCAuKNiFeAuclovk AukeSchuringaAuronessAutter Aymeric_1 BLC01 BMisuBTBisceglia BWD316 Badoney38 Barbara Irene Bart Lutin-SmetBay_gchanBeccaDMBelana Ben_W87 BetelgeuSeginus Bishop92 BjahrensBlackHoleMan Blanco202 BlarneyPhone BlipBlap_of_the_CosmosBlueHand BlueHen09 Bluedew Bob Roach BoolitsBorokai BosonwigsBoynserBrettLarsenBrianmpBrindhaKanniahBrown.AHBuddhaDave ByronFortescue C-nymph CWMiller2 CahethelCalJames Camda5585 Captain Geronimo Captain Video CaptainBreakfastCarlington Caro Carty75 Casbot Casna51 Catherinek Chanters Charles the Great CherrylannChewie_DoneneaChocoholic_Jedi Chocolate_69 ChrisJaybles ChrisMM76 Chrissie3003 Christian ReinbothClaireCiaran ClippertonCoanbuCocaBigMac Coelacanth ColdasIceColeenBCoolMike Core Xii CosmosV. CountGeiger CrazyC83 CrazyCarlFunkCrimsonVixenCris_RamosCrissieH CruuuxCrystaWolf CrystalSisson@gmail.com CyberchipzCybrTed Cyclone90 CycloneSteveCycloneTomD.SchroederDCJoeS DEVO DVus1 DanDuddyDanValentineUSA Daphne Nash Briggs DarkwolfdemonDaveybhoy David Steidl Dawn0902 Denkol DennisGlowackiDevonWilliamsDiluviusDinoc Dinoguy1000 DiscoNixonDoctorWhooo DontheseekerDooblerDotyro Doug Bristol Doug49 Dr. Nicholas Rush DronakDstaffa Dtothesquared@gmail.com DufferzDuniverseDylzuzu EP88 Early_BirdEasthill Ed GrauEinhardElisabethBElizabethmchristyElminEmeraldisEmperorMooseEnirel EquixorErorrErythroUnisEskapp Eukaryote49 Ewout.130cc Ex103 FantasticBauke FeCafeFergie Fezman92 FinalEclipseFireFighterRB Fireside12 FlashstepFleiger FloraflorafloraFoliantFoylefiendFrancisAstro Francisco De Leon Frankensport FreedSpiritFritsKoek Froststar1 FrungoFunnybones G4m3rMatt GITO69 GabyB GaganeshGarlion Garrison1994 Gazing40 GeekletteGeognomeGeosageGizmomcS Glen Baron GmanearleyGoldiGrantWishes Green-Eyes GreenWave Greenstar37 Grendel72 Grimjar Grimms7 Grisou Grossi1990 GuauGudHaberleyHanny Hans-Juergen Wagner Harizanov Havok10 Haydonhay@gmail.com HazmoHeavenPunisher HeggiedjHelenogHeliceHoosierGenHughes_MattHurricaneGeorgiaHurricaneTracker HurricanehinkHyrinaIgnirisIgor_LIkertza Imba4life ImtokIngolme Isabel Silva IsabelitaJAColickIII JGann04 JJARS JS_99_2000 JScottL Jack Wales Jakobswede JasonJasonJay.Duffy Jchristo75 JcjohnsonJeeganJeffNWJennBrummageJeshyr Jetstar503 JimBiardJimmyMillJmpelisseroJnoelle Joanne9 Joe Fogey Johanson69 John Jo JohnathanJohnson18 JohnnySmr Jolly Rodger Jonahman10 Jonathan Markham Jonsku99 Jordan2929 Josiah SimesJota_Pex JuddaMan87 JudgeJudiJudiBlue Julesmarie13 Julia Bateson JupiterMercury87 JupiterN Jwa81197 Jwb52z K1ERO KBrozKELairdKGuerin KJDL80 KLBusbyKPeregrineKWillett Kaizer0510 Kalahira KandosiiKarpantraxKateKrz Kateb999 KatherineNicoleKatiaLightningKatieEMHodge Kayaker12 Kealani Kellta2 KenE Kendar05 Keoni3876 Kerry_WallisKhalilaRedBird Kia C Kielsey17 KikiNiebKilian_TexKillzzy Kim TrykaKimDoddKnappster Konfusius Koos83 Kramb.AndrewKucanaKukbalamKypdurronKythen LFALLONSFALLON LPJeckleyLaGeographe Labrat1978 LaneMcConnell Larry98513 LeeWxLeebrownell LenticularisLiamIrwinLiamT Lightbulb500 LilygwenLinsleyboxillLissyNumber LittlevoiceLizArm Look4Star Lookingfrlife67 Lucas OrellLucretiuSimetry LucyitSwD Luke Fitzpatrick LyaneLydiaJLynnNoE M.GOURAN MAR.S MEANA MECU MJNL MSUSpartanMacTomasMad_Mac Mag84illfully MageritMahmothMamaganoush Mano2010 Mantukeliukas Manuel Contrras Marco95 Marcos R Marlex Matara28 MattiaVerga Matty-Gee Mbrig24 McArt Me2! MegaStarFingerMeggersMelRodgersMelonSponge MemmoloMessingzoowolf Metronb511 Mhill09 MichkovMikeNGarrettMikeySansMimski MjtbarrettMoezillaMojojanoMomofunkMorsonrMortysha Mote Mountainkayak MrCohenMrGrisherMrstressMuonNeutrinoMuppers N77 NCStateMMY NEZ1 Nakaza NaynTrolacNearlyNeville Nessan007 Nicholas C. NightOwl2120 Nightwolfdreams NoobinouNorboy OBAFGKM Oats Oceanowl Offler1968 OharrisOnegoodturnOozyzoozy Oscar1959 PDee78 PILIRANO PJ-RTS Palindrom Pallas Pam Tonothy Pascal24 Patricio AllairePaulMetcalfePerseiPex Pier PietroFerrettiPogomonPozmol Prateek1 PrincessMilissa Pskr810 PsychildePunkymonkeyQuia RJ Pippitt RJK75 RJT185 RPolkinghorneRaffa Ramian1 Ran-chanRandomAct Rasputin13 Raven Vasquez ReeReeRenesisRhenny Rhianna22_8 Rhiazz Ricardo.130cc Roadski Robert Pick RoberxRobotboyRoburRockgirlRocktimusPrimeRolliRorrkeRoyalHoekRunninblind RussellVRyuski S00Z SCOUSER1964 SEAN DIGWEED SS Ohio Sa7elli7e Sagala SailorM4ev Saint.MariaSajelSalaster Sam0288 SannaL-FIN SatyrTN Schleicher65 Scott A. Cook Sea Bear SeanMichaelSeanTaylorSejjSelbySmithSemperFyrSetyrh SevereWeatherLoverSgtTwisterShandeeVShellypm Shigeru SierraRSSilverTips Silverspeck Simonw92 SipolandisSirListerOfSmegSkrattSkyWarn UK Slamguitar SlidingerSlivedogSlyTManSmerbySmurphetteSnowflakeDragonflySnupps Soana21 Socjon SpaceDave11 SpacedManSpaghettiOfPork Spherical SpinifexStarwoman Stella07 Struck SunfisherstarSunglSuperScienceSuperTiger Supereggman2000 Supernova56 SusannaGSusieKay_ Swampguts Sway787 Sylverone TERESA DAWN KRESS TT_monkey1912 TalasTeachEarthSpaceTheAugieTheGlassesGirlTheLastCicada TheNerdTheSansManTheTomiTheWildAmericaThomaubThreeStars Thyme Lawn Tihana TjobbeTmims TomTaylor94 TonyMazz TornadoFreak1994 TrananTrappercat Tredegar TropicalAnalystwx13 TsavoTucnace Tvex09 U.N.K UcuriUganalandiaUnseenAlchemist Unsuitable Urd VSC VarithVeegeeVeja-Du Venisor2 Veridian 4 VictoriaLT Vinokurov ViperSRT3g Vzlascience12 WRobertWadjetWar_SpigotWeatherYoteWebsd WhitepineWildflowerSchool Wimfan2000 Witgren Woo-H 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asterix135 astrochuastrodavidataltosatflytrapathenaswisdom atomic7732 atomj123 atpcliffatteneriaufelipeaugustlepique aurelie1991 avatarricardo1 avendano123 aws5622 awt129 azwing b n ross b3nwasher badgoes bakerb845 bakerhartbalp banaga333 banan2010 banluilbarbiegoth barbw4 barnard5555 bartronsxbasilarisbassmasturbassophilebawahtanahbboland bcaruthers04 bcoopermanbeawitch becks688 becquerel235 beekaybeepynoise bella118 ben clew ben de la vegaben.mannie benners36 beromebertieboy bethanmichael02 bethany79 betsy71 bezowabfotinobieslook big wind big.glass97 bigomoebigwolbillgbillbillmanderbillygsmithbillymac binaflavia1234 binifra bj430 bjones125 bkossik black cat blade400 bleedsgreen44 bliedtke blue0424 blue72 bluemuffin78 bluereefblueseaterbmercer bmercer@nccer.org bmoraes boatwrightlaw bobbie101 bobbinman1 bobbrownctbobdevinebobinkybofflesboglam bohne2k7 bolus bolzeniusboradbordenerborderewebosists bosox107 botanybird botster1 boukenpurpleboweboxbot bpb42 bpedersenbrandenpearson brandonova1 brandzai braves breezesj brenton.whitenoise@bigpond.com bretarnbrettkliner brianenglerbrian-c brian2994 brian_cyclone_split_testbriandaybrianparham bridge2nowhere brlee101010 bruced39 bschultz@ymail.com bsheehanbsperlin bstewart7 bsyur bt904 bthayer25 bubbleguppybuckadillabudalu buj2012 bum_ishnessbumishnessbunyasakaiburkinabvanbwblythe c19950209@126.com cagriakyurtcaliburPLcall_apple caller cameron.halecamillercaminodelbar campbell_juliecamstibcamwegcandace M caouiccapndykecappacaptbrs carl_schreckcarlosblancos carlosz22 carol stablercarquettecarrotsnmysox cathcollins cattues9 cch001 cdeuso cdg-76 cdlea3 cecilia.bergmancecilplcekull centavo cfr040304 cgongch!l! chaacattacchadadachallchapin.seancharlei chatlnchdemchelmschibituschichartchinagreen chip592 chmielcholdarchollow chomczas chris19 chris_h2 chrisfilliechrisotahalchristina-d.c. chriswen chriswinston1 chubbj ciber71 cjandkpckallayclabingerclacyclaireschmieder claprade79 clay strauserclevb clibby34 cmason50 cmzarzar coasterfreak2208 cocolocoblondiecodeknittercolinskicolinuxcolliedogcommhealycoralee coronas cosmicphilcpuquaeler cquadrini56 crawls crazytuxcritenourcrouthamelacscites cslowrycthomascummulonimbus curious53 cvalle44 cwalker15 cyclonekid97 cygnusloopcyzaki d0123h dabiggreenbusdaburna_ErrorDupUsername dadamson45 daffy dalife damian2049 danachdaneelolivawdangerouslemur daniel549 daniel_gravier danieljohnsondarktruth darson1 darthnick dastu08 datapedavewilldavid.gilbert davidmilldavynci dawn clarkedawnraderdazlari dbarnes1944 dbelcher1987 dcardo dcdeyoungddowchesdeafjeremydeanbrah deb925 deely22 deidre116 deisythebest@hotmail.es deivad delphinius2 delsimdematardesertwitch devilofabirddiablovenusdianafaggdianaharffeydianasaturninodiegopinhas diegobarandalla diegor15 dimdamdomdiojoedirk.valk dirt ditieridivabat djbristowdjescreetdjhessledjleoxdjsimisterdlr dm712 dmedlock dmitri4 dmoola dmr19588 dnbutlerdoconnor domegirl89 donsgirl1983 doomweaverdoraydoriazul dorothy smith dprice22340 dragoffire dragoon22 drain211@hotmail.com drakenmaster drphilmarshalldrtb dtr8tm dtylerdumsolusduncancidurgisdwardio e-hut7 e2Paul e3v1h6 eagle819 earthenergie earthrise8 ebakkalecaldwellecameronofms eckhoclark23 economastereddieadolfedmanleyedpagetedwardvanderboschefockkk egallanteikwareitaraekkehardekpasxselfinelvineliotestonelisabeth ellenklicka ellipsis6 elowitzremazza emeraldgirl503 emmarkg emmy.hoyes@gmail.com emoduloremtheplumber endall13 enforcer68 enotswolley enrialbe enry01 epburtoneperdomoericacainericbeaujardericfw erin.hendrix1 erzogen es5nhc eschereality eschroeder129 esedaeshaftoeugenewatsonevanthia evel_chihuahuaewhalley explore@setilive.com eye1der fabianobasfabonnelly fairchdr fairport9 fallenfruit farmer8587 farrellyfarriderfaylackeyfcca fchb2u ferlab fetter04 fezzikfgmikemorrisonfidianfilbyp fingerprint82 firedrake firehorse2012 firemanjerseyfirepigfishiefoofjfarrfjfzcghflagusco flemingcra flying duck fonzie3b foxmaniac frania86 franklin tellezfransm frantzn fred5844 fretless fritscsjfroboyfroesccnfsaintpierre fuchsia fudgeballfulikalterfunishmentfunkylegosfussycatfuzzyampgabrielapetriegana gandalfwannabegazelongbedollagdstraus gelkaim320 gellybeangeminijogeopablo geos gerdublan ggormley@gmail.com gillianmgillskill giova95 gipsyeyes giraffequeengissparsilegkn gliese67 gloworm glyph250 gmcnielgmonteferrante gmpartsgnowickignuggetgordonrgorilligot_milkgpsmd graffixx808 grammawatch grantalegrayflangreatguardgrebil-bizotgreenjinjo greenwatch44 greghilton grimkin grinch1000 grosbeak grun85 gseetogseroka gstanz67 gtracz gumpd1234 gun88 gurrisisalvgwrushgyudgyu h9yadav hadron collider halldamir ham236 handsi hanpa11 hanson_m happy5214 hardglovehaskielrhaswainhatchetwolfhausmans haveaswisshawkeyezz hayley064 hayward57 hberkshireheinikienhelen_butland hellsbadassheloheheltnahendynycoedhennonhenrylauhervherwech hestie3 hinmansarahhippydreamerhitachiinkaoruhjmckanehmichon hoaxed hodagiahoddy holaboy7 hollandmhoofdee hopkins75us horstHP hpatss1 hubbahubba2112 hukonomics humanzoo hunter47175 huskiebearhydrisshypatia iaia92 ian beer ianhodgson ianhfciascriptifiiigb.igaigorvihilanimatstersijunzzangiksylarilektrionas illiteratiilseimjustanuthagalinfantryfiremaninomyabcsipuppyirawyn irenebaldwinironoceanirussellisnochysitullisiyktynjabawockjabezcreed jack123456 jack9515 jackknife jackool99 jacobcreamer jadin04 jagadishkrjaiket jaimectrs jak0203 jakobwilton jamac41 jamegajan.dutertejanetcwest janitasimpsonjanledermanjaquejajarnoburgerjaroslavpjasfjasonandlexie jasonkauf jasontitus8 jastoerksjatorre java jakejaybachjayptjbhalperjborck jbregy1 jbrich jccwrt1990 jcredberryjcrscott jd2207 jdax57 jdemersjebyrnes jeevanjee jeffjones61 jegrjemerson jenglish13 jenmitch00 jenner247450 jennie.withersjennyaeljeremywongjgrahamf jguerrero37 jha40954 jhannagan jhruskajiggsjiipee jikrov923 jimlbertojimmywaltz jimreynolds46 jims26615 jinxo jinxxx07 jiyoung1263 jjalnosjjcyclonejjfrench jjj4726 jjrennie jk1930 jkgraham@gmail.com jkrumholtzjlawrimo jlc6687 jli_guyjlynesjmantz jmartin344 jmeredith jmg378s jmme jmpatrick54 jmpatton2 jmpinsonOX jmz12345 jntkwx joaobotelhojoejoezzjoemerch john spears john-hetheringtonjohn.ewald johncrowtherjohnhoppyjohnjlujan jojof1 jonath43 jonathannorton jonelu1 jonfetterdeggesjooliargh jordao1 jorge.corredor josh55408 joshandrews25@hotmail.co.uk joze03 jpb390 jpgmonizjpiquardjprivadojquinlan jray jrichman38 jrmichae jshilling39 jsperrjtbowdenjtesellejuancarloslopez jude 60 judyfjulesjuliancoltonjuliflipjunembjustinggibbs jwaelterma@aol.com jwbowenjwdemaster jweaver214 jwoolard jwpepper152 jwrobinsk.schlesinger k9art ka2wns ka_gakaffee kaiden11 kaintlakamdahl kamel828 kamil10276 karcseszka85 karen2601 karthikeyan.d karu58 kassitakatacombkate.ingramskatebeekatehering kateldhkateyandellkathryntkatiehousekatmunstakatnord kavick19 kaymahon@sbcglobal.net kb42 ke4wbq kehartmankekelambiekellinorakelseycroc ken.mylne@care4free.net kennethchankennylowekenrobertsjrkenyandall kere888 kerry_annekflahertykfossacecakgriffinkilometreskimthompsonkingtex klemmo98 klew136 klmasters kloades19 kmasterdokmoran knight1994 knyghtowlkolobok konradstenkorinalacapkosmala kosta194 kowenkpaliveckpercakkpiperkremit krishna05 krlinsnerkropjesla krp242 kruss01 kstanigarkszafranieckvasiliev kwhatmore l2m2j laccoslafreseblamarsandburglamda.cxnlanetimwlangecrew lankymart larue107 laserphillastgleaming laucon92 laura73 laura_teacher laurastevenslauraycoxlbabiclcjohnsolcopleyle_procyonlecybleelaht legoeeyorelehrmanrm leisan@earthlink.net lemurs366 lesliespangler leslie4331 lewisor05 lewytten liam2390 libadlifesartlilacwoodlintillalinushoeller littlewolf liz.chambers@gmail.com lizdeelizmaclizzeljcollett lks27890 lmgcollinsloganbart lola88 lookoutherelordzupka lori2u lpspieler lronaldo89 luc.elleouetlucasmarcominiluchicorlucyjohnludeksluisfrgoncalveslukair lukasz.dulniaklumish lusk0001 lynimmlynseyr m57ring mZakkmabbenson macaddct1984 macericmagpiemur magrath51 magyarmahutch mama2ja mamoosh mandomandox manillia1968 manmar manufl_667 maramcgregormarcelvmarcinkulakowski marclluellmargaretcarew marianojorge@gmail.com marilynmorganmarjieN markballenmarkrh martakot227 marthann@outlook.com martijn1202 martinjoshua7 maschill mateo832 maths95 mats_wmattcbennettmatteske max011293 maxi maz112 mbb15555 mbjornas3 mburns629 mcaustin1 mcfaddeamcgonzalesmclarksonmcnoch mcstalcius md189 mddx141 mdhaukemdibben me6471 medeardorffmedknight melikescheesemelissawoodallmenacingkmerectormeridionaljetmerkosh mesocyclonicmeteorologue mfischer2 mfonnemannmgerbinomgreengrowmgtew mheineman mhenley91 mhsrmhzmich_wimbledon michelle32720 michellekinzelmichpet midonmidwestmarykaymielishamightymattymiguel_abmiguelacmiguelgambler mijoja mike6159 mikecollazomikecraigmikejwx mikenelsen81 mikeumiklanmillchar minniebobinniemirleywood misha412 miskemisterlolie mitsos1989 mitsubishievo6 miyoung1 mjkulczakmjolnirmjoudermjsottilemkovacsmlcutting mleber87 mlinahan mmorehoummxaviermnemonik mnh001 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ozzoopablogutierrezpachiopacksmanpagaruspanaccd papa4444 para_doksparrish pawtiger pcar773 pcroapdoddpduran peachy1999 pedacterpenn_gwennpentaquark petarrpetawilliams pete12 petekoulpeterthornepeteuplinkpfennphazlephilln phillysusan22 phshushupickering pie1337 pierrerieupietronino pigasus-6 piker8 pinkpenguinpippopixelstuff pjd50 pjdavismdpklotzbachpkuiper planetari7 plasmahead ple1 pm_83 pmunoz pmwdrgn7 poglimagepondpaulpopejackv porterhouseblue potamus29 pounderic poutnik36 ppkt prajitdhara1 prajwal.1305 profplum18 prolandpropriomeptfeptoli ptrip2010 purple_and_fluffy@hotmail.com purpleheatherpuruleluputerfreekqhenaffqtqyquakecityquantro.geo queerkat4 quinnshep rabbi1 rachael123 radfordrradhohaneraf_lombarainerrainmanhiraitis rakeshragralinhorarivomanantsoaravenradioraybell raymond765 raypapamike razvan66m rbaker1987 rbaker314 rbkruspe rchans2 rck0669 rcyoderrdhalljr rdlatimerrdwylderrebekkareedinthewindreestitremadiremickremymerm remzinzinrenjithbpillairesearchib resource7 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  3. www.CycloneCenter.org • Citizen science project to help understand historical tropical cyclone activity • Participation rates are growing • Preliminary results show promise Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  4. Best Track Data • Historical record of tropical cyclone locations and intensities • Best estimate using all available data • Satellite estimates account for vast majority of the record Tropical Cyclone Best Track Data - 2011 Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  5. Yvette (1992) Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  6. Mike (1990) Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  7. How Is Typhoon Activity Changing? ? Emanuel (2005) Webster et al. (2005) Kossin et al. (2007) Wu et al. (2006) Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  8. The Dvorak Technique • Visual analysis of tropical cyclone satellite images • Implementation has changed over time and between agencies • Has been automated, but pattern recognition still best by human eye Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  9. Cyclone Center Overview 300,000 infrared images from around the globe Have volunteers apply Dvorak-like procedure Apply QC procedures/ constraints Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  10. Demo • Volunteers presented 6 images • Asked simple questions about cloud structure. • Blogs help volunteers understand • motivation • progress • science • “Talk” forum allows users to share experience and ask questions Which image appears stronger? Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  11. Demo Pick the cyclone type, then choose the closest match? Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  12. Demo The optional detailed classification can provide better analysis Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  13. Participation so far 2300 users 600 storms 30,000 images 135,000+ classifications 16,000 on 3rd day Mass GalaxyZoo email Super Storm Sandy 30% of all classifications are “Detailed” Currently ~ 500 per day 40,000 52,000 12,000 27,000 Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  14. Participation rates Bretarn: 5630 Chrisotahal: 3835 Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  15. Very preliminary results • Using preliminary analysis of initial questions • No analysis using “Detailed Classification” yet • Results show similarity in time series • Only validates proof of concept … much left to do. 1990 Hurricane Trudy (East Pacific) Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  16. Summary www.CycloneCenter.org • Citizen science project to help understand historical tropical cyclone activity • Participation rates are growing! • Preliminary results show promise! Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  17. Extra Slides

  18. Flow Chart Which is Stronger? Cyclone Type and Closest Match Embedded Center Eye Shear Curved Band Other Click the Center And Eye Size Click the Center Click the Center Click the Center Edge Post Tropical No Storm Nearest Red Point Surrounding Color Center Temperature Choose the Color Color at least 0.5° Thick Distance to Convection How far does it wrap? Banding Feature Banding Feature Demonstration Introduction Method Summary

  19. The road so far • 135,000 classifications and counting • about 500 per day • One-hit wonders and Superusers are both important • Detailed classifications come from more dedicated users Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  20. The road ahead • Focus the classifications on 106 storms: • 31 Atlantic storms from 2005 for validation • 25 most uncertain Western Pacific storms • 25most uncertain South Pacific storms • 25 most uncertain South Indian storms • Keep active volunteers engaged • Stay active on the forums • Plan “Flash Mobs” where we try to get everyone to classify at the same time • Other ideas? Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

  21. Demo

  22. Demo

  23. Demo

  24. Demo

  25. Volunteer Contributions Demonstration Introduction Engagement Summary

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