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JHT Project: Evaluation and Improvements of Cloud and Precipitation Physics in the Operational Hurricane WRF Model at NO

JHT Project: Evaluation and Improvements of Cloud and Precipitation Physics in the Operational Hurricane WRF Model at NOAA/EMC. Yuqing Wang Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii The 65 th IHC, February 28-March 3, 2011. Overall Goal of the Project .

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JHT Project: Evaluation and Improvements of Cloud and Precipitation Physics in the Operational Hurricane WRF Model at NO

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  1. JHT Project:Evaluation and Improvements of Cloudand Precipitation Physics in theOperational Hurricane WRF Model atNOAA/EMC Yuqing Wang Department of Meteorology, University of Hawaii The 65th IHC, February 28-March 3, 2011

  2. Overall Goal of the Project To evaluate and improve the cloud and precipitation physics used in the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model developed in the Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) of NOAA, achieving improved prediction of hurricane structure and intensity, including the size, by the HWRF model at NCEP/EMC.

  3. Objectives To diagnose the discrepancies of the current cloud and precipitation physics and the interaction between grid-scale moist processes and subgrid-scale convection in HWRF and understand how they affect hurricane intensity and structure;  To improve the representation of the cloud and precipitation physics in HWRF and evaluate the performance of the modified schemes through model inter-comparison between HWRF and TCM4;  To test and tune the modifications in the experimental prediction mode and to evaluate their overall improvements in predicting hurricane structure and intensity.

  4. Work Completed • Cloud microphysics • Cumulus parameterization in the mother domain • Effect of dynamical core • Sensitivity to initial radial wind profile • Some highlights

  5. Cloud microphysics scheme Ferrier scheme in HWRF 5-category scheme in TCM4

  6. Cumulus parameterization in the mother domain

  7. Cumulus parameterization in the mother domain

  8. Intercomparison of two WRF dynamical cores

  9. NMM ARW

  10. Intercomparison of two WRF dynamical cores

  11. Intercomparison of two WRF dynamical cores Azimuthal mean diabatic heating

  12. Sensitivity to initial radial wind profile

  13. Summary • Cloud microphysics scheme in HWRF seems not to cause the size increase in the prediction; • Cumulus parameterization is a candidate; • Initial structure of the model vortex is likely the major contributor to the rapid size increase; • Dynamical core affects the cloud microphysics and heating distribution and thus the vertical structure and intensity of the storm; • Evaluation will be extended to the new CP and new initialization scheme in HWRF model.

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