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Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Texas and South Texas Lloyd Potter

Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Texas and South Texas Lloyd Potter. Council of Residential Specialists April 20, 2010. Sources of Growth. Fastest Growing States, 2000-2008. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2008.

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Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Texas and South Texas Lloyd Potter

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  1. Demographic Characteristics and Trends: Texas and South Texas Lloyd Potter Council of Residential Specialists April 20, 2010

  2. Sources of Growth

  3. Fastest Growing States, 2000-2008

  4. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas, 1950-2008

  5. Natural Increase in Texas(Births minus Deaths) • Birth Rate: 16.8 per 1,000 vs. 14.0 for US (2ndhighest) • Death Rate: 6.8 per 1,000 vs. 8.3 for US (5thlowest) • Natural Increase: 10.0 per 1,000 vs. 5.7 for US (3rd highest) • Texas is young: • Median Age: 33.2 vs. 36.8 for US (2ndlowest) • Texas has a high total fertility rate (Children per woman) • 2.34 vs. 2.05 for US (4th highest) Source: NCHS Vital Statistics Data, 2005http://wonder.cdc.gov/

  6. Annual Net Migration to Texas, 2000 to 2008 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census 2008 Estimates

  7. Population Growth in Texas, 2000-2040 Year Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections

  8. Population Pyramids, Texas 2000 2008 2020 Sources: 2000 Census, Texas State Data Center 2000-2040 Projections

  9. Texas Population by Age, 2000 & 2008 Population Age Sources: Census Bureau 2000 Population Counts; Census Bureau 2008 Population Estimates

  10. Texas Children by Age, 2000 and 2008 Population Age Sources: Census Bureau 2000 Population Counts; Census Bureau 2008 Population Estimates

  11. Estimated domestic in and out migration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population Source: Population Division, U.S. Census Bureau, March 19, 2009

  12. Estimated internationalmigration (2000-2008) by county as a percentage of 2000 population

  13. Changes in Ethnic Composition

  14. Ethnicity & Immigrant Status-State of Texas, 2007 Sources: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2007 American Community Survey Microdata File

  15. % of Growth Due to Each Ethnicity in Texas, 1980-1990, 1990-2000, 2000-2007, and 2000-2040 Source: U.S. Census Counts, and Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections, 0.5 Scenario

  16. Projected Ethnic Change in theState of Texas, 2000-2040 Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections , 0.5 Migration Scenario

  17. Geographic Distribution

  18. Projected population by county, Texas, 2010 Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 (2000-2007).

  19. Projected population by county, Texas, 2020 Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 (2000-2007).

  20. Projected population by county, Texas, 2030 Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 (2000-2007).

  21. Projected population by county, Texas, 2040 Texas State Data Center, vintage 2008 population projections. Migration scenario 2 (2000-2007).

  22. English Learners

  23. Educational Attainment in 2000 in Texas for Persons 25+ Years of Age By Race/Ethnicity Percent

  24. Percent of the population 5 and over who speak English less than well by state, 2008 Source: American Community Survey, 2008

  25. Percent of persons aged 5 and older, who do not speak English well, that speak Spanish at home by state, 2008 Source: American Community Survey, 2008

  26. Percent of Texas children 5-17 who speak a English less than well, by county, 2006-2008 Source: American Community Survey, 3 year file 2006-2008

  27. San Antonio MSA

  28. Population Growth in San AntonioMetropolitan Area, 2000-2040 Source: Texas State Data Center 2008 Population Projections 30

  29. Percent Population Change in San Antonio MSA, 1990-2008 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census

  30. Population Growth in San Antonio MSA, 1980-2040 (2000-2007 Migration Scenario) Sources: 1980-2000. U.S. Census Bureau Counts; 2008 Census Bureau Estimates; 2040: State Data Center 2000-2007 Migration Scenario Projection

  31. Population Growth in San Antonio MSAby Area, 1980-2040 Sources: 1980-2000. U.S. Census Bureau Counts; 2008 Census Bureau Estimates; 2040: State Data Center 2000-2007 Migration Scenario Projection

  32. Components of Population Change in San Antonio MSA, 1990-2008 Source: U.S. Bureau of Census

  33. Components of Change for San Antonio MSA,2000 to 2008 Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census Counts (2000); Estimate (2008)

  34. Percent of PopulationWho Are Foreign-Born Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  35. Percent of PopulationWho Are Foreign-Born Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  36. Percent of Women 15 to 50 Who Gave Birth Last Year Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  37. Median Household Income Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  38. Percent Below Federal Poverty Line Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  39. Percent of Persons < 65 Years of AgeWith No Health Insurance Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  40. Percent of Adults 25+ With Bachelor’sor Graduate/Professional Degree Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  41. Percent of Adults Age 25 or Older,No High School Diploma Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, American Community Survey, 2008

  42. Major Points • Continued growth of Texas population • Growth driven by both natural increase and in-migration (internal and international) • Aging of the population with growing base • Increased concentration of population in major urbanized areas • Continued growth of SA MSA with more rapid growth in non-central counties

  43. Texas State Data Center Lloyd B. Potter, Ph.D., M.P.H University of Texas at San Antonio 210-458-6530 Lloyd.Potter@utsa.edu

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