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Explore the current and projected population growth, aging population, urbanization, and migration trends worldwide. Understand the impact of these trends on sustainable development in the post-2015 UN agenda.
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The world’s population is more than 7 billion people today, and could be more than 9 billion by 2050.
The world has added 1.5 billion people since the ICPD, and continues to grow… 2.5 billion in 1950 9.6 billion in 2050 5.7 billion in 1994 7.2 billion in 2014
…though the pace of world population growth is slowing Peak of 2.1% in 1968 1.1% in 2014 1.4% in 1994 0.5% in 2050
Future population growth will be concentrated in Asia and Africa… 2014 Africa Asia Latin America and the Caribbean Europe, Northern America and Oceania
…because fertility rates in Africa and Asia tend to be higher than in other regions
Many low fertility populations are expected to experience population decline in the coming decades
The “unmet need” for contraceptives remains high, despite family planning successes Only a few countries achieved a 50% reduction in unmet need since 1994 Africa Oceania World LAC Asia Europe N. America
Globally, child mortality has fallen by more than 40% since the ICPD… …but a child born in Africa is still 14 times more likely to die before age 5 than a child born in Europe or Northern America Africa World Asia Oceania LAC Europe N. America
Progress in reducing mortality during the working and reproductive ages has been slower… …largely due to the challenges of HIV/AIDS, maternal mortality, road accidents, and premature mortality from noncommunicable diseases Africa World Asia LAC Europe Oceania N. America 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
The world’s population is ageing 1994 2014 2050 Males Females Males Females Males Females Population (millions) Population (millions) Population (millions)
Globally, the share of older persons in the total population increased from 9% in 1994 to 12% in 2014, and is expected to reach 21% by 2050 Aged 60 years or over Under age 5
The world is becoming more and more urbanized. More than half of the world’s population lives in urban areas, and almost all future population growth will occur in cities. Photo: Alicia Nijdam (2008) “Rocinha Favela”
In 2007, the world’s population became mostly urban for the first time. By 2050, two-thirds of people are expected to live in urban settlements Urban Rural
Most megacities and large cities are located in the global South Nearly 90% of urban growth to 2050 will be absorbed by urban settlements in Africa and Asia The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations.
International migration has increased in demographic significance and development impact 232 million people worldwide resided outside their country of origin in 2013 Europe Asia Northern America Africa LAC Oceania
South-South migration is as common as South-North migration International migrants by origin and destination, 2013 South South: 82.3 million (36%) South North: 81.9 million (35%) North North: 53.7 million (23%) North South: 13.7 million (6%)
48 per cent of the world’s 232 million international migrants are women.
People are at the heart of sustainable development… Social Environment Economic …and population trends shape the global context of the post-2015 UN development agenda.
“There are very few factors that will shape the future global development situation as fundamentally as population patterns and trends. At the same time, the world is an increasingly complex place, with Governments facing quite different demographic opportunities and challenges.” -ASG Thomas Gass For more information, visit: unpopulation.org