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Development of Cargo Aircraft Market in Russia

DENIS ILYIN, Senior Vice-President for Strategy & Commercial Moscow, Russia 18 .0 6 .08. Development of Cargo Aircraft Market in Russia. next. 1. Average annual growth 2005-2025 High 7.1% Base 6.2% Low 5.4%. World Air Freight Market Will Grow 6.2% Year Through 2025.

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Development of Cargo Aircraft Market in Russia

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  1. DENIS ILYIN, Senior Vice-President for Strategy & Commercial Moscow, Russia 18.06.08 Development of Cargo AircraftMarketinRussia next

  2. 1 Average annual growth 2005-2025 High 7.1% Base 6.2% Low 5.4% World Air Freight Market Will Grow 6.2% Year Through 2025 RTKs, billions 800 History Forecast High Base Low 600 400 5.3% growth per year 200 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes, World Air Cargo Forecast previous next

  3. 2 Average World Air Cargo Freight growth, 6.2% Domestic China Intra-Asia Asia-North America Europe-Asia Latin America-North America Latin America-Europe Europe-North America Europe-Africa Intra-Europe Europe-Middle East North America Russia Average Growth in % 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% Source: Boeing Commercial Airplanes, World Air Cargo Forecast previous next

  4. Ил-76 A-300-330 Ан-12 Ан-124-100 Ил-96 C-130 B-747 Ту-204 3 Air Cargo Market for non ramp aircraft Scheduled Services Air Cargo Market for ramp aircraft Charter Services Total volumein 2007г ~$80billion 190 billion tons / kilometer 41 mln tons 1879 Aircraft ~98,5%$78,8 billion 479 AC~1,4% $1 billion DC-10, MD-11 28 ACAn-124-100 $771 mln per year (2007) ~70% market share 311 AC В747F $30 billion per year (2007) ~38% market share • Market Growth Forecast (2020): • On Non ramp Aircraft – 6%-6,2% (according toBoeing, Airbus, IATA) • On Ramp Aircraft – 8%-10% (according to Volga-Dnepr Group’s forecast) previous next

  5. 4 Scheduled cargo operations market (2007) $80billion Ramp aircraft operations market 2007 $1 billion Russian civil aviation 1,4 % Russian civil aviation 74 % Asian and Pacific Region countries 1,4 % European countries 24% other countries 7,6 % Ukraine and other countries 26% USA 31% • By 2020 Russian transport aviation development strategy specifies: • Increase in dominant position of ramp aircraft cargo operations (from 74% up to 90%).Already now Russian cargo air carriers play the roleof international military-cargoairlines. With all that US, European and UNO show the growing needin the services of Russian ramp aircraft air carriers. • Expansion on the market of general cargo transportation and share growthon this market (from 1% up to 10%). previous next

  6. 5 2020 2008 ≥ 100 tons; 55; 39% ≤10 tons; 28; 21% ≥ 100 tons; 16; 11% An-124 An-124 ≤10tons; 91; 63% 30-100 tons; 15; 10% Il-76 Charter Services Il-76 30-100 tons; 41; 31% 10-30 Tons; 28; 16% Medium 10-30 Tons; 12; 9% Current Ramp Cargo Fleet (150 aircraft) Ramp Cargo Fleet Forecast (136aircraft) 212 TotalNumber of Aircraft required 207 TotalNumber of Aircraft in use 171 ≥ 100 tons; 12; 16% ≤10 tons; 3; 14% ≥ 100 tons; 20; 27% В747F B 747 В747F Scheduled Services B 747 30-100 tons; 19; 26% ≤10 tons; 8; 11% 10-30 Tons; 24; 36% 10-30 Tons; 5; 24% 30-100 tons; 1; 16% Current Non Ramp Cargo Fleet (21aircraft) Non Ramp Cargo Fleet Forecast (92aircraft) Source: Volga-Dnepr Group Forecast previous next

  7. 6 Other Countries 98,6% Other Countries 98,7% 2004 2007 Russia 1,4% Russia 1,3% Total volume$55 billion Total volume $80billion Other Countries 92,0% Other Countries 84,0% 2015 Total volume$105billion 2030 Market volume$160billion Russia 8,0% Russia 16,0% previous next

  8. 7 B-747, 777 DC-10, MD-11 USA Canada USA Canada St.Petersburg Moscow Europe Khabarovsk Khabarovsk Europe Moscow Krasnoyarsk Krasnoyarsk China China Middle East, Africa India India Singapore Singapore Moscow – natural geographical hub connecting Europe to Middle East, Indian Subcontinent and South-East Asia Krasnoyarsk – natural geographical hub connecting USA, Europe & Canada to China, Japan and South-East Asia previous next

  9. 8 HOU YYC Moscow ORD Krasnoyarsk NYC LAX AMS LHR FRA UUS MIL LED NGO MOW KJA NRT SHA TLV NBO HKG BJS KUL DEL B 747-8F SIN previous next

  10. 9 previous next

  11. 10 Boeing 747-8F +5 Boeing 747 – 8F 2020 Boeing 747-400 ERF +5 2 x Boeing 747-200 1 x Boeing 747 -400 ERF 2010-13 +2 2008 +3 Boeing 747-200 Boeing 747-200 2007 +1 Boeing 747-200 -1 Boeing 747-200 2006 + 1 Boeing 747-200 -1 2005 2 2004 previous next

  12. 11 Cities with population more than 1mln people Regions of significant economic growth S. Petersburg Moscow Nizhny Novgorod Kazan Ufa Rostov on Don Yekaterinburg Samara Omsk Chelyabinsk Novosibirsk Krasnoyarsk Source: Ministry of Economic of RF Federal State Statistics Service previous next

  13. 12 AirBridgeCargo Hubs ABC Schedule Service Air Feeder Service Road Feeder Service Ту-204 B-737, 757, 767 A320F, A330F ST. PETERSBURG (LED) MOSCOW (SVO) Oil & Gas Exploration fields YUZHNO-SAKHALINSK (UUS) KRASNOYARSK (KJA) KHABAROVSK (KHV) previous next next

  14. 13 While Boeing 747 freighters offer capacity on long haul international routes, regional aircraft will complement transcontinental services with local distribution capabilities. Tupolev 204C has been selected as the middle range aircraft type to serve Russian domestic markets from ABC hubs in Moscow and Krasnoyarsk. In June 2007, two planes of this type have been ordered with AVIASTAR-SP (Ulyanovsk, Russia), and 3 more are in plans until 2010 previous next

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