module 4 understanding recent trends in ict policy
Download
Skip this Video
Download Presentation
Module 4: Understanding Recent Trends in ICT Policy

Loading in 2 Seconds...

play fullscreen
1 / 14

Module 4: Understanding Recent Trends in ICT Policy - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


  • 94 Views
  • Uploaded on

Module 4: Understanding Recent Trends in ICT Policy. Dr Tim Kelly, Lead ICT Policy Specialist, infoDev/World Bank Sunday 8 March 2009. Agenda. Global trends Market competition Private sector participation Independent regulation MegaTrend 1: Convergence

loader
I am the owner, or an agent authorized to act on behalf of the owner, of the copyrighted work described.
capcha
Download Presentation

PowerPoint Slideshow about 'Module 4: Understanding Recent Trends in ICT Policy' - dagmar


An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation

Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author.While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server.


- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - E N D - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Presentation Transcript
module 4 understanding recent trends in ict policy

Module 4: Understanding Recent Trends in ICT Policy

Dr Tim Kelly, Lead ICT Policy Specialist, infoDev/World BankSunday 8 March 2009

agenda
Agenda
  • Global trends
    • Market competition
    • Private sector participation
    • Independent regulation
  • MegaTrend 1: Convergence
  • MegaTrend 2: From fixed to wireless
  • MegaTrend 3: From narrowband to broadband
  • Groupwork brainstorming exercise:
    • What skills and competences might MCIT-IC require in five years time?
global trends market competition
Global Trends: Market competition

Competition status by region, 2008

Source: ITU World Telecom Regulatory Database.

global trends market competition1
Global Trends: Market competition

Competition status by service, 2008

Source: ITU World Telecom Regulatory Database.

factors driving competition
Factors driving competition
  • It works
    • Strong demonstration effect of competitive market structures
  • It is mandated
    • Regional (e.g., EU) and Global (e.g., WTO) moves towards competitive market rules
  • Facilitated by technology
    • Many new competitive niches (e.g., VoIP, WiMAX, ISPs)
    • New techniques for spectrum efficiency and sharing
  • Intermodal competition
    • Incumbent PTO, cable TV, Internet and spectrum-based services are main platforms
  • Customers demand it
    • Large users, especially in the financial sector, demand more choice and lower costs

Countries allowing VoIP competition

Source: ITU World Telecom Regulatory Database.

private sector participation
Private sector participation

Share of privately-owned incumbents,

By country (1991-2008) and by region (2008)

Source: ITU World Telecom Regulatory Database.

independent regulation
Independent regulation

Number of independent regulators,

In total (1990-2008) and by region (2008)

Source: ITU World Telecom Regulatory Database.

megatrend 1 convergence
MegaTrend 1: Convergence

A typology of convergence

Source: World Bank (forthcoming) “Information and Communication for Development Report 2009”

examples of convergence
Examples of convergence
  • Service convergence
    • Triple Play, Service bundling
    • eg FIOS in USA offers TV, high-speed internet and voice services over an IP platform
  • Network convergence
    • Next Generation Networks (NGN)
    • eg KPTV in the Netherlands is migrating away from separate mobile and fixed networks onto a single NGN
  • Corporate convergence
    • Mergers, acquisitions, new service development
    • eg France Telecom has acquired Orange and rebranded its own mobile service and Wanadoo broadband under the Orange brand
  • Regulatory convergence
    • eg, OFCOM created in UK from five separate agencies

NTT: Shift from narrowband to broadband

Source: NTT Japan, cited in ITU Trends in Telecom Reform 2008.

megatrend 2 from fixed to wireless
MegaTrend 2: From fixed to wireless

Number of users/subscribers, by service, 1995-2007 (in billions)

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database.

policy implications of shift to mobile
Policy implications of shift to mobile
  • Change in definition of universal service
    • Universal service becomes possible, as well as universal access
    • But operation of universal service funds may need review
  • Spectrum becomes key platform for future growth
    • Can available spectrum meet demand?
    • Embracing market mechanisms for spectrum allocation
  • Changing definitions of market dominance
    • To what extent are fixed and mobile services substitutable?
    • Will broadband internet be provided on a fixed or mobile platform? (or both)

Mobile overtaking fixed in Egypt (per 100 inhabitants)

Source: ITU World Telecommunication Indicators Database, MCIT-IC

megatrends 3 from narrow to broadband
MegaTrends 3: From narrow to broadband

Number and type of Internet subscribers worldwide, millions, %

Source: ITU World Telecom Indicators Database, and World Bank estimates

from narrow to broadband in egypt
From narrow to broadband in Egypt

Number and type of Internet subscribers Egypt, millions, %

Source: ITU World Telecom Indicators Database, and MCIT-IC

group work exercise brainstorming
Group Work Exercise: Brainstorming
  • Based on your understanding of the policy trends shaping the global and national ICT policy environments over the next five years:
    • What are the likely future competences and skills that would be required in MCIT-IC to help prepare for the next five years?
      • In the area of statistics and indicators?
      • In the requirement to provide policy guidance and advice?
      • In serving the industry and people of Egypt?
    • How can MCIT-IC prepare itself for these challenges?
      • Do these skills and competences already exist in-house?
      • Can they be developed from among the existing staff?
      • What new staff profiles might be needed?
ad