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Natural Hazards Research From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme. Marta Moren Abat Climate change and environmental risks Unit European Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate. Background – Policy context Natural Hazards in the Research Framework Programmes FP6

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natural hazards research from the 6th towards the 7th framework programme

Natural Hazards ResearchFrom the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme

Marta Moren AbatClimate change and environmental risks UnitEuropean Commission - DG Research Environment Directorate

from the 6th towards the 7th framework programme
Background – Policy context

Natural Hazards in the Research Framework Programmes

FP6

Total support

Some example projects

FP7 general

Structure

Budget

Time plan

FP7 Natural Hazards

Specific programme

Work programme 2007 and beyond

Information sources / Links

From the 6th towards the 7th Framework Programme
addressing natural hazards
Climate related

(Hydro-meteorological

Hazards)

Avalanches,

Floods,

Drought,

Storms,

Forest fires,

Geological Hazards Multi-Hazards

Earthquakes,

Volcanic eruptions,

Mass movements,

Tsunamis,

Addressing Natural Hazards
slide4

Earthquakes

Industrial

accidents

Floods

Fires

Volcanic Eruptions

Landslides

Droughts

slide6
International Strategy for Disaster reduction – Hyogo Framework for action 2005-2015, Kobe world Conf. 2005

International Council for Science – ICSU Natural and human induced environmental hazards (6 year plan 2006-2012)

International year of Planet Earth 2008 (UNESCO, IUGS, ..)

GEO (Group on Earth Observation – 10-Year GEOSS Implementation Plan)

Addressing Natural Hazards: Research Policy Context – International level

slide7
FP5/4 years – Overall support: 48 Mio Euro

FP6/5 years – Overall support: 58 Mio Euro

FP7 – First year estimate: 13 Mio Euro

Some examples of projects…

Addressing Natural Hazards: European Framework ProgrammesEnvironment research programmes

fp6 strep projects
Topic: Volcanic Risk Assessment

VOLUME: Volcanoes: Understanding subsurface mass movement (3,1 Mio Euro) http://www.volume-project.net

NOVAC: Network for Observation of Volcanic and Atmospheric change (2,6 Mio Euro)http://www.novac-project.eu

Remark : TTC call + INCO partners in both projects (central/Latin America)

Topic: Long-term forecasting of landslides and

Avalanches (Global 3)

IRASMOS: Integral Risk Management of Extremely Rapid Mass Movements (2,4 Mio Euro) http://www.slf.ch/irasmos

GALAHAD: Advanced Remote Monitoring Techniques for Glaciers, Avalanches and Landslides Hazard Mitigation (1,6 Mio Euro) BV http://www.galahad-europroject.org

FP6 STREP Projects
fp6 strep projects1
Topic: Floods

FLASH (Strep):Observations, Analysis and Modelling of Lightning Activity in Thunderstorms, for use in Short Term Forecasting of Flash Floods (1,2 Mio Euro) MMA

HYDRATE (Strep): Hydro-meteorological data resources and technologies for effective flash flood forecasting (2,4 Mio Euro) managed by I.3

FLOODSITE(IP): Integrated flood risk management methodologies (9,68 Mio Euro) MMA – http://www.floodsite.net

Topic: Forest Fires(Managed by Unit I3)

FIREPARADOX (IP): Integrated forest fire management (12 Mio Euro)

www.fireparadox.org

FP6 STREP Projects
fp6 strep projects2
Topic: Seismic Early Warning

SAFER: Seismic Early Warning for Europe (3,6 Mio Euro)www.saferproject.net

SEAHELLARC: Seismic Risk Assessment and Mitigation Scenarios in Western Hellenic Arc (1,3 Mio Euro) BV

Topic: Tsunami Risk in Europe

TRANSFER: Tsunami Risk and Strategies for the European Region (3,3 Mio Euro) www.transferproject.eu

NEAREST: Integrated Observation from Near Shore sources of Tsunami-Golf of Cadiz (2,8 Mio Euro)

FP6 STREP Projects
fp6 projects
Topic: Multi-risks

LESSLOSS (IP): Risk Mitigation for Earthquakes and Landslides (6,43 Mio Euro)- BV – www.lessloss.org - (Seismic engineering)

FORESIGHT (STREP):Frequent Observation-driven Realistic Evaluation and Simulation of Interacting Geophysical Hazard Triggers (1,08 Mio Euro) www.acri-st.fr/foresight/

3HAZ CORINTH (STREP): Earthquakes, tsunamis and landslides in the Corinth rift, Greece (1,49 Mio EURO) BV

ARMONIA (STREP): Applied multi-risk mapping of natural hazards for impact assessment (1 Mio Euro)www.armoniaproject.net

MEDIGRID (STREP): Mediterranean Grid of multi-risk data and models (950.000 Euro) MMA

FP6 Projects
fp6 projects1
Topic: Multi-risks

NARAS (SSA): Natural Risks assessment, harmonisation of procedures, quantification and information (240.000 EURO)

EU-MEDIN II (SSA): Supporting information on Natural Hazards (300.000 Euro)www.eu-medin.org

SCENARIO(SSA): Support on common EU strategy for sustainable natural/induced technological mitigation (652.000 Euro) BV

FP6 Projects
ec research structure
Framework Programme (Council and EP)

Specific Programme (Council + opinion EP)

Work Programmes (Commission)

Yearly calls (specific topics, choice of instruments,…)

EC RESEARCH STRUCTURE
slide15

+

Cooperation

Collaborative research

Ideas

Frontier Research

People

Human Potential

Capacities

Research Capacity

JRC

(non-nuclear)

4 specific programmes + JRC

3. Information and communication technologies

5. Energy

7. Transport (including aeronautics)

9. Space

1. Health

2. Food, agriculture

and biotechnology

4. Nanosciences, nanotechnologies, materials and new production technologies

6. Environment (including climate change)

8. Socio-eco. sciences and the humanities

10. Security

10 thematic areas

A. Climate change, pollution and risks

B. Sustainable management of resources

C. Environmental technologies

D. Earth observation and assessment tools

4 activities (WP)

i. Pressures on environment and climate

ii. Environment and Health

iii. Natural hazards

3 sub-activities (WP)

1. Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

2. Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts

3. Risk assessment and management

4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies

4 core areas (WP)

FP7 - structure

2007 - 2013

slide16

+

Cooperation

32 413 mill

Ideas

7 510 mill

People

4 750 mill

Capacities

4 097 mill

JRC(non-nuclear)

1 751 mill

3. ICT

9 050 mill

  • Health
  • 6 100 mill

5. Energy

2 350 mill

7. Transport

4 160 mill

9. Space

1 430 mill

2. Food, agriculture

and biotechnology

1 935 mill

4. Nano++, materials and new production technologies

3 475 mill

6. Environment

1 890 mill

8. Socio-eco. Sciences

623 mill

10. Security

1 400 mill

  • Press. on env. & climate
  • 2007: est 36 mill

ii. Env. & Health

2007: est 19 mill

iii. Nat. hazards

2007: est 13 mill

Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

???

2. Vuln. assess and soc. Impacts

???

3. Risk assessment and management

???

4. Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies

???

FP7 size

EUR 50 521 mill

2007 - 2013

CC, poll. and risks

?

B. Sust. mngmt. of res.

?

C. Env. tech.

?

D. Earth obs. & assess.

?

cooperation environment incl climate change
CooperationEnvironment (incl. Climate Change)

- Pressures on environment and climate

- Environment and health

- Natural Hazards

Climate Change, pollution and risks

  • Conservation and sustainable management of
  • natural and man-made resources
  • - Evolution of marine environments

Sustainable management of resources

Environmental Technologies

  • - Technologies for observation, prevention,
  • mitigation,…, of the natural and man-made
  • environment
  • protection, conservation and enhancement of
  • cultural heritage, including human habitat
  • - Technology assessment, verification, testing

Earth observation and assessment tools

- Earth observation

- Forecasting methods and assessment tools

the way forward core work programme in natural hazards 2007 call indicative budget 13 mio euro
Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting

European storm risk

Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts

Frame for better vulnerability assessment

Risk assessment and management

Assessing and managing volcanic threat

Harmonising avalanche forecasting, risk mapping and warning

Investigating Europe’s risk from droughts

Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies

European (multi) hazard database analysis

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Geo

Contributing to the development of a worldwide network of in-situ observatories for seismogenic hazards

The Way ForwardCore Work Programme in Natural Hazards2007 Call (indicative budget : 13 Mio Euro)
natural hazards rationale specific programme
Natural HazardsRationale – Specific programme
  • “Management of natural hazards related to climate and geological hazards requires improved knowledge, methods and an integrated framework for the assessment of hazards, vulnerability and risks.
  • Multidisciplinary research aiming to understand better the underlying processes should be pursued to improve detection, prediction and forecasting methods.
  • Multi-risk approach combined with spatial planning, mapping, modelling are needed for the development of prevention and mitigation strategies.
  • Environmental and societal resilience and repercussions of major natural hazards should be quantified.”
natural hazards in europe
Future trends ?

Climate related natural hazards will increase throughout Europe, although different type of hazards will predominate in different regions e.g.

Increasing risk of floods, snowmelt-related floods, flash floods.

Possible storms increase in the north-eastern Atlantic, decrease in storminess and wind intensity in the Mediterranean

Extreme precipitation events may increase landslide hazard

In mountains, change in T° and snow conditions may increase avalanches, affect permafrost and rock falls

In the Mediterranean, decrease precipitation and increased temperature may lead to a longer fire season and dry season.

Natural Hazards in Europe
the way forward core work programme in natural hazards possible future topics beyond 2007
Towards better prediction of landslides events

Generation, propagation and fate of sediment and debris in extreme floods

Vulnerability assessment of buildings, lifelines systems and network related to earthquakes

Environmental, social and economical assessment and management of flood: Present and future scenarios, for EU and key areas in non EU countries

Environmental, social and economical assessment of drought risk approaches (EU and non EU perspective)

Public perception, behaviour and response to risks

Seismic and other geo-hazards risk assessment and mitigation for built environment and infrastructures

Towards a European science research agenda in support to the UN strategy for disaster reduction and its European national initiatives

Assessment of socio-economic benefit of prevention and mitigation strategies and plans

Climate change and social impacts on wild fires regimes and landscape recovery

The Way ForwardCore Work Programme in Natural HazardsPossible Future Topics beyond 2007
slide23

Information sources and links

  • EUROPEAN RESEARCH ON NATURAL HAZARDS: Catalogue of selected FP5 and FP6 Projects - Volume 1
  • EU research:

http://ec.europa.eu/research

  • More information on European Commission environmental research:

http://cordis.europa.eu/sustdev/environment/

http://ec.europa.eu/research/environment/index_en.htm

  • Info on programmes and projects:

http://www.cordis.lu/

  • RTD info magazine:

http://ec.europa.eu/research/rtdinfo/

  • Information requests:

http://ec.europa.eu/research/enquiries/

slide24

Thank you!

Questions?

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