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The CAP reform process in perspective: issues of the post-2013 debate. Tassos Haniotis, Director Directorate for Economic Analysis, Perspectives and Evaluations DG for Agriculture and Rural Development European Commission. The long-term CAP perspective. The general context of the CAP debate

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The cap reform process in perspective issues of the post 2013 debate

The CAP reform process in perspective:issues of the post-2013 debate

Tassos Haniotis, Director

Directorate for Economic Analysis, Perspectives and Evaluations

DG for Agriculture and Rural Development

European Commission


The long term cap perspective
The long-term CAP perspective

The general context of the CAP debate

The question about “P” in the CAP

The question about the "C" in the CAP

The debate about the two pillar structure of the CAP

The post HC context of the CAP debate

Volatility in agricultural production and prices

Impact of the economic crisis on agriculture

Food security in the context of climate change and limited resources

The institutional context of the CAP debate

New European Parliament and Commission

Lisbon Treaty

WTO prospects


Direct

payments

Markets

Income

Risk

management

Food chain

issues

Basic rate

GAEC

Market

instruments

Other criteria

Public goods

Rural

development

Structural adjustment

Innovation

Environment

Territory

The CAP debate at a glance

Economic

crisis

Climate

change

Budget


For further information
For further information

  • The CAP after 2013

    http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/cap-post-2013/index_en.htm

  • EU agriculture and CAP reform

    http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/index_en.htm

  • Economic Analysis and Evaluation

    http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/analysis/index_en.htm

  • Agricultural Policy Analysis and Perspectives

    http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/analysis/perspec/index_en.htm



Markets

Modulation

The CAP and the budget

Pillar I

Direct payments

Pillar II

Rural

Development


Cap expenditure and cap reform path
CAP expenditure and CAP reform path

EU-10

EU-12

EU-15

EU-25

EU-27

Source: European Commission – DG Agriculture and Rural Development


Alternative views on the cost of the cap
Alternative views on the cost of the CAP

CAP cost in 2008

(in absolute terms)

CAP cost in 2008

(in relative terms)

44% of EU budget

0.43% of

EU GDP

Source: European Commission – DG Agriculture and Rural Development


Cap budget trends in perspective
CAP budget trends in perspective

Source: European Commission – DG Agriculture and Rural Development



Cumulative reductions in eu price support
Cumulative reductions in EU price support

Source: European Commission - DG Agriculture and Rural Development


The evolving role of eu support prices wheat
The evolving role of EU support prices - wheat

Sources: European Commission- DG Agriculture and Rural Developmentand World Bank


Impact of cap reforms on eu net production surplus
Impact of CAP reforms on EU net production surplus

Sources: European Commission – Eurostat and DG Agriculture and Rural Development


Recent trends in some commodity market prices
Recent trends in some commodity market prices

Sources: European Commission- DG Agriculture and Rural Developmentand World Bank


Long term price evolution along the food supply chain
Long-term price evolution along the food supply chain

Food consumer prices

Overall inflation

(HICP)

Agricultural

commodity prices

Food producer prices

Source: European Commission – DG Economic and Financial Affairs, based on Eurostat and Agriview data


Direct payments per ha eligible area excl malta
Direct payments per ha eligible area (excl. Malta*)

*Malta: 801.7 EUR/ha


Share of dp and total subsidies in agricultural income
Share of DP and total subsidies in agricultural income

EU-15

EU-12

Source: European Commission – DG Agriculture and Rural Development


Eu developments in agricultural income agricultural income awu in real terms
EU developments in agricultural income(agricultural income/AWU in real terms)

EU-12

EU-15

Source: Eurostat



The three 2007 2013 rd thematic axes in the ms
The three 2007-2013 RD thematic axes in the MS

Source: European Commission - DG Agriculture and Rural Development


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