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The U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Workforce Indicators as a Tool for Analyzing Regional Employment Opportunities for TA

The U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Workforce Indicators as a Tool for Analyzing Regional Employment Opportunities for TANF Recipients. Jane Staveley and David Stevens The Jacob France Institute University of Baltimore. Outline of Presentation.

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The U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Workforce Indicators as a Tool for Analyzing Regional Employment Opportunities for TA

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  1. The U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Workforce Indicators as a Tool for Analyzing Regional Employment Opportunities for TANF Recipients Jane Staveley and David Stevens The Jacob France Institute University of Baltimore

  2. Outline of Presentation • Discussion of U.S. Census Bureau’s Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) • How QWI are used to answer questions about differences in mid-Maryland labor market conditions

  3. QWI - Background U.S. Census Bureau LEHD: Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics program • LED: Local Employment Dynamics • QWI - Quarterly Workforce Indicators

  4. Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) • Total Employment • Growth in Employment • Growth in Hiring • Number of New Hires

  5. Quarterly Workforce IndicatorsQWI - continued • Firm Job Change • Average Monthly Earnings for All Workers • Growth in Average Monthly Earnings for all Workers • Average Monthly Earnings for New Hires

  6. QWI Workforce Characteristics • Geography • state, county, metro, workforce investment area • Industry • 2-digit or 3-digit NAICS code

  7. QWI Workforce CharacteristicsContinued • Age of workers (14-18,19-21, 22-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-99 years) • Gender of workers

  8. Accessing the QWI The QWI are available on line at the Census Bureau web site at: http://lehd.did.census.gov - Go to Quick Links, then - Go to QWI Online for quick facts & reports - Go to Industry Focus for indicators of labor market conditions

  9. Mid-State Differences in Job Opportunities for Maryland Welfare Recipients

  10. Questions for Local Department of Social Services front line staff • What is the top 10 ranking of local industries based on recent hires of women in defined age groups? • How many hires of women were there in these age groups from July 2006 to June 2007 in these ranked industries? • What are the ratios of work-eligible welfare recipients to the sum of local hires of women in the top 10 ranked industries and to the sum of all local hires of women?

  11. Data Sources Maryland Department of Human Resources, Client Automated Resources and Eligibility System (CARES) • Work-eligible welfare recipients Women, ages 19-24 & 25-34 by county

  12. Data Sources - continued U.S. Census Bureau, Local Employment Dynamics program, Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) • Number of new hires Women, ages 19-24 & 25-34 3-digit NAICS code, by county

  13. Measuring Job Opportunities • Ranked top 10 industries in each jurisdiction based on average quarterly local stable new hires • Developed ratios of work-eligible TANF women for each age group (19-24, 25-34) to the sum of top 10 local industry subsector stable new hires and to all local industry subsector stable new hires

  14. NAICS Industry Subsector Codes 238—specialty trade contractors 445—food and beverage stores 446—health and personal care stores 448—clothing and clothing accessories stores 452—general merchandise stores 522—credit intermediation and related activities 524—insurance carriers and related activities 531—real estate 541—professional, scientific, and technical services 561—administrative and support services 611—educational services 621—ambulatory health care services 622—hospitals 623—nursing and residential care facilities 624—social assistance 722—food services and drinking places 812—personal and laundry services

  15. Top 5 Industry NAICS Subsectors based on Average Quarterly Local Stable New Hires of Women Ages 19-24, July 2006-June 2007

  16. Top 5 Industry NAICS Subsectors Based on Average Quarterly Local Stable New Hires of Women Ages 25-34 July 2006-June 2007

  17. Average Number of Quarterly Local Stable New Hires of Women Ages 19-24 in Top 5 Industry NAICS Subsectors Ranked by Number of Local Stable New Hires, July 2006-June 2007

  18. Average Number of Quarterly Local Stable New Hires of Women Ages 25-34 in Top 5 Industry NAICS Subsectors Ranked by Number of Local Stable New HiresJuly 2006-June 2007

  19. Ratios of Work Eligible TANF Women Ages 19-24 to Sum of Top 10 Local Industry Subsector Stable New Hires & all Local Industry Subsector Stable New HiresJuly 2006-June 2007

  20. Ratios of Work Eligible TANF Women Ages 25-34 to Sum of Top 10 Local Industry Subsector Stable New Hires & all Local Industry Subsector Stable New HiresJuly 2006-June 2007

  21. Summary of Findings Finding • Baltimore City ratios of welfare recipients in 2 age groups to gender and age specific business hires are much higher than for Prince George’s, Baltimore, Anne Arundel and Montgomery Counties. Implication • Fewer job opportunities in Baltimore City for work eligible welfare recipients than in the other counties.

  22. Summary of Findings - continued Finding • Difference in ratios of welfare recipients in 2 age groups to gender and age specific business hires between Baltimore City and Montgomery County is extreme. Implication • Montgomery County is in a far better position with regard to job opportunities for welfare recipients than Baltimore City

  23. Summary of Findings - continued Finding • Ratio of welfare recipients to local business hires in Baltimore City for 19-24 year olds is higher than for 25-34 year olds. Implication • There are fewer job opportunities in Baltimore City for younger welfare recipients

  24. Conclusion There are two distinct types of local labor market difference relevant for local social services staff when targeting job opportunities for welfare recipients: • Local labor market opportunity differences between age groups within a local area • Local labor market opportunity differences among local areas within age group

  25. Final Report “Mid-State Differences in Job Opportunities for Maryland Welfare Recipients” by Jane Staveley and David Stevens This will be available on the Jacob France Institute and NAWRS web sites

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