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Mapping and Gap Analysis

Mapping and Gap Analysis. Summarised Preliminary Results. Macroeconomic Context of Early Recovery. Growth impact estimates lowered – but still substantial (Output losses of ≈2% of GDP est. in current year due to floods) Yields of key crops boosted (wheat, sunflower, canola, sugarcane)

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Mapping and Gap Analysis

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  1. Mapping and Gap Analysis Summarised Preliminary Results

  2. Macroeconomic Context of Early Recovery • Growth impact estimates lowered – but still substantial (Output losses of ≈2% of GDP est. in current year due to floods) • Yields of key crops boosted (wheat, sunflower, canola, sugarcane) • Fiscal impact absorbed with relative ease due to foreign exchange inflow and re-appropriation of PSDP and ADP • Vulnerability of affected population has increased (53% of HHs reported 76-100% decline in household incomes) • Spike in flood-related food inflation for several months • Possibly increased persistence of food + overall inflation

  3. Priority Areas for Early Recovery • Regeneration of agricultural economy – Kharif crop and the next Rabi • Provision of shelter to the most vulnerable in the worst affected areas • Restoration of public sector infrastructure and services • Continued focus on the most vulnerable

  4. Purpose of Gap Analysis • Sector-wise and Theme-wise disaggregated data on ER needs, response so far, and Gaps • Financial data about ER needs and updated funding pledges and receipts • A Strategic Early Recovery Plan

  5. Principles for Prioritisation in Gap Identification • Relevance (Concentration on ER, excluding relief, longer term reconstruction and development) • Focus (Concentration on the most vulnerable sections of the affected population) • Capacity (Availability of Human and Physical resources nationally) • Timeliness (Possible for implementation before the end of 2011)

  6. Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs and Prioritised Needs (US$)

  7. Cost Comparison of Overall ER Needs and Prioritised Needs (US$)

  8. Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs among Sectors (US$)

  9. Distribution of Prioritised ER Costs among Thematic Areas (US$)

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