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South Africa: - A Socio-Economic Perspective

South Africa: - A Socio-Economic Perspective. Presented by: Dawie Roodt 5 October 2007. Through the Eyes of the World. Source: The Economist January 20-26, 2007 Full page advertisements (Est. Cost: £87,500). The Opposition p. 15. The Home Team p. 17. Value for Money?. But why say it?.

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South Africa: - A Socio-Economic Perspective

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  1. South Africa:- A Socio-Economic Perspective Presented by: Dawie Roodt 5 October 2007

  2. Through the Eyes of the World Source: The Economist January 20-26, 2007 Full page advertisements (Est. Cost: £87,500)

  3. The Oppositionp. 15

  4. The Home Teamp. 17

  5. Value for Money? But why say it?

  6. 2007:Economic Overview

  7. GDP at Market Prices Source: StatsSA and own calculations

  8. GDP Source: StatsSA and own calculations

  9. Relative size to GDP Source: StatsSA and own calculations

  10. Fiscal Policy

  11. Background Gold

  12. Background Source: SARB and own calculations

  13. Background

  14. Monetary Policy

  15. Interest rates

  16. Interest rates ?

  17. Inflation

  18. Inflation 14.6% Inflation bracket 10.0% 5.2% Source: StatsSA and own calculations

  19. Debt Levels

  20. Credit Extension Source: SARB and own calculations

  21. Household debt to disposable income 59.4% 56.9% 50.2% 44.5% Source: SARB and own calculations

  22. Savings to disposable income of households 9.2% 5.4% 2.6% 0.5% Source: SARB and own calculations

  23. Balance of Payments

  24. Balance of Payments Source: SARS and own calculations

  25. Capital Expenditure First Picture of Cape Town’s New Stadium:

  26. Capital Expenditure

  27. Economic Impact of the 2010 FIFA World Cup • Direct expenditure of R30.4bn • R15.6bn to be spent by expected 350,000 tourists • Contribute R51.0 billion to the GDP of South Africa (2006-2010) • Generate the equivalent of 159 000 annual jobs • Additional R7,2 billion will be paid to Government in taxes. Source: Gauteng Tourism Authority and Grant Thornton (Financial mail)

  28. Problems: Debt Levels Tax levels Unemployment Crime AIDS Skills State inefficiency Summary Positives: • Strong GDP growth • State debt at more sustainable level • More stable interest rate • Capital expenditure plans

  29. South Africa, Africa and the Rest

  30. Percentage of World GDP ‘06 Source: World Bank

  31. 4% of African area 23% of African GDP 22% of African Exports 20% of African Imports

  32. GDP Source: UN

  33. Countries Compared to Provinces Source: UN

  34. Socio-Economic Development

  35. Close-up on South Africa Source: Unesco and World Bank Development Indicators

  36. Social Services Expenditure

  37. Social Services Expenditure

  38. Social Services Expenditure as % of Total Expenditure Source: Various Budgets and own calculation

  39. Human Poverty Index (HPI): Developing Countries (HPI-1),2004 Mali South Africa 2004 South Africa(1998) Average: 30 Cuba Median: 27 Source: Human Development Report, 2006 (undp.org)

  40. Health

  41. Healthy Spending… ? 2007 Budget: R7.2bn more for HIV-Aids, hospitals and salaries of health workers

  42. Healthy Spending as % GDP Source: Various Budgets

  43. Public Expenditure on Health Comparison (2003-04) Iceland Cuba Malawi South Africa (‘04&’06) Average: 3.5 South Africa (’07) Median: 3.0 Myanmar Source: Human Development Report, 2006 (undp.org)

  44. Male Life Expectancy at Birth, 2004 Tunisia Average: 51 South Africa (2006) South Africa Sierra Leone Swaziland Source: Africa Development Indicators, World Bank, 2006

  45. Public Health Expenditure (2003) vs. Life Expectancy at Birth (2000-05) Source: Human Development Report, 2006 (undp.org)

  46. Physicians Cuba South Africa(2001) Malawi South Africa 2004 Average: 147.0 Median: 109.0 Source: Human Development Report, 2006 (undp.org)

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