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U.S. Economic Predictions: Interest Rates, Government Spending, and Political Climate

Stay informed with forecasts on U.S. interest rates, government purchases, and expansion viability amid a challenging political climate. Source data from Federal Reserve, Bureau of Economic Analysis, and Economy.com. Make informed decisions.

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U.S. Economic Predictions: Interest Rates, Government Spending, and Political Climate

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  1. Figure 1 U.S. Interest Rates Forecast Source: Federal Reserve. APA Forecast.
  2. Figure 2 U.S. Government Purchases(Billion 2009$) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, Forecast, Economy.com
  3. Figure 3 Bad Time to Expand Due to Political Climate % saying “bad time” Source: National Federation of Independent Business
  4. Figure 4 Household Debt Service and Financial Obligations Share of Disposable Income Source: Federal Reserve
  5. Figure 5 U.S. GDP - Annual Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis. APA forecast.
  6. Figure 6 U.S. Employment Rate Forecast Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics. APA forecast.
  7. Figure 7 US$ to Can$ Exchange Rate Source: Federal Reserve
  8. Figure 8 Canada Current Account Balance Share of GDP Source: Statistics Canada.
  9. Figure 9 Canada GDP Source: Statistics Canada. APA forecast.
  10. Figure 10 World Real GDP Growth Source: International Monetary Fund
  11. Figure 11 Housing Starts – MidwestSeasonally Adjusted Thousands Source: Census Bureau.
  12. Figure 12 Percentage of Homeowners with a Mortgage in Negative Equity Forecast Source: ZillowReal Estate Research
  13. Figure 13 Percentage of 18 – 34 Years-oldsLiving With Parents (%) Source: Census Bureau
  14. Figure 14 Employment Rate25 – 34 years-old (%) Forecast Source: BLS, APA forecast
  15. Figure 15 Housing Affordability Index Forecast Source: National Association of Realtors. APA Forecast.
  16. Figure 16 U.S. Homeownership Rate Source: Census Bureau. APA Forecast.
  17. Figure 17 U.S. Single-family Housing Starts Thousand 1,020 1,020 980 850 700 618 Source: Census Bureau. APA forecast.
  18. Figure 18 U.S. Multifamily Housing Starts Thousand 540 540 500 440 375 307 Source: Census Bureau. APA forecast.
  19. Figure 19 Average Size of New Homes Built in U.S. (Square Feet) Forecast Source: Census Bureau. APA Forecast.
  20. Figure 20 Canada Housing Starts Thousand Source: Census Bureau. APA forecast.
  21. Figure 21 Sales of Existing Single-familyHomes In U.S. Millions Source: National Association of Realtors. APA Forecast.
  22. Figure 22 Residential Repair and Remodeling Expenditures Billion 2013 dollars Source: Census Bureau. APA forecast.
  23. Figure 23 Nonresidential Construction Expenditures(Billion 2009$) Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, APA Forecast
  24. Figure 24 Industrial Production/Manufacturing (Index, 2007=100) Source: Federal Reserve, APA forecast.
  25. Figure 25 Industrial Production, Furniture(Index, 2007=100) Source: Federal Reserve, APA forecast.
  26. Figure 26 Residential Demand for Structural Panels North America BSF 19.0 18.7 18.8 18.4 16.4 14.1 12.6 12.1 10.7 9.3 9.0 8.1
  27. Figure 27 Remodeling, Industrial, Nonresidential & Export Demand for Structural PanelsNorth America BSF 21.9 20.2 19.6 19.7 19.3 18.8 18.2 17.8 17.9 17.7 17.2 17.1
  28. Figure 28 Total Structural Panel Production North America BSF 38.5 38.1 37.8 36.8 34.5 31.8 30.7 29.9 27.8 26.2 26.1 24.3
  29. Figure 29 North America Net Plywood Imports Million Sq. Ft. Source: APA forecast
  30. Figure 30 North America Net OSB Exports Million Sq. Ft. Source: APA forecast
  31. Figure 31 Glulam Share of Residential Beams and Headers Share 10.1% 9.6% 6.7% 5.7% Source: Builder surveys, NAHB, and Home Innovation Research Lab
  32. Figure 32 Glulam End Uses2013 U.S.: 230 Million Board Feet Industrial/Other13% Nonresidential Construction37% New Residential Construction& Remodeling 50% Source: APA estimates.
  33. Figure 33 North America Glulam Production Million Board Ft. 352 346 330 297 266 251 Source: APA Forecast
  34. Figure 34 I-joist End Uses2013 U.S.: 437 Million Linear Feet Remodeling 3% Nonresidential, Other7% New Residential 90% Source: APA estimates
  35. Figure 35 I-joist Market ShareU.S. Single-family Raised Floors 50% 50% 49% 47% 47% Source: Builder surveys, NAHB, Home Innovation Research Lab and APA Forecast
  36. Figure 36 I-joist Production Billion Linear Ft. .913 .906 .867 .778 .682 .626 Source: APA Forecast
  37. Figure 37 LVL End Uses2013 U.S. & Canada: 57.1 Million Cubic Feet Beam / HeaderIndustrialRim Board 73% I-joist Flanges 27% Source: APA Estimates
  38. Figure 38 LVL Share of Residential Beams and Headers Share Source: Builder surveys, NAHB, and Home Innovation Research Lab
  39. Figure 39 Residential Beams and HeadersMarket Share Share 54% 26% 6% 5% 3% In 2012: Built up 43%; Solid Sawn 10%, Wood Truss 1% Not shown: I-joist 3%. Source: Builder surveys, NAHB and Home Innovation Research Lab
  40. Figure 40 I-joists with LVL Flanges% of N.A. Production Source: APA estimates
  41. Figure 41 LVL Production Million Cubic Ft. 83.4 82.4 78.6 70.6 62.7 57.1 Source: APA Forecast
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