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FIQAS Verification Technologies

FIQAS Verification Technologies. GSD Verification Summit September 8, 2011 Missy Petty. Outline. Goals Current real time system (RTVS) Drivers for new developments Discussion of current efforts Network-Enabled Verification Service (NEVS)

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FIQAS Verification Technologies

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  1. FIQAS Verification Technologies GSD Verification Summit September 8, 2011 Missy Petty

  2. Outline • Goals • Current real time system (RTVS) • Drivers for new developments • Discussion of current efforts • Network-Enabled Verification Service (NEVS) • Verification, Requirements, and Monitoring Capability (VRMC)

  3. Goals of FIQAS Technologies • Verification information to support • Operational decision-making • Product development • Methodology development • Assessment of products in development and operations • Monitoring of product performance • Information in context of product use • Consistent with assessment techniques

  4. Current Verification - RTVS

  5. RTVS • Near-real-time in-house verification system of aviation weather products (forecasts and analyses) • Turbulence, Icing, Ceiling & Visibility, Convection domains • Traditional verification methodologies • Grid-to-grid, point-to-grid, point-to-polygon • PODy, PODn, TSS, Volume efficiency • Provides historical performance baselines • Current operational products • Used for AWC reporting • Previous versions of operational products • Developmental (pre-operational) products during development and transition to operations • e.g., GTG (2003-2010), GTG2 (2007-now)

  6. Drivers for New Developments • NextGen: an overhaul of the management of the NAS • New communication protocols (web services) • Advancement of Decision Support Systems for more effective use of weather information • Advancement of verification methodologies: more emphasis on context of product use • Incorporation of decision criteria, operational spatial domains • Incorporation of air traffic data • Metrics linking forecast quality to operational constraints • e.g., Air space capacity (Mincut Bottleneck) • Advancement of weather products • New high-resolution gridded products • New capabilities in existing products

  7. New FIQAS Technologies NEVS An operational system to support aviation operations • RTVS • Invasive changes to add new products and methodologies • Not equipped to interface to 4D Wx Data Cube • Invasive changes to meet operational security requirements Replaced by VRMC An “in-house” capability

  8. NEVS and VRMC – Common Characteristics • Modular for adaptability to new products and verification methods • Will provide performance metrics relevant to product’s context of use • Host for performance baselines (each targeted for different need) • Web user interface for access

  9. NEVS • Operational system to • Support operational aviation decision-making • Provide feedback into the forecast process • Support Quality Management processes of FAA and NWS • Aligned with NextGen protocols for ingest (near-term) and output (long-term) • Transition to NWS as operational system (Sept 2014)

  10. NEVS Transition to NWS • NWS OSIP transition process (Stage 3) • 3 phases, (roughly) aligned with NextGen timeline • Phase 1 (Sept 2014), aligned with deployment of Cube • Alpha 2012, Beta 2013 • Products currently in RTVS (latest versions) • Upgraded techniques • Ingest from Cube (web services), • Output via web application • Phase 2 (2017) • Additional products, new methodologies • Extended domain (OCONUS) • Verification Service (disseminate via web services) • Phase 3 (2022) • …

  11. Verification, Requirements, and Monitoring Capability • In-house verification capability • “Weakly” operational • Near-real-time operations • Will meet GSD security requirements • Assessment support • Platform for performance baselines (versioning) • Products in development and transition to operations • Products involved in FIQAS assessments • Methodologies under development • First prototype Sept 2011

  12. FIQAS Migration Process

  13. VRMC Demo

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