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2022 PC1-3 – High Gas Price Sensitivity PowerPoint Presentation
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Study Results High Gas Sensitivity Low Gas Sensitivity High High Gas Sensitivity Low Low Gas Sensitivity.

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Presentation Transcript
slide1
Study ResultsHigh Gas SensitivityLow Gas SensitivityHigh High Gas SensitivityLow Low Gas Sensitivity

This slide deck contains results from the 2011 TEPPC Study Program. This study shows the results of how production cost, generation dispactch, and transmission utilization differ from the Common Case and a result of different gas prices.

2022 pc1 3 high gas price sensitivity
2022 PC1-3 – High Gas Price Sensitivity
  • Central Question: How does production cost, generation dispatch, and transmission utilization change if gas prices are greater than assumed in the Common Case (CC)?
  • Change to starting input assumptions:
    • Loads – none
    • Transmission System – None
    • Generation – Henry Hub gas price increased from $5.43 to $9.50 ($2012), 175% of CC price
  • Results follow…
2022 high gas price results changes in transmission utilization
2022 High Gas Price Results – Changes in Transmission Utilization

Most Heavily Utilized Paths

Increases in U90 Relative to Common Case >5% Indicated in Red

P01 Alberta-British Columbia

P03 Northwest-British Columbia

P08 Montana to Northwest

P11 West of Crossover

P10 West of Colstrip

P66 COI *NEW*

P29 Intermountain-Gonder

P27 IPP DC Line

P60 Inyo-Control

P26 Northern-Southern California

P47 – Southern New Mexico

P45 SDG&E-CFE

2022 pc1 4a low gas price sensitivity
2022 PC1-4a – Low Gas Price Sensitivity
  • Central Question: How does production cost, generation dispatch, and transmission utilization change if gas prices are less than assumed in the Common Case (CC)?
  • Change to starting input assumptions:
    • Loads – none
    • Transmission System – None
    • Generation – Henry Hub gas price decreased from $5.43 to $4.07 ($2012), 75% of CC price
  • Results follow…
2022 low gas price results changes in transmission utilization
2022 Low Gas Price Results – Changes in Transmission Utilization

Most Heavily Utilized Paths

Increases in U90 Relative to Common >5% Case Indicated in Red

P01 Alberta-British Columbia

P03 Northwest-British Columbia

P08 Montana to Northwest

P11 West of Crossover

P10 West of Colstrip

P29 Intermountain-Gonder

P27 IPP DC Line

P60 Inyo-Control

P26 Northern-Southern California

P61 Lugo-Victorville *NEW*

P47 – Southern New Mexico

P45 SDG&E-CFE