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System Dynamics Projects in Eskom. NALINI SOOKNANAN PILLAY HEAD: SYSTEM DYNAMICS CENTRE OF EXPERTISE RESEARCH TESTING AND DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABILITY GROUP. System Dynamics CoE Alignment with Eskom’s Strategic Imperatives. BUSINESS FOCUS AREAS. System causality through causal loop diagrams.

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System Dynamics Projects in Eskom


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    1. System Dynamics Projects in Eskom NALINI SOOKNANAN PILLAY HEAD: SYSTEM DYNAMICS CENTRE OF EXPERTISE RESEARCH TESTING AND DEVELOPMENT SUSTAINABILITY GROUP

    2. System Dynamics CoEAlignment with Eskom’s Strategic Imperatives BUSINESS FOCUS AREAS System causality through causal loop diagrams Asset Management Distribution Customer Service Research and consulting in the field of systems thinking and system dynamics Extraction of core archetypal behaviour System Market Operator IDM Primary energy Extend mental models into SD simulators with feedbacks & time delays Development of appropriate user interface tools Generation and New Build EAL Strategy & Policy Build capacity for SD simulations and systems thinking principles 2

    3. System Dynamics CoELanguage of System Dynamics System Time 3 3

    4. System Dynamics CoEPositioning of Eskom • Strategic Orientation Feedback • Operational Planning SYSTEMIC UNDERSTANDING “ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGES/ DECISIONS/ POLICIES DO NOT INSTANTLY FLOW FROM EVIDENCE, DEDUCTIVE LOGIC AND MATHEMATICAL OPTIMIZATION” EDWARD B. ROBERTS Gen IV Nuclear, Batteries, Smart grid, Electric Vehicle, Wave power, GS Heat Pumps, Disruptive Technologies, Ocean pumped storage, Efficiency technologies, Energy Intelligence, Energy storage, Mini-grids CCS, etc. DETERMINISTIC IRP, Intl. Treaties, CO2 derivatives, Fossil depletion, Energy policy, Transport & Mobility, Non-proliferation of Nuclear, Customer Behaviour, Demand Response, Carbon Tax etc. Water, Tariffs, Emissions, etc. PF Coal, HVDC, PWR, FGD, Nuclear, Gas, Pumped storage etc. Systems have unique emergent properties.

    5. System Dynamics CoE EXAMPLES OF SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPLICATION Eskom Technology Systems Model Strategy Scenario Simulator Gini Coefficient Simulator 5 5

    6. System Dynamics CoEEskom Technology Systems Simulator: E-TechSim YOU HAVE A FLIGHT SIMULATOR TO ENGAGE IN STRATEGIC DIALOGUES CAUTION: BY RUNNING THE MODEL, YOU HAVE NOT CONSULTED THE ORACLE!! 6

    7. System Dynamics CoEEskom Technology Systems Simulator: E-TechSim 7

    8. System Dynamics CoEOrganisational Strategy: Eskom Scenario Simulator

    9. System Dynamics CoEOrganisational Strategy: Eskom Scenario Simulator

    10. System Dynamics CoEExploring Gini Coefficient Dynamics 10

    11. System Dynamics CoEResearch Projects 11

    12. System Dynamics CoE “TODAYS SOLUTIONS ARE TOMORROWS PROBLEMS….” 12