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Thoughts about Population Projections. Applied Demography Conference January 9, 2014. Qian Cai, University of Virginia Rebecca Tippett, University of North Carolina. Projection Methodologies. “Looking Into the Past: Thomas Circle, Washington, DC” by Jason E. Powell.

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Thoughts about Population Projections


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    1. Thoughts about Population Projections Applied Demography Conference January 9, 2014 Qian Cai, University of Virginia Rebecca Tippett, University of North Carolina

    2. Projection Methodologies “Looking Into the Past: Thomas Circle, Washington, DC” by Jason E. Powell

    3. Purposes & Use of Projections

    4. Accuracy & Plausibility http://xkcd.com/605

    5. { Priority #1 Total Population Population Projections { Sex * Age * Race Hispanic Origin Priority #3 Priority #2 Priority #4

    6. Our Approach is guided by statistical and demographic theories is straightforward, practical, and easy to implement produces reasonable results

    7. Contact • Qian Cai • Director, Demographics Research Group • Weldon Cooper Center, University of Virginia • qian.cai@virginia.edu | (434) 982-5581 • Rebecca Tippett • Director, Carolina Demography • Carolina Population Center, UNC-Chapel Hill • rtippett@unc.edu | (919) 966-2829 • http://www.coopercenter.org/demographics/national-population-projections