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Elements of Threat - Challenges for Visualisation

Elements of Threat - Challenges for Visualisation. Barry Horne Visualisation N/X Penn State University 11 March 2003.

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Elements of Threat - Challenges for Visualisation

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  1. Elements of Threat - Challenges for Visualisation Barry Horne Visualisation N/X Penn State University 11 March 2003

  2. “Winston Wiley Deputy Director, CIA in 1998 discussed a number of generic threats. He suggests that the most direct threats will probably come from terrorism, and will include attacks against information systems such as critical infrastructure systems.” • (However, international disputes with nation states and non-state actors such as pressure groups cannot be ruled out.) • Transnational Threats to NATO in 2010. Winston Wiley. Deputy Director, CIA 10 February 1998. http://www.cia.gov/cia/di/speeches/index.html

  3. Critical National Infrastructure • Telecommunications • Financial Institutions • Utilities • Transport Infrastructure • Health Services • Emergency Services • Large Commercial complexes • Critical Technologies/Manufacture • Government Buildings • Military Installations • Law Enforcement organisations

  4. Threat Actors • Nation State • Insider • Terrorist • Investigative Agency • Criminal • Commercial Groups • Pressure Group • Hacker

  5. Some Characteristics of Conflict in the Information Age • The growth in asymmetric adversaries and non-state actors (empowered small agents) • Freely available easy to use technology • The globalization of information systems, financial markets and economies, and the media • Geographical borders irrelevant • Freely available massive data sets

  6. Where do attacks/intrusions originate?

  7. You can never be sure….. • Eligible Receiver ‘97 • Demonstration of hostile penetration of CNI and DOD • Solar Sunrise ‘98 • Systematic intrusions to DOD at time of tension in Gulf by Californian juveniles and Israeli ‘mentor’ • Moonlight Maze ‘98 - Wake Up Call! • Large scale intrusions eventually traced back to dial-up Internet connections near Moscow • “We are in the middle of a cyber war” - Dr Hamre, Dep Sec Def

  8. Level playing field • Equity in intelligence (David Hall) • Massive amounts of quality data available freely on Internet from official sources • Non-attributable information gathering • Anonymous browsing • Internet café

  9. What’s available in the Internet Candy Store? • Utilities • Transport systems • Personal data • Maps • Imagery • Economic data • … and much more! • And it’s all FREE! (No audit trail)

  10. Anomalous behaviour? • How to detect intelligence gathering on the Internet? • Anomalous behaviour = • Terrorist gathering information? • Or • High school student geography project?

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