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WELCOME TO PRESENTATION ON. 28 TH JUL.2013. K G KRUPAL AUTHOR, BROKER, COLUMNIST. SENSEX MOVEMENT ON 26 TH JULY ‘13. High : 19,907, Low: 19,699 ( 208 points ), Close: 19,748. WEEKLY SCENARIO. INDICES INDEX. INDICES MAZIC. INVESTMENT. Business performance Focus on value

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Presentation Transcript
slide1

WELCOME TO PRESENTATION ON

28TH JUL.2013

K G KRUPAL

AUTHOR, BROKER, COLUMNIST

slide2

SENSEX MOVEMENT ON 26TH JULY ‘13

High : 19,907, Low: 19,699 (208 points), Close: 19,748

investment

INVESTMENT

Business performance

Focus on value

Understand company

Rational approach

Depends on analysis

value of analysis diminishes, as element of chance increases

speculation
SPECULATION
  • Price performance
  • Focus on price
  • Rely on information
  • Fashionable approach
  • Depends on chance

Speculator react to prices. Investor react to fundamentals

slide9

IT ESTIMATES FUTURE VALUE ON SPECIFIC DEVELOPMENTS.

  • FUTURE EVENTS PERCOLATES INTO PRESENT VALUES.
  • IT DISCOUNTS FUTURE AND NEGLECTS, WHEN FUTURE TURNS PRESENT.
  • MOVES EITHER WAY IN LIGHTENING SPEED.
  • PROVIDINGliquidity is the prime plus point of this market.
slide10

BROKERS & SUB-BROKERS

  • 10,203
  • 83,808
  • 10,268
  • 77,141
  • 9,643
  • 69,335
slide12

VALUE STOCKS

  • Shares which are trading @ below the book value, high dividend yield, low P/E multiple, low price to book value, or quotation is below the intrinsic value are value stocks.
slide13

FACTORS INFLUENCING PRICE FLUCTUATIONS

  • 1.Demand and Supply
  • 2. Corporate development --general & specific
  • 3. Govt. policies & its impact
  • 4. Developments affecting country’s economy
  • 5. Index changes and price variation in global markets.
  • 6. F I Is and M.F.s activities.
  • 7. Change in promoters stake.
  • 8. Settlements and outstandings in F & O.
  • 9. Raising of funds, issue of ADR/GDR/FCCBS.
  • 10. Media highlights, both print and electronic.
slide14

WHAT FACTORS IMPACT CAPITAL MARKET

  • CAPITAL MARKET IS SUPER SENSITIVE AND BECAUSE OF ITS NATURE THE NAME SENSITIVE INDEX (SENSEX) IS ARRIVED.
  • MONSOON FACTOR, ECONOMIC FACTORS LIKE INDUSTRIAL GROWTH, EXPORTS & IMPORTS, INFLATION, BANKING REGULATORY ACTIONS SUCH AS CRR, REPO, REVERSE REPO RATE CHANGE ETC.
  • REGULATORY ACTIONS AGAINST MARKET, COMPANIES, CHANGE IN POLICIES OF GOVT.
slide15

FACTORS INFLUENCING PRICE FLUCTUATIONS (INTERNAL)

  • COPORATE BENEFITS SUCH AS BONUS, RIGHTS,

DIVIDEND ACTIONS LIKE STOCK SPLIT, NAME

CHANGE, CONSOLIDATION, STAKE SALE OR

CHANGE, BUSINESS AGREEMENTS, MERGER &

AMALGAMATION,

PLEDGING & RELEASE OF

SHARES BY MANAGEMENTS

slide16

Weakness

Hasty

decisions

Ignorance

Greediness

slide17

THREATS

Loss of liquidity

Losing capital

Returns Risk

slide18

STRENGTHS

Be informed before invest

Restrict operations for

making reasonable profit

Keep cool & balanced

mind for market variations

slide19

OPPURUNITIES

Capital appreciation

Corporate benefits

slide20

SENSEX

  • Sensitivity barometer of the market which shows the mood and trend of the investors. Sensex has become a brand of the Indian Capital Market.
  • Because of the heavy monetary flood from local and foreign funds sensex has touched all time high of 21,206.77 on 10.01.08. With market capitalisation of Rs.71,41,611 Crores, there are only 30 shares in the Sensex
  • PRESENT MARKET CAP : Rs.64.34 lac Crs. On 26th July13
slide22

SENSEX MOVEMENTS

24th May : 19,704.33

31st May : 19,760.30

08th June : 19,429.23

14th June : 19,177.93

21ST June : 18,774.24

28th June : 19,395.81

05th July : 19,495.82

12th July : 19,958.47

19th July : 20,149.85

26th July : 19,748.19

slide23

TATA STEEL -FPO

  • ALLOTED 83,25000 SHARES TO ANCHOR INVESTORS @ Rs.610 IN Jan.11
  • 17 ALLOTEES
slide26

WHO IS RIGHT

  • TTK PRESTIGE: CALLS BY
  • BROKERAGES
slide27

WHO IS RIGHT

HIND.UNILEVER LTD:

CALLS BY

  • BROKERAGES
slide30

M M T CMOVEMENTS

6 MONTHS CHART

Rs.48.75

slide31

MMTC – 1 MONTH GRAPH(28TH MAR 13)

GOVT. 99.33% , DIIs 0.5% , OTHERS 0.17%

canara bank 6 monts chart
CANARA BANK 6 MONTS CHART

Rs.269.10

HIGH: 550 (14TH Jan 13) LOW: 261(26TH Jul.13)

slide35

APOLLO TYRES LTD

3 MONTHS

Rs.68.30

slide36

KARNATAKA BANK PRICE MOVEMENT

IN BSE ON 21ST JUNE 2013

slide40

WEALTH DESTROYERS

  • KOUTONS RETAIL
  • SKS MICROFINANCE
  • GTL & GTL INFRA
  • KEMROCK INDUSTRIES
  • CROMPTON GREAVES
  • ZYLOG SYSTEMS
  • CORE EDUCATION TECHNOLOGIES
  • WELSPUN CORP
  • OPTO CIRCUITS
  • BILCARE
  • AANJANEYA LIFECARE
  • GITANJALI GEMS
slide42

MUTUAL FUND INVESTMENTS

(IN Rs. CRORES)

slide44

CHANGES- COMPARISION

  • EARLIER -- NO MARKET REGULATOR, MINDS WERE SELF REGULATED.
  • NOW -- MARKETS ARE FULLY REGULATED, MINDS TO BE REGULATED.
  • EARLIER --RUPEE WAS COSTLIER, ASSETS WERE CHEEPER.
  • NOW -- RUPEE IS CHEEPER, ASSETS ARE COSTLIER.
slide45

TIPS & NEWS FROM SMS,

  • FOCUS ON TOPLINE LINKED TO BOTTOM LINE.
  • THINK BEFORE YIELDING TO UNLIMITED TURNOVER FACILITY WITH A LIMITED FEES
  • AVOID TEMPTATION BASED ON HIGH TURNOVER IN SCRIPS.
slide46

Assess the market Price behavior

  • Combine fundamental and technical analysis
  • Develop sound strategies for growth stocks
  • Beware of operators’ game play
  • Take Swift corrective action i.e. keep stop loss
  • Take disciplined decision
slide47

TAXATION

  • SHORT TERM, i.e. within one year, profits are taxed @ 15% FROM 2008-09
  • LONG TERM, i.e. held for more than one year, there is no tax on the profits.
  • Dividends are totally tax free.
  • Trading profits are taxed as normal income at the applicable slab.
slide48

SUCCESS MANTRA

TO BE

SUCCESSFUL INVESTOR

THINK PROFIT

IN TUNE WITH

DHIRUBAI AMBANI MANTRA THINK BIG

slide50

MONEY MAKING EQUATION

  • SHARE BUSINESS PROFIT

= E F E P

  • = ENTRY ON FUNDAMENTALS
  • EXIT FOR PROFIT (NO CONDITIONS APPLY)
slide51

SOURCES OF INFORMATION

  • Internet –
      • www.sebi.gov.in
      • www.bseindia.com & www.nseindia.com
      • www.nsdl.com &
      • www.bgse.co.in & www.bfsl.co.in
  • Companies websites
  • Company reports-
      • Offer documents/ Prospectus
      • Annual/Half yearly/Quarterly reports
  • Stock Exchange’s Information centre
  • Broker’s Offices & Media- Print and Electronic