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RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES. SOLAR ENERGY. PRIVATE SECTOR EXPERIENCES & FINANCING. Murat Sungur BURSA CEO, Zorlu Energy Group. V.SWISS – TURKISH ECONOMIC FORUM - ISTANBUL. World Electricity Sector. Installed Capacity – 2007 Total: 4.013 GW. Generation Capacity – 2007

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slide1

RENEWABLE ENERGY RESOURCES

SOLAR ENERGY

PRIVATE SECTOR

EXPERIENCES & FINANCING

Murat Sungur BURSA

CEO, Zorlu Energy Group

V.SWISS – TURKISH ECONOMIC FORUM - ISTANBUL

slide2

World Electricity Sector

Installed Capacity – 2007

Total: 4.013 GW

Generation Capacity – 2007

Total: 19.771 TWh

Source: Energy Information Administration

slide3

Electricity Sector in Turkey

Installed Capacity – 2008

Total: 42,9 GW

Generation Capacity – 2008

Total: 198,3 billion kWh

Source : EİE

slide4

Economy vs. Power Demand

From 1986 to 2008 average electricity demand growth is 7,7% while GDP growth rate is 5,2%.

energy intensity
Energy Intensity

Source: EİE

slide7

Demand Projections

Reliable Generation Projection:

Source: TEIAS

slide8

Turkey Energy Challenges and Opportunities

  • -Installed capacity in 2008 is 42.000 MW,
  • -Expected to increase to 96.000 MW by 2020,
  • - Approximately 100 Bil US$ investment will be required.
  • -Over the next five years 17.000 MW capacity will be added to cost 25-35 Bil US$
slide9

Investments in 2008

Source: Ministry of Energy, Turkey

slide11

Why Renewable Energy?

  • Energy Security:
    • Diversification
    • Dependancy
  • -Import Substitution
  • -Sustainability
  • -Environmental friendliness
  • Global warming (Kyoto Protocol ratified Feb,2 2009)
  • -EU Integration
slide12

Renewable Targets

  • “25% of total generation from Renewables by 2020.”
  • HydroPower:
    • Full exploitation of feasible hydro potential by 2023.
  • Wind Power:
    • 20.000 MW wind power until 2020.
  • Geothermal:
    • 600 MW of geothermal capacity by 2020.
  • Solar:
slide15

Incentives for Renewables

Feed in Tariff Mechanism

Power Purchase Guarantee – guarantee for 10 years

€ based Prices – 5,5 €¢/kWh

Eligibility to enjoy all investment incentives

Exemption from licensing fees

85% deduction on land use costs

  • New Renewable Energy Law is on the way:
  • Purchase guarantee for 10 or 20 years
  • More competitive prices
slide16

Main Criteria for CSP

  • Efficiencies around %10 - %25
  • Land requirement 12.000 – 20.000 m2 / MW
  • Collector life around 25 years
  • Construction time ~ 3 years (for 50 MW)
  • Capital investment ~ 4 – 7 mio USD per MW
slide17

CSP Return of Investment*

Not Available

Payback : 12-13 years

Payback : 8-9 years

* With the prices in the Draft Renewable Energy Law

slide18

Pay Back Time of Large Scale PV Investment

(>1 MW)

Pay Back : 14 years

Pay Back : 11 years

Pay Back : 9 years

* With the prices in the Draft Renewable Energy Law

slide19

Pay Back Time of Small Scale PV Investment

(<50 kW)

Pay Back : 12 years

Pay Back : 9 years

Pay Back : 7 years

* With the prices in the Draft Renewable Energy Law

slide20

PV Market Foresight of EPIA, 2020

2020

Installed

Capacity

GW

2020

Electricity

Generation

from PW

TWh

EPIA : European Phtovoltaic Industry Association

slide21

PV Installed Power vs. Year

IEA : International Energy Agency

slide22

1%

Market share (2006)

49%

27%

13%

10%

PV Applications

PV Applications

BIPV

Rooftop

PP

Size of the System

Residential Homes 1-10 kWp

Commercial 10- 1000kWp

Very lage Commercial > 1 GW

slide23

Zorlu Enerji Investment Strategy

Leading energy

company in Turkey

  • DIVERSIFICATION of RESOURCES
  • Natural gas>>Hydro, Geothermal, Wind, Solar)
  • - ENVIRONMENTAL FRIENDLY
  • TECHNOLOGIES
  • - BAT (Best Available Technology)
  • - SOCIALLY RESPONSIBILE

A robust, profitable,

environment

friendly growth

Regional player

in the global arena

- We support the Global Compact -