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Looking Ahead - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Looking Ahead
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  1. Looking Ahead • Joint Special Populations Advisory Committee • December 5, 2012 Presentation available at scottlay.com

  2. Topics • Looking Back • Looking Ahead • Discussion

  3. 1910 • Fresno becomes first junior college after the Legislature authorizes high schools to offer postsecondary courses

  4. 1917 • Legislature enacts Junior College Act, extends courses of study to: • mechanical and industrial arts • household economy • agriculture • civic education and • commerce.

  5. 1921 • Legislature authorizes creation of local districts • Organized under K-12 laws • locally-elected governing boards • State Department of Education to monitor • Creation of Junior College Fund • Nation’s first state funding

  6. 1960 • formally recognized the three systems • CCC mission: transfer, vocational and general ed • 56 locally governed districts; 380,000 students

  7. 1967 • Dept of Ed oversight deemed weak • Board of Governors created • “Bilateral governance” • 76 colleges, 610,000 students

  8. The Era of Change 1970s - 1980s • 1976 - Education Employment Relations Act • 1978 - Proposition 13 • 1984 - first enrollment fee • 1988 - AB 1725 • 1988 - Proposition 98

  9. 1990s-2000s • 1991-94: Recession caused fee increases, cuts. • 1994-2000: Strong revenue growth increased Prop 98 guarantee, fast CCC growth. • 2001: Stock market collapse • 2008: Real estate, banking collapse • Time of significant change.

  10. CCC 1980 61% white

  11. CCC 2012 69%non-white

  12. Shift Happens. Are we shifting accordingly?

  13. Three Years of Change • Dramatic changes in adult and noncredit education. • Significant reduction in “recreational” courses or “lifelong learning.” • Limits on community college repeatability. • Priority registration (forthcoming).

  14. CCC Enrollment

  15. K-12 Graduates Change

  16. Proposition 30 • “Yes” votes by age: • 18-29: 69% • 25-29: 61% • 30-39: 53% • 40-49: 47% • 50-64: 48% • 65+: 48% Yes: 55.3%, No: 44.7%

  17. Budget Outlook

  18. Proposition 983.4%-5.3% increase per year

  19. Looking Ahead • State’s outlook is moderately strong. • K-12 graduates 4% lower in 2020-21 than in 2009-10. • Students will choose employment over education. • Fixed and accrued costs will escalate as % of district budgets. • PERS, STRS, Retiree Health, “deferred” maintenance • Low demand will give “catch up” time. • Opportunities, and challenges ahead with divergent district needs.

  20. Looking Ahead for CTE • Modest Prop. 98 funding increases will strain budgets and pressure “low cost” programs. • High demand in high cost programs --how to fund? • Increased federal accountability likely with Perkins reauthorization.