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Pipeline Subcommittee. supporting data. June 29, 2010 DRAFT. Table of Contents. P-20 General Demographics P-12 Public School Students in CO 4 Location of P-12 Students 5 P-12 Colorado Public School Students 6 10-Year Change in P-12 Ethnic Pop. 7 P-12 Demographics by Region 8

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table of contents
Table of Contents

P-20 General Demographics

  • P-12 Public School Students in CO 4
  • Location of P-12 Students 5
  • P-12 Colorado Public School Students 6
  • 10-Year Change in P-12 Ethnic Pop. 7
  • P-12 Demographics by Region 8
  • High School Graduation Rates 9
  • 10-Year Change in P-12 Pop & HS Grad Rates 10
  • GED Candidates 11-12
  • PS Enrollment at Public and Private Inst 13
  • Location of Public PS Students 14
  • Ethnic Distribution by Inst and Pell Eligibility 15
  • Student Persistence & Retention Rates 16
  • Student Persistence by Ethnicity/Gender 17
  • Graduation Rates at 2-Year Institutions 18
  • Graduation Rates at 4-Year Institutions 19
  • Secondary/Postsecondary Pipeline 20
  • Pipeline by Ethnicity 21

Remediation

  • Remediation Rates by H.S. Region 23
  • Remediation Rates by Subject 24
  • Remediation Rates by Ethnicity 25
  • Remediation Rates by Course 26
  • Graduation Rates by Remedial Course 27

Accelerated Learning

  • Accelerated Learning by Ethnicity 29
  • Advanced Placement Participation and Perf. 30
  • Advanced Placement Course Completion 31

ACT Success Rates/Assessing College Readiness

  • Impact of State-wide ACT Testing 33
  • % of CO students ready for College 34
  • CO Regions meeting all ACT Benchmarks 35
  • Comparison of CO ACT Tested Juniors, Before and After State Testing 36
slide4

P-12 Public School Students in Colorado

Fall 2009

Total # of P-12 Students in Colorado = 832,368

slide5

Location of P-12 Students throughout Colorado

Fall 2009

Total # of Public P-12 Students = 832,368

Total # of Homeschoolers = 6,501

slide6

P-12 Colorado Public School Students - Fall 2009

832,121

700,955

84% of P12 students live along the I-25 corridor.

What are the implications for service delivery?

P-12 students

living along

I-25 corridor

P-12 students in

CO public schools

slide8

P-12 Demographics by Region

2009

*Graduation rate is based on 2005-06 9th grade cohort and adjusted for students transferring in or out of original district.

slide9

High School Graduation Rates

2009 Graduating Class

Total Students: 63,585

Total Graduates: 47,459

Overall Graduation Rate: 74.7%

*Total Students and Graduation Rates are based on 2005-06 9th grade cohort and adjusted for students transferring in or out of original district.

slide10

10-Year Change in P12 Ethnic Population &

High School Graduation Rates

82% of

White

Students

Graduate

2.5% h

33,272 out of 40,451

Graduate

61% h

58% of

Hispanic Students

Graduate H.S.

9,364 out of

16,202 Grad.

64% of

Black Students

Graduate H.S.

23% h

2,619 out of

4,070 Grad.

Latinos represent the largest growth of P12 students with the lowest high school graduation rates. How do we increase postsecondary enrollment rates for all, especially ethnic minority students?

*Graduation rate is based on 2005-06 9th grade cohort and adjusted for students transferring in or out of original district.

slide11

GED Candidates by Age, Ethnicity, and Gender

2008

Total Candidates Tested – 15,629

Total Completers – 11,678

Total Candidates who Passed – 9,724

Male Candidates – 59.9%

Female Candidates – 40.1%

slide12

GED Candidates by Region

2008

7,520

15,701 Students Tested

11,662 Passed

74.3% Overall Pass Rate

3,444

72%

1,601

79%

1,202

1,106

513

303

12

83%

69%

81%

75%

75%

60%

slide13

Postsecondary Enrollment at Public and Private Institutions

Fall 2008

Public Institutions

Private Institutions

Students at Public Institutions

219,859

Students at Private Institutions

155,309

Total students enrolled in Postsecondary education as of Fall 2008 = 375,168

slide14

Location of Public Postsecondary Students

Fall 2008

87% of postsecondary students are enrolled in colleges along the I-25 corridor.

I-25 Corridor

Total Students Enrolled

slide15

Ethnic Distribution by Institution and Pell Eligibility

Fall 2008

29% of students at

a CO public institution

are Pell eligible.

slide16

Student Persistence and Retention Rates

at Colorado 4-Year Public Institutions

Fall 2003 – Spring 2009

Year 13

Year 14

18,675 Students Begin College

Year 15

Year 16

Year 17 and beyond

13,911 Students Begin 2nd Year

(2 graduate)

11,320 Students Begin 3rd Year

(6 graduate)

75%

81%

91%

93%

9,687

Students Begin 4th Year

(563 gradate)

2,960

Students Begin 5th Year

(6085 gradate)

2,553

Continue

The most probable time for students to dropout of higher education is during or at the end of their first year of enrollment, shown here as a 25% decline in enrollment between year 13 and 14. As students persist, the likelihood of continuation toward graduation increases each year. If students can persist beyond their 2nd year, they have a very high likelihood of graduating.

slide17

Student Persistence Between Year 13 and 14

at Colorado Public Institutions by Ethnicity and Gender

Fall 2007 – Fall 2008

Non-Resident Alien

Unknown Ethnicity

Unknown Ethnicity

Native American

Native American

Non-Res Alien

Hispanic

Hispanic

Female

Female

White

White

Black

Asian

Asian

Black

Male

Male

Persistence between Year 13 and 14 is a strong indicator of the likelihood of graduating from college. Increasing persistence rates directly increases graduation rates.

slide18

Graduation Rates at 2-Year Public Institutions

Spring 2008

Average graduation rate

at 2-Year institutions is 25.4%.

Includes students receiving Associate degree or Certificate at either original or transfer institution, but only includes 2-Year to 2-Year transfers. Graduation rates for those transferring to 4-Year institutions is not shown here. Cohort is for 1st time High School graduates, ages 17-19, and degree-seeking students only.

slide19

Graduation Rates at 4-Year Public Institutions

Spring 2008

Average graduation rate

At 4-Year institutions is 57.7%.

Cohort is for 1st time High School graduates, ages 17-19, and degree-seeking students only.

slide20

Secondary/Postsecondary Pipeline

(Statewide)

Only 26% of the original 9thgrade

cohort received a degree within

6 years of beginning college.

24,340

4-Year

(18,186)

28% of 1st

Time students.

12,088

6,839

4-Year

(10,486)

(3,384)

slide21

Secondary/Postsecondary Pipeline by Ethnicity

Fall 2003

Spring 2009

14,585

Begin 4-Year

Public College

8,849 (61%)

Graduate

Within 6 Years

39%

24%

Fall 1999

Spring 2003

27% of original White cohort received a college degree.

37,137

Begin

High School

32,495

Graduate from

High School

White

88%

Fall 2003

Spring 2006

5,129

Begin 2-Year

Public College

1,214 (24%)

Graduate

Within 3 Years

3%

14%

419

Begin 4-Year

Public College

174 (42%)

Graduate

Within 6 Years

17%

7%

9% of original Black cohort received a college degree.

2,408

Begin

High School

1,849

Graduate from

High School

Black

77%

443

Begin 2-Year

Public College

57 (13%)

Graduate

Within 3 Years

2%

18%

1,637

Begin 4-Year

Public College

732 (45%)

Graduate

Within 6 Years

18%

8%

11% of original Hispanic cohort received a college degree.

9,009

Begin

High School

6,270

Graduate from

High School

Hispanic

70%

1,285

Begin 2-Year

Public College

238 (19%

Graduate

Within 3 Years

3%

14%

* Only includes students entering a Public 2 or 4 Year Institution.

slide23

Remediation Rates by High School Region

Fall 2008 - 1st Time College Students

Average remediation rate

across the state is 28.5%.

Total Students

slide24

Remediation Rates by Subject (All Public Colleges)

Fall 2008

12% of 1st time

college students are

taking remedial Reading

23% of 1st time

college students are

taking remedial Math

17% of 1st time

college students are

taking remedial Writing

Indicates percentage of total students per subject, based on cohort of 29,704 1st time college students.

slide25

Remediation Rates by Ethnicity

Fall 2008

% of total students

slide26

Remediation Rates by course

1st time College Students - Fall 2008

6.7%

% of all 1st time

undergraduate students

5.3%

3.8%

3.5%

3.1%

2.1%

1.6%

0.4%

0.3%

slide27

Graduation Rates for Community College students

enrolled in Remedial Math 030, 060, and 090

Math 030 Cohort:

100%

72%

62%

46%

36%

25%

13%

8%

4%

1662

Enroll

MAT 030

1189

Complete

MAT 030

1031

Enroll

MAT 060

761

Complete

MAT 060

591

Enroll

MAT 090

409

Complete

MAT 090

220

Enroll

MAT 090

137

Complete

College Math

61

Graduate

100%

75%

54%

36%

24%

17%

8%

2908

Enroll

MAT 060

2171

Complete

MAT 060

1562

Enroll

MAT 090

1040

Complete

MAT 090

693

Enroll

MAT 090

499

Complete

College Math

222

Graduate

Math 060 Cohort:

100%

68%

35%

26%

12%

2363

Enroll

MAT 090

1604

Complete

MAT 090

833

Enroll

MAT 090

603

Complete

College Math

275

Graduate

Math 090 Cohort:

Each additional remedial math course that is required decreases a student’s

chance of graduating with an Associates Degree by 4%. Graduation rates for

Math 030, 060, and 090 students are 4%, 8%, and 12%, respectively.

slide29

Accelerated Learning by Ethnicity

2008–09 School Year

Student Headcount

TBD

slide30

Advanced Placement Participation & Performance

2009 Graduating Class

Total Graduates Unknown

Total Graduates Unknown

slide33

The impact of State-wide ACT Testing

on College Enrollment

  • 13% of Colorado students who had not planned to attend college at the time of testing ended up enrolling in college the next year.
  • From 2002 to 2007, the percentage of CO high school grads enrolled in college the following fall increased by 1 percentage point.
  • More males, minority students, middle and lower income students, and first-generation students took the ACT, which resulted in more opportunities to increase access and participation.
slide34

Percent of CO students ready for College-Level Coursework

(Based on ACT scores for 2009 Graduating Class)

A benchmark score is the minimum score needed on an ACT subject-area test to indicate a 50% chance of obtaining a B or

higher or about a 75% chance of obtaining a C or higher in the corresponding credit-bearing college course.

slide35

% By Colorado Region Meeting All ACT College Readiness Benchmarks

% Meeting

Benchmark

A benchmark score is the minimum score needed on an ACT subject-area test to indicate a 50% chance of obtaining a B or higher or about a 75% chance of obtaining a C or higher in the corresponding credit-bearing college course.