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WTO Expert Symposium on Evaluation

WTO Expert Symposium on Evaluation. Monitoring AfT flows. Outline. Why monitor aid for trade? How to monitor aid for trade? Aid for trade flows in 2006 Global flows Sector distribution Regional distribution Main recipients Main donors Additionality Conclusions.

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WTO Expert Symposium on Evaluation

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  1. WTO Expert Symposium on Evaluation Monitoring AfT flows

  2. Outline • Why monitor aid for trade? • How to monitor aid for trade? • Aid for trade flows in 2006 • Global flows • Sector distribution • Regional distribution • Main recipients • Main donors • Additionality • Conclusions

  3. Why Monitor Aid for Trade?

  4. How to Monitor? PerformanceIndicators QuantitativeInformation Tracking Aidfor Trade flows WTO Global Review of Aid for Trade Donorself-assessments QualitativeInformation In-countryself-assessments TPRM: more in-depth assessments

  5. Tracking Global Flows Using theCreditor Reporting System (CRS) CRS Economic Growth Other Social Development • Trade Policy & Regulations • Productive Capacity • Infrastructure • Trade Related Structural Adjustment • Education • Health • Governance • Debt • Multi Sector • Emerging Aid • Administrative Costs Other Trade-Related Needs DAC Donors Recipient Global Amounte.g. € 23 bn. Donor Amounte.g. € 2 bn. Recipient Amounte.g. € 0.5 mn. WTO Annual Aid for Trade Review

  6. Aid for Trade Commitments In 2006: • 10% increase, or • $2.2 bn (USD billion, 2005 constant)

  7. Sector Distribution In 2006: • Infra + $1 bn • PCB + $0.8 bn • TPR + $0.4 bn 4.4% 3.1 % 42.7% 42.2% 52.4% 53.4% (USD billion, 2005 constant) Infrastructure Productive Capacity Building Trade Policy & Regulations

  8. Regional Distribution $10.4 bn $1.2 bn $7.5 bn $1.8 bn $0.2 bn 2002-05 Ave. 2006

  9. Regional and Sector Distribution AFRICA AMERICA ASIA EUROPE OCEANIA GLOBAL Infrastructure Productive Capacity Building Trade Policy & Regulations

  10. Regional Programmes GLOBAL (6.6%) REGIONAL (10%) COUNTRIES (84%) 2002-2005 Average

  11. Regional Programmes GLOBAL REGIONAL COUNTRIES • Increased to: • USD 4.2 billion • 18.5% share of total Aid for Trade • Global programmes remained constant 2006

  12. Income Groups 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 LDCs OLICs LMICs UMICs 2002-05 Ave. 2006 LDCs OLICs GNI < $825 per capita LMICs $825 < GNI < 3255 LIMICs $3256 GNI < 10.065

  13. Country Concentration: Volume

  14. Country Concentration: Per Capita

  15. Donors 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 .5 0 2002-05 Ave. 2006

  16. Additionality?

  17. Conclusions • Increased 10% • Regional programmes doubled • Additionality: positive outlook Aid for Trade in 2006

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