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Explore the current and projected trends of the office market in Hudson Square, Manhattan, including vacancy rates, lease deals, rent comparables, and future predictions. Understand the impact of new developments on the market and investment opportunities.
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330 Hudson StreetRedevelopment Project Office Market Overview Presented by: Joseph J. Simone President Tishman Real Estate Services
Office Market Overview • Qualities of a Top Building • Age & Image • Floorplate Configuration • Floorplate Size Center Core 330 Hudson Side Core
Office Market Overview • Qualities of a Top Building • Common Areas • Mechanical Systems • Quality of Ownership • Tenant Roster – Office & Retail
Office Market Overview • Leasing Deals • Length of Leases • Concession Packages (Free Rent & TI) • Commissions (1 or 1.5) • Escalations (Direct Pass Through) • Electricity (Direct or Submeter) • Loss Factor
Calculating NOI • Gross Rental Revenue - $/sf • Taxes • Operating Expenses (for Class A 500K SF Building) • Repair & Maintenance • Cleaning • Utilities • Administrative Costs/Management Fees • Insurance • Downtime • Free Rent
Construction Upgrade Costs • Infrastructure • Tenant Improvements
Office Hotel Comparative Return Rates
Office Hotel Debt Service/Coverage Ratios
Current Office Market Conditions • Primary Indicators • Vacancy Rates • Asking Rents • Net Absorption
Manhattan – Overall (1Q 2007) • Inventory: 390.7 Million SF • Vacancy Rate: 5.5% • Average Asking Rents: $56.15 • Net Absorption: +1,128,672 SF
Hudson Square Submarket (1Q 2007) • Inventory: 17.8 Million SF • Vacancy Rate: 11.6% • Average Asking Rents: $41.79 PSF • Net Absorption: (116,400) SF
Asking Rent Comparables • 345 Hudson Street - 288,647 RSF Directly Available, $42 to $44 per RSF • 75 Varick Street – 331,081 RSF Directly Available, $47 per RSF • 100 Ave of the Americas – 64,935 RSF Directly Available, $42 per RSF • 185 Varick Street – 63,431 RSF Directly Available, $37 per RSF • 325 Hudson Street – 37,031 RSF Directly Available, $42 per RSF • 304 Hudson Street – 92,624 RSF Directly Available, $37 per RSF
Predictions/Projections for Manhattan Office Market • 8 Reasons For Continued Market Strength: • Office Employment , Office Space Inventory • Rent growth lags inflation • Vacancy rate below equilibrium • Limited new construction projected • Rent Paid/GCP Ratio Decline • Hot Investment sales market • Manhattan Class A Rents lag global competitors • High construction costs put upward pressure on rents
6. Hot Investment Sales Market • Cap rate compression • Expectation of higher rents? • Negative debt coverage ratios?
8. High construction costs put upward pressure on rents • Midtown Class A development might need rents of $118+ psf to justify returns
Relevance to Hudson Square? • How will a new (or newly refurbished) building in Hudson Square meet the market?