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Accounting For Management Decisions. WEEK 7 ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS READING: TEXT CH 6. Learning Objectives. Define what a ratio is Identify the key aspects of financial performance and financial position that are evaluated by the use of ratios
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Accounting For Management Decisions WEEK 7 ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF FINANCIAL STATEMENTS READING: TEXT CH 6
Learning Objectives • Define what a ratio is • Identify the key aspects of financial performance and financial position that are evaluated by the use of ratios • Explain the terms profitability, efficiency, liquidity, gearing and investment • Summarise the alternative bases of comparison for ratio analysis • Present the ratio formulae for the basic ratios • Calculate ratios to analyse the profitability, efficiency, liquidity, gearing and investment of a given entity’s financial statements over several periods
Learning Objectives cont’d • Interpret basic ratios for profitability, efficiency, liquidity, gearing and investment • Discuss the limitations of ratios as a tool of financial analysis • Understand index or percentage analysis as an alternative to ratios
Financial Ratios Learning Objective: Define what a ratio is • Ratios provide a quick and simple means of examining the financial health of a business • A ratio simply expresses the relationship between one figure appearing in the financial statements with anothereg net profit in relation to capital employed • Ratios are simple enough to calculate, and a good picture can be built up with just a few, however, ratios can be difficult to interpret • Can be expressed in various forms eg percentages, fractions, proportions, depending on the need and use for the information
Financial Ratios cont’d Learning Objective: Identify the key aspects of financial performance and financial position that are evaluated by the use of ratios The key aspects of financial performance/position evaluated by the use of ratios are: • Profitability • Efficiency • Liquidity • Gearing • Investment
Financial Ratio Classification Learning Objective: Explain the terms profitability, efficiency, liquidity, gearing and investment • Profitability- Measure of success in wealth creation • Efficiency - Effectiveness of utilisation of resources • Liquidity - The ability to meet short-term obligations • Gearing - Measure of degree of risk to do with the amount of leverage used to finance the business • Investment - Measure of the returns and performance of shares held by a business
The Need for Comparison Learning Objective: Summarise the alternative bases of comparison for ratio analysis Bases (benchmarks) that may be used as a basis of comparison for ratio analysis include: • ‘Intertemporal’ - Based on past performance • Budget - Based on planned performance • Intra-industry - Based on comparison of performance with other firms in the same industry A calculated ratio on its own does not say much about a business - it is only when it is compared with some form of ‘benchmark’ that the information can be interpreted and evaluated
The Key Steps in Financial Ratio Analysis Step 1: • Identify which key indicators and relationships require examination • Identify who needs the information and why they need it Step 2: • Choose the most relevant set of ratios that will accomplish the desired purposes • Calculate and record the results using the selected ratios Step 3: • Interpret and evaluate the results
Profitability ratios Some profitability ratios include the following: • Return on ordinary shareholders funds • Return on total assets • Return on capital employed • Net profit margin • Gross profit margin
The Ratios Calculated - Profitability Ratios Return on shareholders funds (ROSF): • Compares the amount of profit for the period available to the owners with the owners’ stake in the business • Normally expressed as a percentage ROSF = NP after taxation & preference div (if any) x 100 Average ord share capital plus reserves
The Ratios Calculated - Profitability Ratios cont’d Return on total assets (ROA): • Compares the net profit generated by the business with the assets owned by the business • Normally expressed as a percentage ROA = NP before interest & taxationx 100 Average total assets
The Ratios Calculated - Profitability Ratios cont’d Return on capital employed (ROCE): • Expresses the relationship between the net profit generated and the average long term capital invested • Normally expressed as a percentage ROCE = NP before interest and taxationx 100 (Share capital + long term loans)
The Ratios Calculated - Profitability Ratioscont’d Net profit margin: • Relates the net profit for the period to the sales during that period • Normally expressed as a percentage NP= NP before interest and taxation x 100 margin Sales
The Ratios Calculated - Profitability Ratios cont’d Gross profit margin: • Relates the gross profit of the business to the sales generated during the same period • Gross profit represents the difference between sales and COS • Normally expressed as a percentage Gross profit (GP) margin = Gross profitx 100 Sales
Efficiency ratios Efficiency ratios include the following: • Average inventory turnover period • Average settlement period for debtors • Average settlement period for creditors • Asset turnover period
The Ratios Calculated - Efficiency Ratios Average inventory turnover period: • Measures the averageperiod inventory was held • Normally expressed in terms of days • Average inventory is the simple average of opening and closing inventory for the period InventoryAverage inventory heldx 365 turnover = Cost of sales period
The Ratios Calculated - Efficiency Ratioscont’d Average settlement period for accounts receivable/debtors • Calculates an average of how long credit customers take to pay amounts owed • Normally expressed in terms of days Average= Average trade debtorsx 365 settlement period Credit sales
The Ratios Calculated - Efficiency Ratioscont’d Average settlement period for accounts payable/creditors: • Calculates how long, on average the business takes to pay its creditors • Normally expressed in terms of days AverageAverage trade creditorsx 365 settlement = Credit purchases period
The Ratios Calculated - Efficiency Ratioscont’d Asset turnover period: • Examines how effectively the assets of the business are being employed in generating sales revenue • Normally expressed in terms of days Average asset = Average total assets employedx 365 turnover period Sales
Net profit before interest and taxation Sales Multiplied by Sales Average total assets Equals Return on average total assets Figure 6.2 The main elements comprising the ROA ratio The Relationship Between Profitability and Efficiency The overall return on funds employed in the business will be determined both by the profitability of sales, and by efficiency in the use of assets
Liquidity ratios Liquidity ratios include the following: • Current ratio • Acid test ratio • Cash flow from operations ratio
The Ratios Calculated - Liquidity Ratios Current ratio: • Compares the business’s liquid assetswith its short-term liabilities (current liabilities) • Expressed in terms of the number of timesthe current assets will cover the current liabilities Current ratio = Current assets (CA) Current liabilities (CL)
The Ratios Calculated - Liquidity Ratioscont’d Acid test (also known as the quick/liquid ratio): • Represents a more stringent test of liquidity than the current ratio • Expressed in terms of the number of times the liquid current assets will cover the current liabilities Acid test = CA (excl. inventory & prepayments) CL
The Ratios Calculated - Liquidity Ratioscont’d Cash flows from operations ratio: • Compares the operating cash flows with the current liabilities of the business • Expressed in terms of the number of timesthe operating cash flows will cover the current liabilities Cash flows from = Operating cash flows operations ratio CL
Financial Gearing (Leverage) Financial Gearing: The existence of fixed payment bearing securities (eg loans) in the capital structure of a company • The level of gearing, or the extent to which a business is financed by outside parties is an important factor in assessing risk • Gearing may be used both to adequately finance the business, and to increase the returns to owners - provided that the returns generated from the borrowed funds exceed the interest cost of borrowing
Financial Gearing ratios Financial gearing or leverage ratios include the following: • Gearing ratio • Interest cover ratio
The Ratios Calculated - Financial Gearing (Leverage) cont’d Gearing ratio: • Measures the contribution of long-term lenders to the long-term capital structure of the business • Expressed in terms of a percentage Gearing ratio = Long-term liabilities x 100 Share capital + Reserves + L/term liab
The Ratios Calculated - Financial Gearing (Leverage) cont’d Interest cover ratio (times interest earned): • Measures the amount of profitavailable to coverinterest expense of the business • Expressed in terms of the number of timesthe profit generated by the business will cover the interest expense of its gearing Interest cover ratio = Profit before interest and taxation Interest expense
Investment ratios Investment ratios include the following: • Dividends per share • Dividend payout ratio • Dividend yield ratio • Earnings per share • Operating cash flow per share • Price/earnings ratio
The Ratios Calculated - Investment Ratios cont’d Dividends per share: • Relates the dividends announcedto the number of shares on issue of the business during a period • Not a measure of total return of the business Dividends = Dividends announced during period per share No. of shares on issue during period
The Ratios Calculated - Investment Ratioscont’d Dividend payout ratio: • Measures the proportion of earningsthat a company pays out to shareholders in the form of dividends • Expressed as a percentage Dividend = Dividends announced for the year x 100 payout ratio Earnings for year available for dividends
The Ratios Calculated - Investment Ratios cont’d Dividend yield ratio: • Relates the cash returnfrom a share to its current market value • Expressed as a percentage Dividend yield = Dividends per share/(1 - t)x 100 Market value per share where: t = company tax rate
The Ratios Calculated - Investment Ratioscont’d Earnings per share: • Relates the earningsgenerated by the company during a period to the number of shares on issue during the period • Expressed as an amount Earnings per share = Earnings available to ord. s/holders Number of ordinary shares on issue
The Ratios Calculated - Investment Ratioscont’d Operating cash flow per share: • Relates the operating cash flowof the business during a period to the numberofshares on issue during the period • Expressed as an amount Operating cash = Operating cash flows - Pref dividends flow per share Number of ord. shares on issue
The Ratios Calculated - Investment Ratios cont’d Price earnings ratio: • Relates the market valueof a share to the earnings per share • Expressed in terms of the number of times the share price is greater than the current earnings per share Price earnings ratio = Market value per share Earnings per share
Trend Analysis • Trends may be identified by plotting key ratios on a graph, giving a visual representation of changes happening over time • Intra-company trends may be compared against industry trends • Key financial ratios are often published in companies annual reports as a way to help users to identify important trends
Ratios and Prediction Models • Ratios are often used to help predict the future however the choice of ratios and interpretation of results depend on the judgement of the analyst • Researchers have developed ratio-based models which claim to predict future financial distress as well as vulnerability to takeover • The future is likely to see further ratio-based prediction models developed to predict other aspects of financial performance
Limitations of Ratio Analysis Learning Objective: Discuss the limitations of ratios as a tool of financial analysis • The quality of the underlying financial statements determines the usefulness of the ratios derived from them • Ratios only offer a restricted view of relative performance and position - not the full picture • No two businesses are identical and the greater their differences, the greater the limitations of ratio analysis as a basis for comparison • Any ratios based upon balance sheet figures will not be representative of the whole period because the balance sheet is a snapshot of a moment in time.
Index or Percentage Analysis Learning Objective: Understand index or percentage analysis as an alternative to ratios Index/Percentage analysis simply allows monetary figures to be replaced with an index or a percentage. There are 3 alternative index/percentage methods: • The common size reports (also known as vertical analysis) – the key figure in the report, usually sales becomes 100 and all other figures are expressed as a percentageof that figure.
Index or Percentage Analysis cont’d • Trend % – All figures in a base year are indexed as 100 and all subsequent years figures are expressed as a % of the base year figure. • % change (also known as horizontal analysis) – the % change for the year is shown for each line item