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Outlook for CIS Iron Ore Market Andrey Kuzmin Head of Raw Materials Department Metal Courier CIS Raw Materials in World Markets 15 -16 November 2006, Moscow. The main points of presentation CIS domestic market structure CIS iron ore export structure Iron ore consumption and export forecasts.

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Presentation Transcript
slide1
Outlook for CIS Iron Ore MarketAndrey KuzminHead of Raw Materials DepartmentMetal CourierCIS Raw Materials in World Markets15-16 November 2006, Moscow
slide2
The main points of presentation
  • CIS domestic market structure
  • CIS iron ore export structure
  • Iron ore consumptionand export forecasts
slide9
Consolidation of Ukrainian Iron Ore Market

Sintering Ore

Concentrate

Pellets

slide10
CIS Iron Ore Export Structure, Mt

2006Iron Ore

Export:44.1 Mt2003Iron Ore

Export:29.5 Mt

russia and ukraine in eastern european market
Russia and Ukraine in Eastern European Market

POLAND

7.1 Mt

CZECH REP.

7.5 Mt

SLOVAKIA

6.5 Mt

HUNGARY

1.4 Mt

ROMANIA

2.5 Mt

SERBIA

2.3 Mt

BULGARIA

0.6 Mt

Russia

Total export – 19.5 Mt

incl. to Eastern Europe – 13.2 Mt

Ukraine

Total export – 20.2 Mt

incl. to Eastern Europe – 14.6 Mt

Eastern Europe Iron

Ore Import

Eastern Europe Iron Ore Import

Structure in 2006

- Others

- Ukraine

- Russia

slide13
Chinese Iron Ore Import

2006Iron Ore Import:325-330Mt2005Iron Ore Import: 275 Mt

slide14
CIS Iron Ore Export Structure, Mt

2006Iron Ore

Export:44.1 Mt2003Iron Ore

Export:29.5 Mt

prospects for cis iron ore producers are not very promising
Prospects for CIS iron ore producers are not very promising
  • CIS domestic iron ore demand will show only sluggish growth
  • In the coming 5 years world major iron ore producers will increase production of high-grade material substantially
  • Consolidation in steel and mining industries will lead to increase of long-term iron-ore contract market. So, the volume of spot market where CIS suppliers are most active may go down
  • Steel industry consolidation in Eastern Europe will force out CIS suppliers
important issues for cis mining companies to survive
Important issues for CIS mining companies to survive

To survive, CIS mining companies will have to:

  • increase product quality
  • expand transport infrastructure with regard to export
slide17
Steel Production in Russia is a Major Raw

Materials Consumption driver, Mt

slide22
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