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Employment in the Calgary Region Trends and Analysis

Employment in the Calgary Region Trends and Analysis. Presentation to Calgary Regional Partnership – Economic Development Session 10 January 2008. Introductions. Matthew Sheldrake and David Couroux Corporate Economics & Geodemographics (CEG) Land Use Planning & Policy

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Employment in the Calgary Region Trends and Analysis

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  1. Employment in the Calgary RegionTrends and Analysis Presentation to Calgary Regional Partnership – Economic Development Session 10 January 2008

  2. Introductions • Matthew Sheldrake and David Couroux Corporate Economics & Geodemographics (CEG) Land Use Planning & Policy The City of Calgary • CEG has a mandate to monitor, analyze, and forecast the economic and demographic trends relevant to The City • CEG authors several documents which track these trends and provide impact analysis

  3. Outline • Population and Employment Data - Sources and Methodology • Population Growth – 1996 to 2006 • Job Growth – 1996 to 2006 • Supporting Information • Questions & Discussion

  4. Population and Employment Data - Sources and Methodology • Population • Calgary – Annual Civic Census • Region Outside Calgary – Federal Census and Regional sources • CRP is analyzed at different geographies • Individual towns and municipalities • As a comprehensive transportation and land use area

  5. Population and Employment Data - Sources and Methodology Federal Census Civic Census Statistics Canada Geographies Any Geography Additional Regional Information Combined Population Data and Distribution * Data eventually becomes available for City of Calgary geographies

  6. Population and Employment Data - Sources and Methodology • Employment • Federal Census 1996 & 2001 (Statistics Canada) • Indication of trends and relationships • No 2006 Federal Census Employment Data until March 2008 • Place of Work Survey (PoW), 2006 (City of Calgary) • 10% sample of Calgary residences • Good guide for jobs in Calgary • Socio-Economic Outlook (City of Calgary) • Employed Persons control total for Calgary Economic Region

  7. Population and Employment Data - Sources and Methodology Socio-Economic Outlook + Federal Census* Assumptions Jobs in Calgary Jobs in Region Outside Calgary Place of Work Survey Federal Census* & Ancillary Data Job Distribution in Calgary Job Distribution Outside Calgary

  8. Population Growth, 1996 to 2006 • Population and employment operate in concert • Population gains create job opportunities, which new job creation attracts workers • Strong population gains made between 1996-2006 • Almost 300,000 more people live in the CRP area now than in 1996 (33% increase) • Population gains made at almost every jurisdictional level

  9. Population Growth, 1996 to 2006 • Higher rate of growth in region outside Calgary • Compared to 1996-2001, 2001-2006 showed a declining growth rate, but actual numbers were similar • Absolute population growth currently at historical peak Population Growth, 1996-2006 | Source: Statistics Canada

  10. Population Growth, 1996 to 2006 Source: Statistics Canada

  11. Population Growth, 1996 to 2006 Source: Statistics Canada

  12. Job Growth, 1996 to 2006 • Higher rate of growth outside Calgary • Accelerating growth rate between 2001 & 2006 • Industrial and Retail Growth evident in region outside Calgary Source: Statistics Canada (1996 & 2001) and City of Calgary (2006)

  13. Job Growth, 1996 to 2006 Source: Statistics Canada & 2006 Place of Work

  14. Supporting Evidence • Industrial growth in Cochrane, Airdrie and the M.D. of Rockyview Source: Colliers International

  15. Supporting Evidence • Retail Growth evident in Region Outside Calgary (examples in Airdrie, Chestermere, Okotoks and Strathmore)

  16. Questions & Discussion

  17. Overall Industrial Inventory, CRP

  18. CRP – Breakdown of Population

  19. CRP – Breakdown of Employment

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