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# 6-Sigma Program & Concepts Overview - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

6 s. 6-Sigma Program & Concepts Overview. Control. Project Phases:. Presenters: P. Pfaff H. Myrie K. Barker. Improve. Analyze. Measure. 6 s. Meet Larry. Larry is a golfer. His play is, shall we say, erratic? He wants to play more consistently. 6-Sigma Example - Measure Phase.

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6s

### 6-Sigma Program& Concepts Overview

Control

Project Phases:

Presenters:

P. Pfaff

H. Myrie

K. Barker

Improve

Analyze

Measure

6s

Meet Larry.

Larry is a golfer.

His play is,

shall we say,

erratic?

He wants to play

more consistently.

Larry’s Golf Game

• What is the output of Larry’s game?

Specification: Larry wants to shoot between 80 and 100 this season, with a target average score of 90.

Cpk = -0.05 !!!

• What is his process

capability?

• How does this relate to his ZLT (Long Term) and ZST (Short Term)?

• ZLT = (Cpk x 3) = -0.15 s Process

• ZST = (Cp x 3) = 5.64 s Process*

*(Best Process Cp - Sources of Variation Eliminated)

• Goal: Reduce the variation and move the average in Larry’s game.

Cp = 1.88

Larry is Here

3.0

• How do we determine the opportunity for improvement for Larry’s Game?

Improve

Control

Control (Zshift)

1.5

Goal

ZST = 5.64

ZLT = -0.15

ZSHIFT = 5.79

(ZSHIFT = ZST - ZLT)

Improve

Skills

0

0

3.0

6.0

Technology/Skills (ZST)

• This means:

• Just by improving his control, Larry can achieve a 5.5 sigma game.

• If he wants a 6 sigma game he will also have to improve his skills.

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6-Sigma Example - Measure Phase

Let’s analyze his game by breaking down his score.

Where is the biggest opportunity in his overall game?

He takes more shots

in his short game (62.3%).

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6-Sigma Example - Measure Phase

Let’s continue analyzing his game by breaking it down further.

Where is the biggest opportunity in his short game?

He takes more shots

in his putting game (66.9%).

Cause & Effect Diagram - Larry’s Putting Game

Measurement

Material

Larry

Putting Score

Environment

Methods

Machine

• What are the causes of variation in Larry’s Putting Game?

6s

### 6-Sigma Program& Concepts Overview

Control

Project Phases:

Presenters:

P. Pfaff

H. Myrie

K. Barker

Improve

Analyze

Measure

Cause & Effect Diagram - Larry’s Putting Game

Measurement

Material

Larry

>Cheat at Counting

> Can’t Remember

> Pencil has an eraser

> Grass Type

>Number of Drinks

> Eye Glasses Prescription Updated

> Properly Rested

Putting Score

> Golf Course

> Green Condition

> Time of Day

> Weather

> Playing Partners

> Betting of Hole

> Putting Style

- Stance

-Grip

- Swing

>Putter Type

> Ball Type

> Shoes

> Glove

Environment

Methods

Machine

• What are the causes of variation in Larry’s Putting Game?

Is putting really a significant source of variation in the overall golf score?

ScatterPlot/Fitted Line Regression

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Yes!!!

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R-Squared = 0.906

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The R-Squared value says

that 90.6% of the variation

in the Overall Score is

directly related to the

putting game.

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Let’s figure out what is causing the variation in his putting game. . .

What did Larry do

differently during

this time frame?

If he gave up drinking, does the number of drinks directly affect his putting?

ScatterPlot/Fitted Line Regression

5

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Yes!!!

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=

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6

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+

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X

R-Squared = 0.872

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The R-Squared value says

that 87.2% of the variation

in Putting is directly related

to the number of drinks he had.

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Conclusions

• Larry should putt, or drink, but not both!

• If Larry gives up drinking while golfing he will have addressed 87.2% of the variation in his putting game.

• By bringing his putting game under control he will achieve a 5-sigma game.

• To achieve a 6-sigma game we will have to do further investigations.

6s

### 6-Sigma Program& Concepts Overview

Control

Project Phases:

Presenters:

P. Pfaff

H. Myrie

K. Barker

Improve

Analyze

Measure

Cause & Effect Diagram - Larry’s Putting Game

Measurement

Material

Larry

>Cheat at Counting

> Can’t Remember

> Pencil has an eraser

> Grass Type

>NUMBER OF DRINKS

> Eye Glasses Prescription Updated

> Properly Rested

Putting Score

> Golf Course

> Green Condition

> Time of Day

> Weather

> Playing Partners

> Betting of Hole

> Putting Style

- Stance

-Grip

- Swing

>Putter Type

> Ball Type

> Shoes

> Glove

Environment

Methods

Machine

• Last time we determined drinks was a significant X.

• What other sources also drive the Putting Score?

In order to improve his game above the 5-sigma level he has to improve his skills.

• What skills does he need to improve?

• After talking with Larry and the Golf Pro we

• have concluded that there are three areas

• that would most likely improve his putting

• game. They are the putter type, stance

• and grip during putting.

• The Golf Pro wants to sell him the latest

• high tech/high \$\$ putter (Big Bubba).

• What does Larry have to do?

• Larry was not sure, so he consulted with his trustworthy Black Belt, who uses data to help make decisions.

• They then set up a Designed Set of Experiments with the following settings:

This is the Experiment Matrix that they decided to run!

This is a 23 DOE, which has eight conditions to test.

This is the Experiment Matrix after we randomized

the order that they will run!

Randomization is done to detect

the effect of other non-controlled variables.

We ran the experiments and these are the results.

p = .003

Interaction Plots for Putting Score

Main Effects Plot for Putting Score

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40

38

36

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32

Open Stance

Open Stance

p = .026

p = .873

p = .037

Stance

-

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-

1

Putting Score

Close Stance

40

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36

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32

Close Stance

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Old Reliable

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Putter

Type

Big Bubba

Old Reliable

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Big Bubba

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Open

Interlock

Stance

Putter

Type

Open

Open

Grip

Grip

Close

Interlock

Big Bubba

Old Reliable

The Closed Stance with the Interlocked Grip gives Larry the Lowest Score!

(Verified statistically.)

Stance and Grip are significant factors.

(Verified statistically.)

DOE Conclusions

• The high \$\$ putter made no difference!!

• The interaction between Closed Stance and Interlocked Grip gives Larry the lowest score!

• Just using the interlocked grip or closed stance by themselves will not achieve the lowest putting score.

So, What is Larry’s Improvement Plan?

• Give up drinking . . . on the golf course!!

• Continue to use “Old Reliable” putter, since the DOE showed that the “Big Bubba” made no difference.

• Always use an interlocking grip and a closed stance when he putts.

• Implement these improvements and collect some data! Play some golf!

Measure

6-Sigma Example - Improve Phase

Has Larry

improved?

USL

LSL

Yes! How much?

From Measure:

Zlt = -0.15 DPMO = 820,000

Zst = 5.64

From Improve:

Zlt = 4.23 DPMO = 12

6s

### 6-Sigma Program& Concepts Overview

Control

Project Phases:

Presenters:

P. Pfaff

H. Myrie

K. Barker

Improve

Analyze

Measure

Remember Larry’s Improve “Plan” . . .

• Give up drinking . . . on the golf course!!

• Use “Old Reliable” putter!!

• Always use an interlocking grip and a closed stance when he putts!!

. . . and the Results

From Measure:

Zlt = -0.15 DPMO = 820,000

Zst = 5.64

From Improve:

Zlt = 4.23 DPMO = 12

Larry Needs a Control Plan

• What’s a good plan to insure that Larry sustains the improvements he has made?

• Are there risks that could cause Larry to lose his improvement?

• If so, how should Larry address those risks associated with changing his golf game?

• Can Larry come up with a realistic drinking objective and maintain his improvement?

So, What is Larry’s Control Plan?

Mistake - proofing

• Alternate drinking plan

• Leave wallet in car - only take enough \$ for 1 beer

• Lock and key on partners’ beer coolers

• Unlimited supply of “Near Beer” in Red Dog bottles (shhh - Don’t tell Larry)

• Put a Label on “Old Reliable” putter where he always sees it when putting

• “Interlock grip, close stance”

More of Larry’s Control Plan

• SPC Control Chart

• Use the mean +/- 3 sigma limits as calculated from the Improve Phase data

• Continue Data Collection on Vital X’s

• Larry to track drinks per round

Okay, he’s got a plan.

Is there any risk associated with it?

Risk Assessment

• Identify the risk elements (schedule, cost, technical)

• Assign ratings (high (3), med(2), low(1))

• Prioritize elements (probability & impact)

• Identify Risk Abatement plans

• Incorporate into Larry’s Control plan

Giving up drinking is a risk!

Need an Abatement Plan

Abatement Planning

If he drinks moderately,

can he maintain an improvement?

ScatterPlot/Fitted Line Regression

5

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t

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Y

=

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6

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2

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+

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X

R-Squared = 0.872

Expected

Outcome

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4

The Linear Regression predicts that 1 - 2 drinks will add only a few putts.

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Realistic

Tolerance

Monitoring the SPC Chart

99! Out of Control!

UCL = 96.91

LCL = 83.23

What happened here?

Let’s look at the data!

Does Larry’s Control Plan Work?

• How did Larry get four drinks?

• Yes!

• Is there an Abatement Plan?

• Yes!

• Then implement the Abatement Plan immediately.

Score Drinks

89 1

91 1

88 1

90 2

99 4

91 2

88 0

89 1

90 2

93 2

91 1

“Stuff” happens - so we do

Risk Assessment / Abatement!!

Did the Abatement Work?

UCL

Control Chart

says Yes!

LCL

Capability Analysis says Yes!

He has reached Zlt = 5.7 Sigma!

(Zst at Measure was 5.64)

Success!

• ZLT - Overall (Long Term) process capability, ZLTs process

• ZST - Best (Short Term) process capability, ZSTs process

• Zshift = ZLT - ZST

• DPU - Defects Per Unit

• DPO - Defects Per Opportunity

• DPMO - Defects Per Million Opportunities

• PPM - Parts Per Million

• FTY - First Time Yield

• Cp - Capability Index (best process capability)

• Cpk - Actual Capability Index (measure of process shift)

• CPU - Capability index for upper spec. limit

• CPL - Capability index for lower spec. limit

• CTQ - “Critical To Quality” characteristic

• Gage R&R - Gage Repeatability & Reproducibility

• QFD - Quality Functional Deployment

• Sigma - is a measure of variability (standard deviation)

• NPI/EDC - New Process Introduction/Engine Development Cycle