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American Government and Organization

American Government and Organization. PS1301 Wednesday, 29 October. How do people decide?. The Michigan Model (prospective model) Party identification Candidate characteristics Issue positions. Influence of Party Id. Requirements for Issue Voting. Aware of the issue

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American Government and Organization

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  1. American Government and Organization PS1301 Wednesday, 29 October

  2. How do people decide? • The Michigan Model (prospective model) • Party identification • Candidate characteristics • Issue positions

  3. Influence of Party Id

  4. Requirements for Issue Voting • Aware of the issue • Care about the issue • Perceive difference between the candidates • Correct about the difference

  5. Criteria for Issue Voting

  6. Dynamics of 2000 Presidential Campaign Source: Johnston and Hagen (APSA 2003) “Priming and Learning: Evidence from the 2000 Annenberg Study”

  7. Character

  8. Perception of Gore’s Honesty

  9. Traits of Candidates

  10. Retrospective Voting • Party identification • Evaluation of the past • economic indicators • Wars • Incumbency

  11. Race and Gender

  12. Religion Bush Gore Nader

  13. Education and Income

  14. Unions and Religion Bush Gore Nader

  15. How do Presidential Elections and Congressional Elections Differ? • Presidential elections are more salient • The average voter has more information about the presidential candidates than congressional candidates. • Consequently, party identification may play a lesser role in pres. elections • Voters are more inclined to be influenced by personal/candidate characteristics and issue voting may be more prevalent.

  16. Congressional Elections • The empirical evidence suggests that party labels are have a greater effect when information about the candidate is low • U.S. Rep • State Senator • St. Assy. • County Board

  17. Congressional Elections • Decline in party id means that other cues become more important • Incumbency • Name recognition

  18. Rise of Split Ticket Voting

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