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Example of a Collaborative Office Project. WFO Duluth, Minnesota. Amanda Graning Amy Henry Mike Bettwy Carol Christenson Dan Miller Dean Melde Peter Parke Edward Flenz Greg Frosig Tom Lonka Kevin Donofrio Declan Cannon.

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example of a collaborative office project
Example of a Collaborative Office Project

WFO Duluth, Minnesota

Amanda Graning

Amy Henry

Mike Bettwy

Carol Christenson

Dan MillerDean Melde

Peter ParkeEdward Flenz

Greg Frosig

Tom Lonka

Kevin DonofrioDeclan Cannon

slide3

Vision: "Keeping America SAFER by understanding and integrating societal impacts into NWS products and services; to enhance public awareness and readiness associated with weather, water, and climate."

Societal Applications For Enhanced Readiness

assessing the threat of winter events

No one was interested

I have a few ideas, but…

Assessing the Threat of Winter Events

…stuck in their ways

Couldn’t get off ground

My office is full of deadbeats

How do I get people motivated?

why was this successful
Why was this successful??
  • Disclaimers
  • Not Perfect
  • Not a Human Behavior Expert
  • Personal Experiences
danger degree project
Danger Degree Project

Weather Forecasting Office Duluth, MN

Motivation

There are situations where the physical science can be perfect, but its utility is greatly reduced where there is not adequate attention to the societal aspects

Goal

An effort to create a historical reference for use in assessing the threat of snowfall cases that may or may not fall into the National Weather Service (NWS) defined criteria for winter weather advisories or warnings

danger degree project1
Danger Degree Project
  • Developa "checklist" of factors that are given values
    • Weather and non-weather
  • Values are added to result in a Danger Degree(threat level) for that event
  • Theory: Higher the score, greater the potential impact
the checklist
The Checklist
  • WFO Duluth, MN
  • Specific Location
    • Duluth, MN
    • International Falls, MN
  • Event Criteria
    • Snowfall of >2”
    • Looked at Daily Climate Report (LCDs)
  • Weather & Societal Factors
    • METARs
  • Sum Each Section
the checklist1
The Checklist
  • High Travel Periods
  • MEA Weekend
  • Start Tribune,. Bob Von Sternberg“At Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport, this long weekend [ MEA ] is as busy, or busier, than Thanksgiving”
  • HS State Tournament Data
  • MN State High School League
slide11

2006 October 11-13th

DLH

SN began 400 am

3

First >2 of winter

2

Mixed Phases

Snow Total = 3.5”

2.3” in 24 hr period.

Gusts 30-35 kt for 24 hrs

6

Began: 36 F & Rain

SN ended for 4 hrs - then continued.

5

14

slide12

Danger Degree Project

  • Disclaimers
  • Caution! Assigning Values to EventNot Intended to Categorize Storms (like Hurricanes)
  • A Tool for Addition Perspective
  • May miss “Big Picture”
  • Adapted to other Areas & Hazards
slide14

Danger Degree Project

  • Warning Events
slide15

Danger Degree Project

  • Advisory Events
slide17

Danger Degree Project

  • Several Warnings with Danger Degree Values < 5
    • Low potential Impact
  • Events with Danger Degree > 14 with No Headline
    • High Potential Impact
  • What was the Impact?
slide19

Keys to Engaging Others

Emailed the Staff

slide21

Engaging Others

Clear Vision

slide24

Project Leader

  • Communication
    • Flexible
    • Several Meetings
    • Clear Expectations
    • Updates
    • Intranet page

"There's nothing more demoralizing than a leader who can't clearly articulate why we're doing what we're doing.“--James Kouzes and Barry Posner

know your people
Know Your People

Amanda Graning

Amy Henry

Mike Bettwy

Carol Christenson

Dan MillerDean Melde

Peter ParkeEd Flenz

Greg Frosig

Tom Lonka

Kevin DonofrioDeclan Cannon

thank you
Thank You

Amanda.Graning@noaa.gov