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EVOLUCIÓN HACIA LA BANDA ANCHA MOVIL EN MEXICO RETOS Y SOLUCIONES

EVOLUCIÓN HACIA LA BANDA ANCHA MOVIL EN MEXICO RETOS Y SOLUCIONES. Javier Camargo javier.camargo@ericsson.com. THINGS WE THINK. By 2020 , everything that benefits from a network connection will be connected. Fixed & mobile subscriptions. M2M to be added on top. Source: Internal Ericsson.

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EVOLUCIÓN HACIA LA BANDA ANCHA MOVIL EN MEXICO RETOS Y SOLUCIONES

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  1. EVOLUCIÓN HACIA LA BANDA ANCHA MOVIL EN MEXICO RETOS Y SOLUCIONES Javier Camargo javier.camargo@ericsson.com

  2. THINGS WE THINK By 2020, everything that benefits from a network connection will be connected.

  3. Fixed & mobile subscriptions M2M to be added on top Source: Internal Ericsson

  4. Technologies for The networked society + + Mobility Service aware Cloud Broadband Network http://www.ericsson.com/mx/news/2012-05-29-thinking-cities-es_3377875_c?localOnly=true

  5. operator roles 60 of which Google 24 S Serviceproviders Networked enterprises 115 Payment Device mgmt Identity Communication Position QoS Connectivity 20 ENABLER PROVIDER 25 70 1100 1090 395 15 810 Internet advertising Operator roles VALUE-ADD SERVICE PROVIDER IP TVMusic Manage the Home COMMUNICATION PROVIDER Enriched Communication Telephony/SMS CONNECTIVITY PROVIDER IP-VPN Fixed BB Mobile BB BUSD Devices& Premises Consumers & Enterprises 2009 2015

  6. Technologies for The networked society Mobility Broadband

  7. Operator revenues M2M revenues to be added on top 2 000 1 800 Mobile data, incl. mobile PC access & SMS 1 600 Mobile voice 1 400 1 200 Fixed corporate data services 1 000 BUSD Fixed broadband 800 600 IPTV 400 Fixed VoIP 200 Fixed narrowband voice 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Mobile/Fixed operator + CATV BB & VoIP revenues Mobile Fixed Source: Internal Ericsson Fixed and mobile service revenues. In addition, fixed BB & VoIP revenues from cable and alternative providers are included. This slide contains forward looking statements

  8. Mobile traffic, voice and data M2M traffic to be added on top 5 000 4 000 3 000 Mobile PC & Tablets 2 000 Mobile handheld 1 000 Voice 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Subscriber traffic in mobile access networks Monthy Petabytes (1015) Source: Internal Ericsson Definitions: see note pages. DVB-H, Mobile WiMax, M2M and WiFi traffic not included This slide contains forward looking statements

  9. Correlation between data traffic growth and capex Network Load X X Equipment Sales Data Growth Performance Indoor/Outdoor Coverage Performance Requirements Capacity Capacity Network load is mis-leading indicator

  10. Mobile world technology coverage3gpp technologies – 2010 vs 2016 estimate % Population Coverage World population 100% 92% 85% 80% Rural Sub urban 35% 35% Urban 2% Metro 0% World Population distribution* 2010 2016 2010 2016 2010 2016 GSM/EDGE WCDMA/HSPA LTE *Metro >4000 people/sq.km), Urban 1000-4000 people/sq.km, Suburban 300-1000 people/sq.km, Rural (<300 people/sq.km)

  11. Mobility and BroadbandOne network – many pipes Core network WiFi DSL, Fiber Cellular Internet Cellular WiFi Cellular Cellular Cellular WiFi Personalized services in anAlways Best Connected environment

  12. Small cell Deployment Aspects Downlink 140 (LTE used in the simulations) Pico 20MHz 2x2 Femto 5MHz 2x2 120 802.11n 3x3, 20MHz - no interference 802.11n 3x3, 20MHz - 50% external interference 100 80 60 Data rate [Mbps] 40 20 0 0 50 100 150 200 Distance [m] Pico • Maximizes the value of site • Full seamless mobility • Licensed spectrum to manage potential interference WiFi • Limited coverage need • Indoor, low-interfered locations • Site and backhaul not a cost Femto • No data rate benefit over WiFi • Interference and hand-over issues • Indoor voice quality Wi-Fi is a good complement to cellular

  13. network integrated Wifi solution Mobile Network Fixed Network

  14. 3GPP LTE releases Rel-8 First LTE release Standard 2008 “Basic features” Mobile broadband Rel-9 2nd LTE release Standard 2009 Voice centric and various enhancements Rel-10 “LTE-advanced” Standard 2011 Fulfill IMT-A requirements Wider spectrum higher peak bitrates, … Release independent (frequency bands, …)

  15. Current IMT spectrum map 450 MHz 700 MHz 850 MHz 900 MHz Asia-Pacific, Africa 700 MHz 850 MHz ”Cellular” Americas, < 1 GHz 450 MHz 900 MHz “DD” 800 MHz Africa, Europe,Middle East WRC-07 ISM 2.45 GHz 2.5 GHz “AWS” “PCS” 1900 “AWS” Americas < 3 GHz ”Extension” 2.6 GHz 1800 MHz ”Core” 2 GHz 2.3 GHz Africa, Asia-Pacific Europe, Middle East 1500 MHz 3400 MHz 3600 MHz 3800 MHz Identifications Harmonization Standards < 5 GHz Europe

  16. LTE Technology and flexibility Spectrum A Spectrum B Non contiguous Carrier aggregation IFFT Contiguous Carrier aggregation Uplink multi-antenna transmission Bandwidth flexibility RN Transmission schemeDL OFDM, UL DFTS-OFDM Channel-dependentscheduling Up to 4x4 UL FDD and TDD support MBSFN Broadcasting and unicasting Extended MBMS Multi-antenna support Hybrid ARQ Extended multi-antenna transmission Up to 8x8 DL Relaying

  17. LTE Rel10 - Firsts Field Tests LTE Rel10 coverage in Kista Built on 3GPP Rel 10, meeting IMT Advanced Achieving 1 Gbps in the field Carrier aggregation: 60 MHz BW 8x8 MIMO in downlink >300 Mbps in most parts of Kista

  18. Technologies for The networked society Service awarenetwork

  19. Broadening the Market opportunity APPSProviders Enterpriseverticals CloudSAS HostedApps ContentProviders Network operators Network operators Products& Services Products& Services Service Aware network access

  20. Verticals in the 50b visionBased on Horizontal Layers H e a l t h App T r a c k i n g App A l a r m App M e t e r i n g App Cellular, fixed, private Cellular, (fixed) Managed and uniform point of access to data over any network from any equipment Building on standardized technology to achieve economy of scale

  21. Maximise connectivity business through tailored offerings Addressing different demands/needs... ...not one size fits all... Demand curve Revenue per bit Revenue per bit Traffic Traffic Flat rate –> Volume based –> Value based

  22. Service Aware Network CONTROL EXPERIENCE ENABLEMENT EFFICIENCY Service Aware Network Users Applications Devices Hosted APPS Residential APPS Providers Enterprise Enterprise Verticals Commercial Cloud SAS

  23. Service Aware Network Users Applications Devices Service Aware Network Hosted APPS CONTROL EXPERIENCE ENABLEMENT Personalization Context Battery Life Response Time Cost control Content optimization Developer Programs Mobile Advertising Business Models Analytics Resource usage Content compression Rating/Billing Service Control Security Performance Traffic Mgmt. Policy Mgmt. Residential APPS Providers Enterprise Enterprise Verticals EFFICIENCY Network Efficiency and capacity Network Signalling Network Bandwidth Efficiency Commercial Cloud SAS

  24. Enterpriseverticals APPSProviders CloudSAS HostedApps Network operators A. Differentiated Pricing B. Two Sided Model Telcosystems Service Aware network Two complementary monetization methods emerging

  25. Network Control & User Experience How to differentiate Maximum Bandwidthper user Maximum Bandwidthper user Maximum Bandwidthper Application LIMIT Throughput per User Per User admission priority Throughput per User PRIORITIZE Guaranteed Bit Rate per Application Minimum Bit Rate per User GUARANTEE Content Optimization Content Caching ACCELERATE

  26. Differentiated pricing Differentiated Services “Pay-as-you-go” schemes Add-on packages Cross-services and promotions

  27. Service revenue added on top Source: Strategy Analytics; Embedded Mobile Long Term Forecast, 2010

  28. Technologies for The networked society cloud

  29. The starting point Network Management IT Management Operator Network Datacenter Best effort cloud services 3PP Cloud

  30. Move to the embedded cloud Operator Cloud Unified Management Enterprise application portfolio UCaaS Telecom PaaS(Network Exposure) Cloud Datacenters Operator Cloud Enterprise application portfolio Network Embedded Cloud (MicroDC) Operator Network Cloud Datacenters Deliver on SLAand secure delivery and session integrity Cloud acceleration (Cloud Carrier services) 3PP Cloud

  31. Technologies for The networked society + + Mobility Service aware Cloud Broadband Network

  32. Networked society

  33. The networked society The Networked Society is a vision of the future, when anything that benefits from being connected will be connected. Hans Vestberg

  34. Long-term trends 2020 2000 2010 Voice + SMS 700 million subs 1x business model Voice + Apps + Data 4.8 billion subs 2-3x business models Networked society 50b connected devices Various models Market Mobile operators Telecom Build own networks Mobile/Converged Ops Telecom and IP Transform and share Operators and verticals Telecom grade IP Upgrade and open Customer Many vendors Equipment HW Fewer, newer vendors Equipment and Service HW and SW New vendors landscape Service and SW HW and Cloud based Industry

  35. Mobile Data Impact 6.0 billion to 8.9 billion subs MBB subscribers 5x High traffic smartphones 8x Tablets 13x Traffic per mobile device 10x Total mobile data traffic 15x Growth Projections 2011–2017 Impact on Operator Revenues • ~ $600b 2017 Revenue from mobile data • Data-enabled new revenue opportunities • OTT threat (impact on Voice/SMS etc.) Implications to Mexican regulations • Identification of new frequencies: • Mobile Broadband, deployment of LTE • New ICT Law • New network rules and business models: • Cloud, NGN, Media distribution Source: Ericsson Strategic Forecast 2011_2

  36. Technology trends in network VoLTE IMSExposureEnterpriseVideoInterconnect Service AwareCDN functionsVirtualisationSDN MPLS FrequenciesHeterogeneous networksTopologiesAntennas SON RationalizationAutomationAnalyticsInfomodelingPolicy VerticalizationModemsPerformanceAppsBrowsers

  37. MEXICO strategy 2020 SPECTRUM THE MAIN REQUIREMENT INNOVATING TO EMPOWER PEOPLE, BUSINESS AND SOCIETY GLOBAL SCALE LTE NETWORKS GLOBALSERVICES INNOVATED SERVICES BROADBAND USERS SUPPORTSOLUTIONS ENABLERS Identification of additional frequencies to expand LTE networks will be the main activity worldwide.

  38. FREQUENCIES IN MEXICO

  39. Digital Dividend in Region 2

  40. No clear winner AT&T (for the most part) Prev. auctioned, now AT&T Previously auctioned Frontier Wireless (unpaired) Verizon (for the most part) Not sold PS Previously auctioned 2x1 MHz Previously auctioned 2x1 MHz AT&T Verizon AT&T 698 704 710 716 722 728 734 740 746 752 758 764 770 776 782 788 794 800 806 A B C D E 700 MHz US 757 763 775 787 793 805 A B C D E A B C C D Public Safety C D Public Safety A B A B B CH. 52 CH. 53 CH. 54 CH. 55 CH. 56 CH. 57 CH. 59 CH. 60 CH. 61 CH. 62 CH. 63 CH. 64 CH. 65 CH. 67 CH. 58 CH. 66 CH. 68 CH. 69 Lower 700 MHz band Upper 700 MHz band C D PS A B

  41. 10 MHz centre gap 5 MHz 3 MHz DTTV PPDR/LMR 698 MHz 806 MHz Harmonised FDD Arrangement of 698-806 MHz band 45 MHz 45 MHz 694 MHz APT band plan

  42. 698 806 698 704 710 716 722 728 734 740 746 752 758 764 770 776 782 788 794 800 806 703 748 758 803 700 MHz Apt and US APT AT&T Verizon AT&T 757 763 775 787 793 805 A B C D E A B C C D Public Safety C D Public Safety A B A B B US CH. 52 CH. 53 CH. 54 CH. 55 CH. 56 CH. 57 CH. 59 CH. 60 CH. 61 CH. 62 CH. 63 CH. 64 CH. 65 CH. 67 CH. 58 CH. 66 CH. 68 CH. 69

  43. 70 MHz of “useable” spectrum BC 27 BC 26 8 MHz unused? BC 5 BC 5 10 MHz centre gap 2 MHz centre gap 3 MHz GB 3 MHz GB 849 851 869 849 851 869 803 806 824 803 814 903 806 824 758 903 894 758 894 45 MHz 43 MHz 43 MHz 45 MHz 35 MHz 35 MHz The 800 MHz bandWith Band Classes 27 and 5 With Band Class 26 only 86 MHz of “useable” spectrum • Questions: • Is 2 MHz centre gap too small for practical purposes? Even assuming dual duplexers? • Can smaller BW carriers (1.4 or 3 MHz do the trick)? With power back-off if necessary? • The 3 MHz (803-806) GB also seems insufficient. • Observations: • Note the 8 MHz hole (806-814) … • All told, 16 MHz of spectrum less • One advantage is uniform centre-gap of 10 MHz – advantage when building duplexers, right?

  44. 1710 – 2200 MHz R2 1710 1850 1980 1930 2000 2025 2110 2155 2180 FIXED/MOBILE MSS MOBILE FIXED / MOBILE MSS MSS FIXED MOBILE 2025 – 2110 MHz EESS/SPACE/FIXED/mobile Canadian 2000 1710 1755 1850 1910 1930 1990 2025 2110 2155 2180 2200 AWS PCS PCS MSS AWS MSS MOBILE MSS LE-PCS MOBILE MOBILE 2025 – 2110 MHz EESS/SPACE/FIXED/mobile Canadian Frequency Allocation: C37 (CAN-06) The designation of the bands 1755-1 780 MHz, 2 020-2 025 MHz and 2 155-2 180 MHz for Advanced Wireless Services may be the subject of a future public consultation.

  45. 2500-2690 MHz ITU options for Band Plan 3GPP/LTE Band Plan 2500 2570 2620 2690 LTE band 7 FDD - UL LTE band 38 TDD LTE band 7 FDD - DL

  46. 3500 3550 3600 3650 3700 the USA: NTIA will recommend that 100 MHz be made commercially available in the band 3500 - 3650 MHz (currently licensed to the Department of Defense), subject to geographic limits to protect satellite ground stations and coastline radar facilities THE BAND IN ITU, CEPT AND 3GPP • partly identified for IMT, but in some countries regarded as a IMT including BWA band • currently some limited WiMAX usage, difficult coexistence situation with FSS • in the longer-term for LTE and IMT-Advanced allowing channel bandwidths of 40 – 100 MHz ITU Identification CEPT Designation CEPT Designation 3400 3500 3600 3800 R2: FS, FSS R2: FS, FSS, MS FN5.431A FN5.430A US situation • an important band for the longer-term IMT-Advanced services for “Gbit” services • specification work still ongoing in 3GPP

  47. Allocations in the ITU-R RR Region 1 (Africa, Europe and Middle East): 3 300-3 400 RADIOLOCATION 3 400-3 600 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), Mobile,Radiolocation 3 600-4 200 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), Mobile Region 2 (Americas): 3 300-3 400 RADIOLOCATION, Amateur, Fixed, Mobile 3 400-3 500 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), Amateur, Mobile, Radiolocation 3 500-3 700 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), MOBILE except aeronautical mobile, Radiolocation 3 700-4 200 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), MOBILE except aeronautical mobile Region 3 (Asia-Pacific): 3 300-3 400 RADIOLOCATION,Amateur 3 400-3 500 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), Amateur, Mobile, Radiolocation 3 500-3 700 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), MOBILE except aeronautical mobile, Radiolocation 3 700-4 200 FIXED, FIXED-SATELLITE (space-to-Earth), MOBILE except aeronautical mobile

  48. Region 2, Americas • In Region 2, the band 3500 – 4200 is allocated to Mobile, except aeronautical, on a primary basis with fixed satellite service. • WRC-07 additionally allocated the band 3400 – 3500 MHz to Mobile Service on a primary basis in 14 countries in Region 2: • Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican Republic, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico, Paraguay, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela and French Overseas Departments and Communities • subject to agreement obtained under No. 9.21. Stations of the mobile service in the band 3400 – 3500 MHz shall not claim more protection from space stations than that provided in Table 21-4 of the Radio Regulations 3500 4200 3400 FSS (space to earth) Mobile except aeronautical

  49. Colombia Current allocations Suggested band plan

  50. 3.400 3.425 3.450 3.475 3.500 3.525 3.550 3.575 3.600 3.625 3.650 3.675 3.700 Trial WiMax Trial WiMax WLL WLL Mexico • 3.4 – 3.6 GHz and 3.6 – 3.7 GHz • the band 3.4-3.6 GHz was auctioned in 1998 for FWA and mobile services, there are 50 MHz available. • the band 3.6 – 3.7 MHz will be auctioned in 2009 for fix or mobile broadband services • the auction will be for Basic Area Service • there is only 1 network in operation

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