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Who should win the Naismith Award?

Who should win the Naismith Award?. By: Jared Kunze and Tyler Schatz. Ty Lawson North Carolina. Blake Griffin Oklahoma. Big 12 Player of the Year Unanimous 1 st Team All-Big 12 PPG AST REB BLK STL 21.9 2.3 14.3 1.3 1.2. ACC Player of the Year 1 st Team All-ACC PPG AST REB BLK STL

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Who should win the Naismith Award?

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  1. Who should win the Naismith Award? By: Jared Kunze and Tyler Schatz

  2. Ty Lawson North Carolina Blake Griffin Oklahoma • Big 12 Player of the Year • Unanimous 1st Team All-Big 12 • PPG AST REB BLK STL • 21.9 2.3 14.3 1.3 1.2 • ACC Player of the Year • 1st Team All-ACC • PPG AST REB BLK STL • 15.9 6.5 2.8 .1 2.0

  3. Jeff Teague Wake Forest Hasheem Thabeet Connecticut • Co-Big East Player of the Year • Big East Defensive Player of the Year • 1st Team All-Big East • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 13.7 .5 10.9 4.6 .6 • 2nd Team All-ACC • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 19.1 3.5 3.4 .6 1.9

  4. Jerel McNeal Marquette DaJuan Blair Pittsburgh • 1st Team All-Big East • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 19.7 4.0 4.6 .6 2.1 • Co-Big East Player of the Year • 1st Team All-Big East • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 15.6 1.1 12.2 1.0 1.5

  5. James Harden Arizona State Tyreke Evans Memphis • PAC 10 Player of the Year • Unanimous 1st Team All-PAC 10 • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 20.8 4.2 5.5 .3 1.7 • Sporting News National Freshman of the Year • 1st Team All-Conference USA • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 16.6 3.8 5.5 .8 2.1

  6. Toney Douglas Florida State Tyler Hansbrough North Carolina • ACC Defensive Player of the Year • 1st Team All-ACC • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 21.3 2.9 3.9 .4 1.9 • 2008 Naismith Award Winner • Unanimous 1st Team All-ACC • PTS AST REB BLK STL • 21.4 3.5 3.4 .4 1.0

  7. Only statistically significant increase in probability of scoring 20+ points against RPI Top 50 teams is Toney Douglas • RPI Top 50  .900 • Non-RPI Top 50  .625 • 2 Players had a statistically significant decrease in probability of scoring 20+: Blake Griffin and Hasheem Thabeet • Griffin.833 to .385 • Thabeet.250 to .000

  8. Using a binomial probability simulation, find which player will make the most field goals per game in the national tournament. Assume that each player takes 15 shots per game. Use the Vs.RPI Top 50 field goal percentage of the players because the competition in the tournament will be tough. Griffin- .592 Blair- .591 Lawson- .542 Thabeet- .603 Teague- .484 McNeal- .375 Hansbrough- .462 Douglas- .436 Evans- .363 Harden- .473

  9. Elmore Index • Player rating system based on the ideas of ESPN College Basketball announcer Len Elmore • Elmore Index • Points/Game X5 • Rebounds/Game X3 • Assists/Game X2 • Steals/Game X2 • Blocks/Game X2 • Team Wins X5

  10. Continued.. • Elmore Ratings: • Blake Griffin-297.0 • Tyler Hansbrough-272.2 • Tyreke Evans-267.9 • DaJuan Blair-261.8 • Toney Douglas-253.6 • James Harden-252.9 • Hasheem Thabeet-247.6 • Jerel McNeal-245.7 • Ty Lawson-244.6 • Jeff Teague-237.7

  11. Works Cited • espn.com • Article: http://dailyorange.com/ (Title: Oklahoma’s Griffin on inside track for Naismith award) • Conference websites for ACC, Big East, Big 12, Pac 10, Conference USA

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