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Health Care. 4/17/2012. Learning Objectives. Accurately describe the social, economic, and political dimension of major problems and dilemmas facing contemporary American society
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Health Care 4/17/2012
Learning Objectives • Accurately describe the social, economic, and political dimension of major problems and dilemmas facing contemporary American society • Use knowledge and analyses of social problems to evaluate public policy, and to suggest policy alternatives, with special reference to questions of social justice, the common good, and public and individual responsibility.
Opportunities to discuss course content • Today-11-2 • Wednesday 10-2
Readings Required • Health and Welfare (Chapter 5 pp 97-115) Dye • American Dilemmas Handbook pp. 27-38 Optional • Health Care: Problems of Physical and Mental Illness (Chapter 10) Kendall
The Problems of the System • Access • Cost • Quality
Problem 3: Cost • Outpacing Inflation • Why
Cost- Labor • 5.5 People per patient (the old days) • Jobs that require skill and education • Recession Proof
Cost- Malpractice • Actually not the suits themselves • Defensive medicine • High Insurance- just in case
Cost- Greedy people • We want to get our benefits back • We do not realize the actual costs • A “Tragedy of the Commons”
Cost- An Older Population • Our last years of life consume much of our health care dollar • We are living longer and there are more of us • More Care means more $
Cost and Prescription Drugs • Average cost is $2400 • 9 in 10 Seniors use a drug • Direct to Consumer Ads
The Solution Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act
What is it • A law that will get health insurance to roughly 30 million Americans • Not a single payer system
How will it Work: Expanding Federal Programs • Getting those eligible on programs they are eligible for • Expanding Medicare Eligibility • Expanding COBRA health insurance • Expanding SCHIP Program
How will it Work: Making Changes to Private Insurance • Cannot Deny for Pre-Existing Conditions • Cannot remove people who use up their coverage • The Slackers mandate • Subsidies to purchase insurance
How will it Work: Individual Mandates • People will be required to have health insurance • Just as we are required to have auto insurance • Up to 2.5% of income by 2016
What if I have Insurance? • In theory it should not change • Your employer, however, can just cut you off
When does it start • Mandates begin in 2014 • Costs should be lowered over time as people have insurance
How can we afford this • 1 Trillion over first 10 years • Tax on Tans • Higher Medicare taxes on wealthy and Medicare cuts on providers • Taxes on High-end insurance • Fees on Health Care Industry
Upwards of 20 million mayRemain Uninsured • Illegal Immigrants and non-citizens (10 million) • People who do not sign up for eligible programs. • People who pay the penalty (mostly younger and single Americans.
Democratic Strategy • Draw a line on health care and do not let the Republicans cross it • Use institutional advantages to delay change • Focus on the popular parts of the law • Re-Cast the GOP into the Party of No (Part II)
Democratic Advantage 1: Laws are Difficult to Repeal • They come in with political support and they retain that support • Minor changes and fixes only serve to strengthen the existing law! • Prohibition lasted for 13 years
Democratic Advantage 3: Divided Government • Use Senate Majority to control the Agenda • Filibuster when necessary • The Presidential Veto as a last resort
Democratic Advantage 4: No new taxes in 2011 or 2012 • FSA limits in 2013 • Medicare tax increase by 0.9% and 3.8% tax on investments income for high-wage earners in 2013 • Individual mandate in 2014 • Cadillac Tax in 2018
The Republican Strategy Repeal the bill through other means
Republican Strategy • A straight-up repeal was unsuccessful • Continue to push the issue through other political avenues • Force this as a campaign issue in 2012
Republican Advantage 1: Consensus in the Party • The Republicans are unified in the support for repeal. • Try to exploit Democratic cleavages between those who want to keep the existing law, and those who may want to strengthen it. • Try to switch Democrats to their side
Republican Advantage 3: The Individual Mandate • This is key to the success of the bill • And one of the least popular portions • Expect Heavy Resistance if the GOP tries • Which is exactly what the GOP wants
On Repeal Probably For Repeal Probably Against Repeal Ruth Bader-Ginsburg Stephen Breyer Sonia Sotomayor Elena Kagan • Antonin Scalia • Clarence Thomas • Samuel Alito
On the Fence Chief Justice Roberts Justice Anthony Kennedy