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Overview of the JI Market

Overview of the JI Market. Olga Gassan-zade Point Carbon November 14, Nairobi. About Point Carbon. Founded in 2000 Focus: carbon, power and gas markets Analysis, forecasting and news for all market segments Risk management and advisory services 90+ employees

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Overview of the JI Market

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  1. Overview of the JI Market Olga Gassan-zade Point Carbon November 14, Nairobi

  2. About Point Carbon • Founded in 2000 • Focus: carbon, power and gas markets • Analysis, forecasting and news for all market segments • Risk management and advisory services • 90+ employees • Oslo (HQ), Kyiv, London, Washington, Brussels, Zurich, Tokyo • 12,000+ subscribers

  3. Market Activity Forecast

  4. Overview of JI Activities

  5. Closing Prices, H1 2006

  6. Buyers on JI Market Unknown, 1% Private 25% Governments Funds 64% 10%

  7. Project Types, CDM and JI LULUCF LULUCF Other Waste Energy Efficiency 2% 1% Energy Efficiency 1% 8% Waste 15% 12% 18% Fugitive 2% 12% 19% 18% 10% 2% 22% 5% 39% Renewable 27% 24% Renewable 49% 4% 19% 34% Industrial Fugitive 18% Industrial, 38% Inner circle - # of projectsOuter circle - volume CDM JI

  8. CDM, PDDs by Volume, Mt 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Chile India Brazil China Korea Mexico Nigeria Thailand Argentina South Africa

  9. JI PDDs by Volume, MT 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Poland Estonia Ukraine Bulgaria Hungary Slovakia Germany Romania Lithuania New Zealand Czech Republic Russian Federation

  10. JI Country Rating Up-date: 9 October 2006

  11. Recent Developments • Project volumes have grown significantly in Russia and Ukraine • Ukraine: 50 LoEs; Russia: 30 LoEs • EU ETS has limited project activities in new MS CEEs • JISC impact on the market: • Attention • Certainty • Push for Track 1 • Contradictory price signals

  12. Outlook • JI to scale down in Bulgaria and Romania due to EU ETS • Animal waste management – unexplored possibility? • Future of JI belongs to Russia and Ukraine • New countries: Belarus, Kazakhstan?

  13. Thank you for your attention! Olga Gassan-zade Point Carbon, Kiev Direct tel.: +380-050-38-38-968 Email: ogz@pointcarbon.com

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