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The SWFDP Concept

Peter LENNOX, CHIEF EXECUTIVE Peter kreft, chief forecaster. The SWFDP Concept. GDPFS: RSMC → NMC. [GDPFS] purpose is, in operational conditions, to make available among WMO Members, agreed products and services for applications related to weather, climate, water and environment

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The SWFDP Concept

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  1. Peter LENNOX, CHIEF EXECUTIVE Peter kreft, chief forecaster The SWFDP Concept

  2. GDPFS: RSMC → NMC • [GDPFS] purpose is, in operational conditions, to make available among WMO Members, agreed products and services for applications related to weather, climate, water and environment • A GDPFS Centre which carries out at least one of the [GDPFS] activities … shall be designated as a Regional or Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) • NMCs should have the capacity to make best use of GDPFS products in order to reap the benefits of the WWW system

  3. Capacity • The SWFDP cascading forecasting process • Utilises the “capacity to make best use” of the lead RSMC • The Lead RSMC’s “capacity to make best use” includes but is not limited to: • Meteorological (and other) expertise • Software and computing infrastructure which enables application of meteorological expertise • Understanding of (NMC) user needs • Quality System activity – processes, reporting, reviewing • Working relationships, especially with NMCs and other RSMCs • Ability to wear the opportunity cost of these activities • The SWFDP cascading forecast process • Relies heavily on each NMC being able to deliver benefits to its users

  4. A Global Challenge • Products from advanced GDPFS centres will continue to improve (accuracy, resolution, diversity, applicability, etc.) … • … demanding ever more expertise of meteorologists, engagement with users, etc., if they are to “make best use” … • … and “outsourcing” forecasting services for no money (“the www.yr.no effect”) • Within SWFDP projects, the “growing technological gap” is a challenge for both RSMCs and NMCs

  5. Sustainability • The gap is not just technological, and training is only one of the ways in which it might be addressed • At the national level, the SWFDP concept is critically dependent upon • “Making best use” of meteorological products … • Delivering benefits: “reliable and effective early warnings tailored to the needs of the general public and a wide range of socio-economic sectors” … … in ways that the supporting RSMCs cannot provide • This “continuing the cascade” is a much wider resourcing issue than the funding of meteorological agencies • “… it is no longer sustainable to rely on in-kind contributions of regional and global centres, including to support the annual training activities …” * • * http://www.wmo.int/pages/prog/www/swfdp/Meetings/documents/SWFDP_and_Future.pdf

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