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Population state of health and its impact on retirement age

Explore the impacts of ageing population on Finland's pension system, focusing on health implications and retirement age projections. Learn from related studies and statistical methods to forecast population health and economy risks.

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Population state of health and its impact on retirement age

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  1. Systeemianalyysin, päätöksenteon ja riskienhallinnan tutkijakouluSyysseminaari 4.-5.12.2002, TallinnaAnu Polvinen:Ageing population and pension system in Finland • Population state of health and its impact on retirement age

  2. Problems: • How to forecast population state of health? • => retirement age • => public economy (risks)

  3. Previous literature: • Auerbach, A. & Kotlikoff, L. & Leibfritz, W. (1999): Generational accounting around the world. The University of Chigago press • Alho, J.M.(1990): Stochastic Methods in Population Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting 6 (1990) 521-530. • Hakola, Tuulia (2002): Economic Incentives and Labour Market Transitions of the Aged Finnish Workforce. University of Helsinki.

  4. Results: • Develop statistical methods to estimate ageing population according to state of health, ability to work, incomes and social status • Results related to previous population forecasts

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