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The Importance of the 2014 Senate Election: Key Takeaways from 2012 Results in North Carolina

The 2014 Senate election is pivotal for the GOP to regain control and impact Obama’s agenda. With significant legislative powers resting on the Senate, the results of the 2012 elections in North Carolina serve as a critical indicator. Lower voter turnout has implications for the next election cycle. The GOP's strong performance—gaining seats in Congress and state legislature—points to a growing conservative movement. A concerted effort by supporters to mobilize voters can tip the scales in favor of Republican representation, especially in the context of key national issues like healthcare and treaty ratifications.

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The Importance of the 2014 Senate Election: Key Takeaways from 2012 Results in North Carolina

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  1. 2012 results by county

  2. WHY THE SENATE ELECTION IN 2014 IS SO IMPORTANT • ObamaCare etc. cannot be repealed • GOP cannot pass any law/force veto with only the House • Executive orders cannot be overridden • Senate ratifies treaties (UN Gun Control) • Senate confirms judges, cabinet etc. • Republican 2012 results in NC bode well for 2014

  3. ‐ 2012 GENERAL ELECTION FAST FACTS ‐ Statewide Voter Turnout: 68.4% ; 4,546,330 ballots cast out of 6,649,188 registered voters ‐ down slightly from 70% turnout in 2008 presidential election Presidential Race in NC: Mitt Romney (R) 50.5% / Barack Obama (D) 48.3% Governor: Pat McCrory (R) 54.7% / Walter Dalton (D) 43.2% Lt. Governor: Dan Forest (R) leads Linda Coleman (D) by only 11,206 votes ‐likely recount Council of State: All incumbents defended their seats against challenges N.C. Supreme Court: Paul Newby 51.97% / Sam Ervin, IV 48.03% N.C. Court of Appeals: Incumbents Linda McGee and Wanda Bryant won re‐election. Incumbent Cressie Thigpen lost to challenger Chris Dillon ‐ in all three cases, the winner’s name appeared first on the ballot

  4. NC 2012 Results • Republicans gained 3 (maybe 4) seats in Congress (9:4 vs 6:7) • NC Senate: 32-18 vs. 31-19 • NC House: 77-43 vs. 68-52

  5. CONCLUSIONS AND OBSERVATIONS • Lower turnout nationally, narrow victory for Obama • Real significance of Obama victory will come in 2014 • Republicans mopped up in North Carolina, did even better in Beaufort County • Straight party voting defeated Lawson and Cook • Gang of 5 has been broken up. Paired voting and marked sample ballots work • The Conservative Movement in Beaufort County is alive and well, and growing

  6. CLOSING THOUGHT If each person in this room tonight identified 10 people who believe in the same principles we believe in and got each of those 10 people to vote for a conservative Republican in November 2014, and got each of these people to do likewise with 10 people they identified, we could replace Kay Hagan with a Republican who would vote to control Barack Obama in his last two years. Just 10 people getting 10 people would be all that would be needed.

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