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Flowcharts for ILO Employment/Unemployment and Break in Time Series: Updates and Next Steps

This presentation discusses the flowcharts for ILO employment/unemployment, the break in time series exercise, monthly pay from main job, modules to be included in the LFS in the next six years, and follow-up of previous presentations. It includes the conclusions of the October 2017 DSS, progress made by December 2017 LAMAS, and next steps.

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Flowcharts for ILO Employment/Unemployment and Break in Time Series: Updates and Next Steps

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  1. Debriefing from the December 2017 LAMAS meeting Item4.2 of the draft agenda DSS Meeting1 and 2 March 2018

  2. Content of the presentation • Flowcharts for (ILO) employment/unemployment • Break in time series exercise • Monthly pay from main job • Modules to be included in the LFS in the next six years • Follow-up of previous presentations to the DSS • Structure as follows: conclusions of the October 2017 DSS (black), progress made by December 2017 LAMAS (blue) and next steps (red)

  3. 1. Flowcharts for (ILO) employment/unemployment • ICLS resolution: more restricted scope for employment • Improved comparability: • Definition of employment in the LFS legal framework • Deep revision of the list of variables for employment/unemployment (labour status module) • Flowcharts for the labour status module introduced for the modernised LFS: simplified (legal basis) and detailed (outside) Eurostat

  4. 1. Flowcharts for (ILO) employment/unemployment • Agreement on: • Definitions of parental (job-related income/duration)/maternity/paternity leave • Simplified approach for older respondents/ permanently disabled people that can only be interviewed in first wave: • Persons aged 75 to 89 years • Persons outside the labour force and either: • Either aged 70 to 74 years • Or unable to work due to long-standing health

  5. 1. Flowcharts for (ILO) employment/unemployment • Addition of a sub module on small or occasional jobs • Including examples of small or occasional jobs • Compromise proposal: derogations based on results of pilot surveys on the significance and place of the question on occasional jobs • Next step:timing/sample size of the pilot and relation with the break in time series pilot

  6. 2. Break in time series exercise • Exercise to take place the year before the entry into force of IESS • Focus on main policy-relevant indicators used in EU policies • Possible methodological approaches • Member States will be asked to transmit by the end of year N for each 14 series (indicator/breakdown): • EITHER quarterly/annual correction factors (multiplicative or additive) to be applied to the back data • OR full break free time series covering 2010 Q1 to year N-1 Q4

  7. 2. Break in time series exercise • For annual data (EU requirements) and quarterly data (national requirements) • Priority to coordinated dissemination at national and EU level – not to all country data at the same time • May N+1 as the ultimate deadline for dissemination at EU level of all countries data • EU aggregates flagged in transition period (mix of both break-free/not break-free national time series) • Next steps: • Detailed planning on national data transmission/dissemination • Final national decisions on methodological approaches • Bilateral basis, LAMAS, LFS methodological Workshop in Reykjavik on 17/18 May

  8. 3. Monthly pay from main job • Monthly pay collected either gross or net • Transmitted to Eurostat as gross values • As an amount as this is needed to compute the EU aggregates • Reference period is 'calendar month' to be as close as possible to the reference week used for the labour status module (either calendar month preceding the reference week or calendar month of the reference week)

  9. 3. Monthly pay from main job • Big progress has been achieved so as to improve the quality of this variable with: • Compulsory imputation when INR (before imputation) is more than 5% • Data source and imputation method is a national responsibility (advice of methodologist experts) • Introduction of a flag variable (gross or net collection/ imputation for non-response (and from which data source) ) • Creation of an electronic discussion group on best practices for net/gross conversion models • Next steps: dissemination plan in June 2018 LAMAS

  10. 4. Modules to be included in the LFS in the next six years • 2019: Work organisation and working time arrangements • 2020: Accidents at work and work-related health problems • 2021: Labour market situation of migrants • 2022: Job skills • 2023: Pensions and labour market participation • 2024: Young people on the labour market

  11. 4. Modules to be included in the LFS in the next six years • 2019 module: regulation adopted • 2021 module: technically ready and approved by LAMAS • 2022, 2023 and 2024 modules: development phase/piloting from September 2018 • 2020 module: LAMAS proposal to keep it unchanged compared to 2013. • Written consultation of DSS on the Implementing Regulation for the 2020 module and on the Delegated Act on the 2022-2024 programme of LFS ad-hoc modules

  12. DSS is invited to … • Take note of the on-going development work on flowcharts (employment and unemployment), break in time series and ‘monthly pay from main job’ variable for future LFS • To agree on launching a written consultation of the DSS on: • The implementing act on LFS ad-hoc module 2020 • The delegated act on the 2022-2024 programme of LFS ad-hoc modules Eurostat

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