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With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan?. Introduction. Why research: this question Longest war in American History Current Political Issue Curious to See Students opinion Didn’t believe USA Today’s statistic

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With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan?

introduction
Introduction
  • Why research: this question
    • Longest war in American History
    • Current Political Issue
    • Curious to See Students opinion
    • Didn’t believe USA Today’s statistic
    • Bin Laden’s death sparked the question
      • He was a main goal of U.S.
introduction1
Introduction
  • Mr. Porter’s class, Mr. Miller, Ms. Salazar, Forensic Science Class, Ms. Preztak’s Spanish Class
  • We planned on analyzing it by
    • Accomplishment of mission, Political party, gender, grade, and support of Obama’s reelection
    • Then, Choosing the most interesting parameters to analyze
summary of experiment
Summary of Experiment
  • Cluster sample
  • Sample size 71
  • Population
    • Only Juniors and Seniors
  • Chose a survey, not an experiment
  • Biases
    • Based upon Class surveyed
    • Racial Prejudice
  • Chose Additional Questions based on what we thought would be interesting
analysis
Analysis
  • Majority of every political party agree
  • Strangely, a greater % of Republicans believe mission accomplished than Democrats
  • Against Political Party Lines
analysis1
Analysis
  • 89% of Republicans surveyed along party lines
  • Only 70% of Democrats surveyed along party lines
  • Independent and Other were about split
analysis2
Analysis
  • Wide Gap in Seniors. Almost all believe Not Accomplished. 60% difference
  • Juniors have a narrow difference of only 12%. Almost exactly the same as USA Today’s statistic
analysis3
Analysis
  • Observed has a much greater difference between accomplished and not accomplished
  • Juniors and Seniors surveyed obviously not following USA Today’s Claim
hypothesis test
Hypothesis Test
  • Proportion Test
  • Ho P = .45 (claim)
  • Ha P .45
  • a= .05
  • Critical Values= +/- 1.96
  • Test Statistic 4.539
hypothesis test1
Hypothesis Test
  • Reject Ho
  • At the 5% level of significance, there is enough evidence to reject the claim
  • The large majority of MTHS juniors and seniors believe the U.S. goal in Afghanistan is not complete even though Bin Laden is dead.
  • USA Today’s claim is not true
conclusion
Conclusion
  • With the recent death of Osama Bin Laden, did the United States accomplish their mission in Afghanistan?
    • According to MTHS Juniors and Seniors, the U.S. has not accomplished its mission in Afghanistan
  • USA Today’s claim of 45% is False
  • No Outliers
potential problems
Potential Problems
  • Surveyed more seniors than juniors
  • Surveyed more girls than boys
  • Limitations
    • Sample size of 71
    • Didn’t sample all juniors and seniors
    • Only sampled in MTHS not other schools
      • Other Schools could have provided interesting data
  • Next time, we could fix these