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Game Changing Innovations: The Foresight Approach. Axel Meisen , CM, PhD, PEng, FCAE, FCIC Chair of Foresight , Alberta Innovates – Technology Futures Edmonton, AB February 24, 2011. Foresight.

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Game Changing Innovations: The Foresight Approach


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game changing innovations the foresight approach

Game Changing Innovations:The Foresight Approach

Axel Meisen, CM, PhD, PEng, FCAE, FCIC

Chair of Foresight , Alberta Innovates – Technology Futures

Edmonton, AB February 24, 2011

foresight
Foresight

Foresight is the process of developing a range of views of possible ways in which the future could develop and understanding these sufficiently well to be able to decide what decisions can be taken today to create the best possible tomorrow.

Luke van der Laan, University of Southern Queensland, AustraliaThe Imperative of Strategic Foresight to Strategic Thinking.Journal of Future Studies August 2008, 13(1): p.27

slide3

Principal Foresight Methods

  • Expert Panels
  • Delphi surveys
  • Scenario Creation
  • Forums
  • Gaming
  • ……… Plus others
slide4

Forums

Jasper Innovation Forum 2010

Focal question in 2010:How can the health of Canadians be improved within a single generation?

slide5

Principal Forces on Health

Finances

Demographics

Behaviour

Scientific Advances

Data and Intelligence

game changer 1 demographics and finances
Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

Year 2010

$ millions

Year

slide7

Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

Year 2020

$ millions

Year

slide8

Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

Year 2030

$ millions

Year

slide9

Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

Year 2040

$ millions

Year

slide10

Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

Year 2050

$ millions

Year

slide11

Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

Year 2010

Year 2040

Year 2050

Year 2030

slide12

Game Changer #1: Demographics and Finances

$ millions

Year

game changer 2 community
Game Changer #2 Community

Action

‘Good Health Centres’

game changer 2 community2
Game Changer #2: Community

Action

Radio Frequency Identification (RFDI)

Smart Labelling

game changer 2 community3
Game Changer #2: Community

Action

Smart Labelling

game changer 2 community4
Game Changer #2: Community

Action

Smart Labelling and Information

game changer 2 community5
Game Changer #2: Community

Action

Regulations (Example: Salt)

game changer 3 experiential
Game Changer #3: Experiential

Learning

Individualized projections

game changer 3 experiential1
Game Changer #3: Experiential

Learning

Virtual Reality

game changer 4 expert systems
Game Changer #4: ‘Expert Systems’

Diagnosis

Implanted heart monitor

Femoral artery blood pressure sensor

Lab on a chip

game changer 4 expert systems3
Game Changer #4: ‘Expert Systems’

Treatment

Minimum Change disease

Anonymous specific comparisons

conclusions
Conclusions
  • Foresight provides major insights into future possibilities, thereby providing a sound basis for taking action now.
  • Some Game Changers:
    • Implications of demographics
    • Community action, e.g. centres, labelling, regulations
    • Experiential learning to affect behaviour
    • Expert systems