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Ecoinformatics Indicators workgroup. Berkeley 23-25 October, 2006 David Stanners. Overview. EEA indicators update IT systems and indicators – SEIS Aggregate & composite indicators Defining sustainability – SCP Effectiveness Evaluation. 1. EEA Indicators update.
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EcoinformaticsIndicators workgroup Berkeley 23-25 October, 2006 David Stanners
Overview • EEA indicators update • IT systems and indicators – SEIS • Aggregate & composite indicators • Defining sustainability – SCP • Effectiveness Evaluation
1. EEA Indicators update • From SOER 2005 to SOER 2010 • Belgrade report – June 2007 (see separate presentation) • GEO-4 UNEP – Sept 2007 • WHO CEHAPE review – May 2007 • Thematic indicators – biodiversity, marine... • Sectoral indicators – construction, food... • Regional – Mediterranean – EEA mandate • Sustainability indicators – SDS review – new EEA mandate – reform of structural indicators • Environment & health – BoD methodological • ”Late Lessons fron Early Warnings” Vol 2
Information & assessment tools • Statistics & monitoring data / geo-referencing as the basis • “Core set” of indicators to monitor key trends and warning signals • “Scorecard” to compare and measure progress • Environmental accounting to understand stocks & flows • Effectiveness evaluation to improve performance • Country “profiling” to understand local conditions • Good practices to share successful experiences (local, regional, national) • Scenarios to imagine plausible futures and stimulate new thinking
Problem statement – indicators as part of an monitoring/information system • Growth and divergence of indicator & reporting activities (see e.g. List of 2007 reports!) • Divergence of indicator and data activities • Divergence of assessment and indicator and data activities • Lack of temporal, spatial, discipline continuity • Lack of overall concept linking, data, indicators and assessment • Need for linking people (experts, users, stakeholders) involved – people as part of the information system Linking the different parts – Towards more Integrated & Effective Activities
The data line Data in Data out
The information cross Quantitative Data in Information out Qualitative
The Knowledge-Innovation sphere Innovation cycle Effective products & services
The data line Data in Data out
The data line Country reporting Data/Statistical compendia Reporting the best available Compiling available data Data in Data management Data out Data reports
The data line Country reporting Data/Statistical compendia Reporting the best available Compiling available data Data in Data management Data out Data reports
The information cross Quantitative Data in Information out Qualitative
The information cross Quantitative Thematic & sectoral indicator sets Sectoral data sets Core Set of Indictaors Thematic data sets SOERs etc Data in Data management Information out (Integrated) Assessments Qualitative
The information cross Quantitative Thematic & sectoral indicator sets Sectoral data sets Core Set of Indictaors Thematic data sets SOERs etc Data in Data management Information out (Integrated) Assessments Qualitative
The information cross - systemisation Quantitative CS-Indicators & IA(Modelling) SEIS Data in Data management Information out Integrated Assessments Qualitative
The information cross – the missing half Quantitative SEIS CS-Indicators & IA(M) Data in Data management Information out Integrated Assessments ?? ?? Qualitative
The information circle Quantitative SEIS CS-Indicators & IA(M) Data in Data management Information out Integrated Assessments Effectiveness evaluation Outlooks Participatory processes Scenarios Clearing houses, BATs… Practices/experiences ”Late Lessons” Qualitative
The information circle Quantitative SEIS CS-Indicators & IA(M) Data in Data management Information out Integrated Assessments Effectiveness evaluation Outlooks Participatory processes Scenarios Clearing houses, BATs ... Practices/experiences ”Late Lessons” Qualitative
The information circle – systemisation? Quantitative SEIS CS-Indicators & IA(M) Data in Data management Information out Integrated Assessments An SEIS for qualitative information? (Gathering & organising practice, experiences, lay & local knowledge) Knowledge based assessments Qualitative
The information circle - systemisation Quantitative SEIS CS-Indicators & IA(M) Data in Data management Knowledge for Action Gathering & organising practice, experiences, lay & local knowledge Knowledge based assessments Qualitative
The Knowledge-Innovation sphere Innovation cycle
Innovation cycle Effective products & services EEA/Eionet role Towards more integrated & effective activities linking the different actors knowledge for action Capacity* building Business, Children / Education..... *the ability to improve the environment and influence others Target audiences Regulatory bodies....
Reinforcing development of indicators linking to.... • Sectors • Prospective analysis, scenarios & outlooks • Model interfacing • Uncertainty/sensitivity analysis • Participatory methods • Policy effectiveness assessment • Spatial analysis .......
Reversing the thinking Reporting Assessment Information Data Monitoring Monitoring Data Information Assessment Reporting
Air pollution: Reporting Is progress in the implementation of agreed policies on ammonia enough to reach targets?
Air pollution: Assessment "Changes in agricultural practice and lower animal numbers are expected to reduce ammonia emissions to X mln tonnes above the NECD target in 2010. In Denmark, the Netherlands, Germany and Belgium it will be necessary either to reduce the amount of cattle with an additional Y% or to support the building of low-emission stables and to ban the conventional distribution of liquid manure on the fields".
Ammonia emissions, EU15 emissions N-critical load exceedance CLRTAP target NECD target Air pollution: Information
data spreadsheets bases models • Basic statistics • Emission coefficients and emissions • Scenarios for societal developments • Measures and their effects Air pollution: Data
How to codify this? • Core set of indicators • Part of indicator definitions (metadata) • Links to data sources, models,the environmental issue and policy questions • By codifying the meaning of the indicator (how it relates to the phenomena it aims to ”indicate” and the policy questions) we can automate indicator production and shift effort to assessment and interpretation.
Innovation cycle Effective products & services Networking Towards more effective products and services (knowledge for action) – a learning innovation cycle Capacity* building Business, Children / Education..... *the ability to improve the environment and influence others Target audiences Regulatory bodies....
2. IT systems and indicators - SEIS • IT systems to support presentation, access and analysis to indicator information and supporting data and metadata • Role of the European Shared Environment Information System (SEIS) • Data Centres – administrative arrangement
Data centres • EEA • Air • Climate change • Water • Biodiversity • Land use • Eurostat • Natural resources • Waste • Integrated product policy • JRC • Forestry • Soil
CORINE 1995 - 2005+: ”reporting” information system EEA Node Node 2005 – 2013+: ”shared” environment information system EEA Node Evolution of Europe’s Environmental Information System 1985 - 1995 - 2005+: ”stand alone” information system
Integrating data sets 2005 to 2008….. http://dataservice.eea.eu.int/sdi
Applied across the collaborating organisations a key component of SEEIS
3. Aggregate & composite indicators • EEA Scientific Committee opinion • Commission now reviewing seriously Ecological Footprint • Towards a basket of Aggregate indicators (common metric) • Skepticism on use of Composite indicators (no common metric) • See Excel dbase of composites
4. Defining sustainability • EU SDS review and revision of structural indicators • Sustainable consumption & production (SCP)
SDS review • SD now overarching Lisbon agenda • New request to EEA – measuring resource efficiency • Revision of structural indicators (ESTAT lead) • SCP – a more practical understanding of SDS?
Content • How we see sustainable consumption and production • A storyline of unsustainable consumption and production in Europe • Results from our NAMEA project
1. Defining SCP ‘SCP is a holistic approach to minimising negative environmental impacts from the production-consumption systems in society. SCP aims to maximize the efficiency and effectiveness of products, services, and investments so that the needs of society are met without jeopardizing the ability of future generations to meet their needs.’ (Norwegian Ministry of the Environment, Oslo Symposium, 1994)
1 (cont.) What influences consumption and production? Source: Household consumption and the environment, EEA, 2005
1 (cont.) What are the drivers? Increasing incomes Aging population Basic needs Status goods Desire to own Individualism Old habits Fitting to norms Goal of GDP growth Public procurement Infrastructure Private financing Subsidies (EU + MS) Globalisation Marketing Advertising Packaging Pricing Need for profit Energy markets Inertia of establ. industry Country specialisation