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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES
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  1. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES Office of the Federal Coordinator 25-26 July 2000 Bethesda, MD

  2. Product List Domestic - CONUS New Products What Will it Take? International Products Promising Programs OUTLINE

  3. TAFS TWEBS Area Forecast AIRMETs/SIGMETs: icing, turbulence, IFR, volcanic ash Convective SIGMETs - thunderstorms (1hr.) New: CCFP - thunderstorms outlook (2/4/6 hrs) Low Level SIGWX Product List Domestic (CONUS)

  4. Traditional Operational Products (CONUS) - text and polygons Convective SIGMETS valid at 1600UTC 28 June

  5. The Forecast Area at AWC Global Graphics 7X24 Surveillance Area Forecasts CCFP (Summer 98, 99, 2000)

  6. What will it take? The TEGO Discipline • TEST • EXPERIMENTAL • GUIDANCE • OPERATIONAL

  7. O G E T Location: PDTs, other FAA Testbed AWC Ops. NWS research labs Distribution: Uncertain ADDS/AWC ADDS/AWC NWS, NCEP, home page home page, ADDS/AWC aviation net. home page, aviation net. Availability: Uncertain 5 X 8 7 X 24 Highest Backed-up Long-term Quality: R&D Promising High Quality BEST

  8. CCFP (Collaborative Convective Forecast Product) #C-11Operational (16hrs/day; 7 months/yr) (1 April 2000) CDMNet NCWF (National Convective Weather Forecast) #C-7 GuidanceProduct (5 mins; 24hrs/day) (6 May 2000) CDMNet CDMNet (Collaborative Decision Making Network) New Products (July 2000)

  9. New Products (July 2000) IIDA (Integrated Icing Detection Algorithm) #I-6 Experimental Product  Guidance (FY2001) ADDS ITFA (Integrated Turbulence Forecast Algorithm) #T-5 Experimental Product  Guidance (FY2002) ADDS MWAVE (Mountain Wave Turbulence) #T-2 Test  Experimental Product Guidance (FY2001) AWC Homepage IIFA (Integrated Icing Forecast Algorithm) #T-8 Test ? ADDS (Aviation Digital Data Service) Experimental<www.awc-kc.noaa.gov> 1997 Supported by AWC (FY2001)

  10. CCFP New Products in FY2000 NCWF CCFP POD 0.4 BIAS 2.4 NCWF POD 0.2 BIAS 0.4 C-SIGMETS POD 0.4 BIAS 1.2

  11. What will it take? The Testbed Idea • Cooperation • Technical personnel - implement (meteorologists) • “ “ - evaluate (meteorologists) • “ “ - transfer (systems engineers) • Offline evaluation teams • Consensus of experts • On line verification (RTVS) • Operational environment for reliable delivery • Hardware, software, input data, product delivery • Training • Cooperation

  12. NWS Tech. Develop. Lab FAA Hughes Tech Center FAA Aviation Weather Research Program NCAR-RAP FAA Lincoln Labs/ MIT NOAA Forecast Systems Lab University Research Connections to Partner Research NASA AWIN WxAP Aviation Weather Center

  13. The Concept of an Aviation Testbed AWC AAWU

  14. Products model output NCEP observations Research • FSL • NCAR • Universities • Lincoln Labs • FAA Tech Center • Clients • FAA Ops. • Air Transportation • Regional • Business • General Aviation User Feedback Technology Transfer Operations 21 CWSU’s 121 WFO’s Cooperative Roles of Operations and Research

  15. The AWC Testbed is the ANVIL on which convective, turbulence, icing, ceiling visibility products are evaluated and prepared for operational applications

  16. International Responsibilities Global Graphics High Level SigWx Tropical Desk IFFDP International Products

  17. Promising Programs • Weather Service Offices (WFOs): • Dallas- Ft. Worth Collaborative Aviation Forecast Study (DCAFS) • Airport Specific TAF Amendment Criteria (ASTAC) Center Weather Service Units (CWSUs): • New equipment ( RTA Replacement) to provide FAA personnel with more accurate information • Traffic Management Unit (TMU) Needs Document • FAA and NWS forming a Team to address the goals • Future NWS products for Air Route Traffic Control Center • traffic managers • Involvement from other NOAA agencies, such as FSL • Could change products for the terminal area that would be • available for the aviation community.

  18. NWS Development Activities • Summary • NWS response to clients and users: • The National Weather Service has delivered research products into an operational environment ( CCFP, NCWF, ADDS). • Aviation weather products are now readily available on AWC Homepage, ADDS, and CDMNet. • Activities are underway to improve terminal forecasts and services to the ARTCCs • Continuing success depends on collaboration, partnership, and resources.