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Biophysical control of ecosystem services Robert Dunford

Biophysical control of ecosystem services Robert Dunford Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford. What is OpenNESS? Ope rationalizatio n of n atural capital and e cosystem s ervice s : from concepts to real-world applications. EU contribution: 9 M€

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Biophysical control of ecosystem services Robert Dunford

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  1. Biophysical control of ecosystem services Robert Dunford Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford

  2. What is OpenNESS? • Operationalization of natural capital and ecosystem services: from concepts to real-world applications. • EU contribution: 9 M€ • Coordinated by SYKE (Finnish Environmental Institute) • Transdisciplinary consortium of 35 Partners • EU FP7 project, from December 2012 to May 2017 • Still very much in the preparation stage

  3. Who is involved? 3

  4. What will OpenNESSdo? • Our goal is to critically examine the potential of the concepts of ES and NC to inform sustainable land, water and urban management at different locales and scales, and across different sectors • Operationalization – embedding into practice – how can decision makers, practitioners and other stakeholders really use these concepts.

  5. How? • 1: Concepts of ES & NC • 2: Regulatory frameworks • 3: Biophysical methods • 4: Valuation methods • 5: Case studies

  6. Methods Case Studies • Iterative approach • Work streams that interact throughout project • Reviews & Methods • Case studies • Recursively interact at cross-work package workshops • Setting up the case studies • Review existing methods and define research questions • Workshop 1: Match problems to methods • Development of methods frameworks • Testing of methods in case studies • Workshop 2: Review interim results • Method refinement • Further method testing in case studies • Workshop 3: Review near-final results • Final refinement • Final methods and frameworks • Final application • Overall lessons learned • Recursively interact

  7. Casestudies • Case-study focus • Multiple locales • Multiple sectors • Multiple scales • Multiple times • Practical real-world application Firstname Surname, Organization 7

  8. Biophysical control of ecosystem services • OpenNESS WP3 • Aim: To develop and refine approaches for mapping and modelling the biophysical control of ES which can be used to assess the effectiveness of mechanisms, instruments and best management practices for sustaining ES delivery in the face of multiple uncertain drivers whilst conserving biodiversity.

  9. Task 3.1: Analyse the contribution of NC stocks to ES flows • Literature review on linkages between biodiversity and ES: • Identification of possible thresholds where further biodiversity loss would severely compromise ecosystem functioning and ES delivery. • Database to summarise the outcomes from the review. • Operational classification system of different types of NC–ES relationships. • Documentation of the dominant ES in each of the case studies, the functions which support those services and the biodiversity that underpins those functions.

  10. Casestudies • Example: BESAFE methodology • Simple, pragmatic approach to systematic literature review Firstname Surname, Organization 10 10 18.9.2014

  11. Casestudies • Example: BESAFE literature review • Carbon sequestration Firstname Surname, Organization 11

  12. Casestudies • Example: BESAFE network • Carbon sequestration Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 12

  13. Task 3.2: Develop methods for investigating the effects of multiple drivers on ES supply • Development and/or refinement of spatially-explicit methods/models: • Build on existing approaches and models were possible. • Range of methods/models for case studies depending on level of data availability and expert knowledge (includes BBNs to link with other WPs). • Broadscale context provided by global and European models, including trade-offs between ES provision in Europe and the rest of the world. • All models will be used to analyse the effects of multiple drivers on ES supply and quantify biophysical trade-offs between different ES. Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University

  14. Casestudies • Example: CLIMSAVE • FP7 project • 5 years • Ends Oct 2013 • 4 emissions scenarios • 5 GCMs • 3 levels of climate sensitivity Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 14 14 18.9.2014

  15. Casestudies Example: CLIMSAVE multi-sectoral Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 15 15 18.9.2014

  16. Casestudies Example: CLIMSAVE socio-economic futures Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 16 16 18.9.2014

  17. Casestudies Example: CLIMSAVE interconnected meta-models Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 17 17 18.9.2014

  18. Casestudies • Example: CLIMSAVE Ecosystem Services • Food provision • Timber supply • Water availability • Days for skiing • Potential climate suitability for hunting/pollinator/ charismaticspecies etc. Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 18 18 18.9.2014

  19. Casestudies • Example: PEERESTIMAP • The Recreation Opportunity Spectrum (ROS) for Europe classifies ecosystems in three classes of accessibility and three classes of recreation potential Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 19 19 18.9.2014

  20. Casestudies • Example: PEERESTIMAP • Relative pollinator abundance across Europe • http://www.peer.eu/fileadmin/user_upload/publications/PEER_report_4_phase_2.pdf Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 20 20 18.9.2014

  21. Existing models –what do they capture 18.9.2014

  22. What is missing? • Provisioning • Supporting • Regulating • Social/Cultural • Models for now? • Models for the future? • Scale/Resolution etc. to match real stakeholder needs? 18.9.2014

  23. Casestudies • OpenNESS Database • Consolidate existingknowledge • Model details: • Ecosystem services • Direct & proxy • Approach • Scale • Temporal Resolution • Data requirements • Link to case studies Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 23 23 18.9.2014

  24. Task 3.3: Comparing ES supply with biodiversity conservation objectives to inform management • Comparison of outputs from Task 3.2 with current environmental objectives and policy targets to identify synergies and conflicts and to prioritise investments in NC. • Assessment of the effectiveness of various mechanisms and instruments, such as tradeable permits and regulatory price signals, for achieving the dual goals of sustainable ES flows and biodiversity conservation. • Assessment of the potential of land and ecosystem accounting for supporting the sustainable management of ES. Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University

  25. Casestudies • Policy – ES relationships • Use policy targets to test hypotheses 1) that reaching policy targets achieves greater delivery of Ecosystem services 2) that the way we measure ecosystem function is sufficient to measure status Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 25

  26. Casestudies • Informing policy • Matching policy drivers with ecosystem targets Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University SustainableUnsustainablering ring 26

  27. Task 3.4: Guidelines for application within the WP5 case studies • Describes the applicability, benefits and limitations (including uncertainty) of each method for the different ES problem types tested within WP5. • Which methods are appropriate for application for different decision-making contexts, spatial and temporal scales and the availability of data/expert knowledge. • Will be developed, tested and refined iteratively with the case studies over the course of the project. • Links to the other WPs. Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University

  28. Casestudies • Conclusions • OpenNESS: aim to critically evaluate the use of Natural Capital and ecosystem service concepts in the “real-world”. • Runs December 2012 to May 2017 so in planning stage • Will look at biophysical control of ecosystem approaches through literature review and method/model collation … • … with aim of linking to real-world case studies. • Lots of methods/models within the consortium • Interested in any additional models that can help contribute to this. Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 28

  29. Thank you for your time Robert Dunford Robert.Dunford@OUCE.ox.ac.uk Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University

  30. Casestudies OpenNESS Database – Relevant Literature Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 30 30 18.9.2014

  31. OpenNESS Database – Model Outputs Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 31 31 18.9.2014

  32. Casestudies OpenNESS Database – Modelling approach Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 32 32 18.9.2014

  33. Casestudies OpenNESS Database – Spatial Scale Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 33 33 18.9.2014

  34. Casestudies OpenNESS Database – Data needs Robert Dunford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford University 34 34 18.9.2014

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