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Extended Range Prediction for 2014 Season

Explore the detailed forecast based on initial conditions dated 18th October 2014 by India Meteorological Department's Ministry of Earth Sciences. Daily evolution of rainfall, wind, vorticity, divergence, and winds presented. Contact IMD for interpretation.

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Extended Range Prediction for 2014 Season

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  1. Disclaimer The material contained in this PPT is a raw model output and research product. This is meant for scientific use. For any clarification/interpretation, please contact India Meteorological Department.

  2. Extended range prediction during 2014 season INITIAL CONDITION: 18th October 2014 Working group on Extended Range Prediction Ministry of Earth Sciences, Govt. of India

  3. This forecast has been prepared using the CFST126 (11 member) and CFST382(11 member) separately Real-time forecast based on 18th October 2014 initial condition

  4. Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by CFST126)

  5. Daily evolution of rainfall and wind at 850hPa (by CFST382)

  6. Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by CFST126)

  7. Daily evolution of vorticity at 850hPa and mean sea level pressure (by CFST382)

  8. Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa (by CFST126)

  9. Daily evolution of divergence and winds at 200hPa (by CFST382)

  10. Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by CFST126)

  11. Predicted pentad wise rainfall (by CFST382)

  12. Key points from the present forecast • We are starting Extended Range Forecast beyond monsoon season. Complete presentation will be available from mid-October.

  13. Thanks…..

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