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National survey-1,328 voters, Three focus groups-swing voters September 2007

P e t e r D. HART. RESEARCH. A. S. S. O. C. I. A. T. E. S. Winning The Battle Of Budget. Research conducted for Americans United, AFSCME, and USAction. National survey-1,328 voters, Three focus groups-swing voters September 2007.

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National survey-1,328 voters, Three focus groups-swing voters September 2007

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  1. P e t e r D HART RESEARCH A S S O C I A T E S Winning The Battle Of Budget Research conducted for Americans United, AFSCME, and USAction National survey-1,328 voters, Three focus groups-swing votersSeptember 2007

  2. In veto fights over appropriations, Democrats start with an edge. When you hear that President Bush will veto several of the Democrats’ appropriations bills for these reasons, who are you more inclined to side with on this issue? “President Bush has said he will veto several of the appropriations bills for federal spending being considered by the Democratic Congress. President Bush says the Democrats' appropriation bills contain too many wasteful pork-barrel spending projects, and go too far in busting the budget and increasing government spending. Democrats say their bills make responsible and necessary invest-ments in important priorities that the Bush administration has short-changed.” 46% 40% Much more 26% Much more 25% Side with theDemocrats Side with Pres. Bush

  3. A Democratic frame based on GOP willingness to fund Iraq but not priorities at home trumps the toughest GOP hits on Democrats. In this pair of statements, which concerns you more? Pres. Bush/ GOPs will oppose needed funding for prioritiesafter spending so much in Iraq Demo-crats 82% 9% Inde-pendents 50% 32% Repub-licans 14% 77% Democrats will raise spending/ pork barrels/ raise taxes Bush/GOPs will opposeneeded funding for priorities after spending so much in Iraq Democrats will raise spending/pork barrels/ raise taxes

  4. Voters side with Democrats over Bush on a wide range of specifics. All voters $3.7 B more than Bush on veterans’ health care $630M more than Bush on highways/bridges=jobs $1 B more than Bush on disease research $200 M more than Bush on health care for uninsured $35 B more than Bush on S-CHIP for uninsured kids $2 B more than Bush on homeland security $65 M more than Bush on food/medicine safety $1.5 B more than Bush on schools/Head Start $1.6 M more than Bush on law enforcement/crime 74% 71% 65% 64% 63% 68% 67% 63% 63%

  5. Agree with Democrats 88%59%33% 63%63%64% Agree with Democrats 57%69% 74%68% 64%62% DemocratsIndependentsRepublicans 2004 red states2004 purple states2004 blue states MenWomen Unmarried womenWhite non-college women Under age 50Age 50/over Support for Democrats on S-CHIP cuts across key electoral groups. All voters Spending $35 B more than Bush wants on S-CHIP to provide affordable health insurance touninsured children 63%

  6. Making the Democratic case turns a narrow edge into a strong advantage. When you hear that President Bush will veto several of the Democrats’ appropriations/spending bills, with whom are you more inclined to side? Support after Arguments Initial Support TotalDemGain Demo-crats PresBush Dems– Bush Demo-crats PresBush Dems– Bush All voters Swing votersIndependents Men/non-collegeMen/college grad Women/non-collegeWomen/college grad 46% 33%37% 33%33% 41%49% 40% 40%32% 52%59% 40%40% +6 -7+5 -19-26 +1+9 57% 53%57% 44%38% 58%59% 31% 25%18% 42%56% 27%34% +26 +28+39 +2-18 +31+25 +20 +35+34 +21 +8 +30+16

  7. P e t e r D HART RESEARCH A S S O C I A T E S Winning The Battle Of Budget: Framing The Best Case In The Upcoming Appropriations Fights Research conducted for Americans United, AFSCME, and USAction National survey-1,328 voters, Three focus groups-swing votersSeptember 2007

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