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ATHENA 09. Future Threats, Dangers and Risks seen by a neutral State. Colonel Peter Schneider, 01.10.09. Classic military threats New military risks and threats Non-military dangers and risks. Air/Land Battle in Europe. KFOR, Sarajevo HQ, Skopje HQ. Iraq NTM-I. ACTIVE ENDEAVOUR.

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slide1

ATHENA 09

Future Threats, Dangers and Risks seen by a neutral State

Colonel Peter Schneider, 01.10.09

slide2

Classic military threats

  • New military risks and threats
  • Non-military dangers and risks
slide6

KFOR, Sarajevo HQ, Skopje HQ

Iraq NTM-I

ACTIVE ENDEAVOUR

Allied Protector

ISAF

EUBAM

EUMM Georgia

EUPOL AFGHANISTAN

EUFOR-ALTHEA, EUPM BiH

EU BAM Rafah

EULEX KOSOVO

EUPOL COPPS

EU SSR Guinea-Bissau

EUJUST LEX Iraq

EUSEC DR CONGO

EU NAVFOR Somalia

EUPOL DR CONGO

slide15

8

6

4

2

2050

1600

1900

1950

2000

1800

slide17

%

100

bio

8

85

%

100

8

6

80

4

33

2

2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

2000

slide19

Energy consumption

33.8%

27.2%

5.4%

22.6%

11.0%

slide20

< 0.1 %

0.1 – 0.5 %

0.5 – 1 %

1 – 5 %

5 – 15 %

15 – 34 %

% Adults with HIV Infection (33 - 46 million)

Pandemic

slide23

Male

Female

75+

60-74

45-59

30-44

15-29

0-14

30

20

10

0

0

10

20

30

[%]

[%]

Population Age Distribution: Germany 2050

slide24

Aging Population

  • Lower Birthrates
  • Elder Parents
  • Taxes
  • Birthrates
  • Immigration