Excellence in public administration for competitiveness. Mariana GHITOI Enterprise and Industry B2-Europe 2020 and National Competitiveness Policies 5 April 2013. Content. What is the context? What is the link between public administration and competitiveness?

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Uncertainty in Uncertainty. Uncertainty in Uncertainty. Within a factor of 2. Impact of noise on precision; applications to GPS data in New Madrid Seismic Zone. GIPSY Processing of GPS; central US Short tutorial Estimating the background noise from GPS

Psychology of Personal Decision-Making. Uncertainty. Pascal. “It is not certain that everything is uncertain”. Agenda. Uncertainty !. A perplexing thought?. “If we can’t be certain about future consequences of alternatives, how can we be confident we choose best?”. What to do?.

Uncertainty. How “certain” of the data are we? How much “error” does it contain? How well does the model match reality?. Goal: Understand and document uncertainties from data collection to publication. LifeMapper: Tamarix chinensis. LifeMapper.org. LifeMapper: Loggerhead Turtles.

Uncertainty. Chapter 13. Outline. Uncertainty Probability Syntax and Semantics Inference Independence and Bayes' Rule. Uncertainty. Let action A t = leave for airport t minutes before flight Will A t get me there on time? Problems:

Uncertainty. ECE457 Applied Artificial Intelligence Spring 2007 Lecture #8. Outline. Uncertainty Probability Bayes’ Theorem Russell & Norvig, chapter 13. Limit of FOL. FOL works only when facts are known to be true or false “Some purple mushrooms are poisonous”

Uncertainty. Logical approach problem: we do not always know complete truth about the environment Example: Leave(t) = leave for airport t minutes before flight Query: ?. Problems. Why can’t we determine t exactly? Partial observability road state, other drivers’ plans

Probabilities and Belief Networks. Uncertainty. Burglary. Earthquake. P(B)=.001. P(E)=.002. B E | P(A) T T | .95 T F | .94 F T | .29 F F | .001. Alarm. JohnCalls. A | P(J) T | .90 F | .05. A | P(M) T | .70 F | .01. MaryCalls.

Uncertainty. Chapter 13. Uncertainty. Let action A t = leave for airport t minutes before flight Will A t get me there on time? Problems: partial observability (road state, other drivers' plans, noisy sensors) uncertainty in action outcomes (flat tire, etc.)

Uncertainty. Introducation. This chapter talk about: uncertainty discusses its principles cases and the sources of geographic uncertainty The ways in which they operate in GIS . Techniques for developing uncertainty in GIS.