'Simple exponential smoothing' presentation slideshows

Forecasting using simple models

Forecasting using simple models. Outline. Basic forecasting models The basic ideas behind each model When each model may be appropriate Illustrate with examples Forecast error measures Automatic model selection Adaptive smoothing methods (automatic alpha adaptation)

1.79k views • 144 slides

MOVING AVERAGES AND EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING

MOVING AVERAGES AND EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHING. Dr. Mohammed Alahmed http://fac.ksu.edu.sa/alahmed alahmed@ksu.edu.sa (011) 4674108. Introduction. This chapter introduces models applicable to time series data with seasonal, trend, or both seasonal and trend component and stationary data.

656 views • 58 slides

Session 10a

683 views • 51 slides

BABS 502 Moving Averages, Decomposition and Exponential Smoothing Revised March 11, 2014

BABS 502 Moving Averages, Decomposition and Exponential Smoothing Revised March 11, 2014. Single Exponential Smoothing. One-step ahead forecast is the weighted average of current value and past forecast F t (1) = a( Current Value)+ (1- a ) Past Forecast = a X t + (1- a ) F t-1 (1)

799 views • 28 slides

ENGM 745 Forecasting for Business & Technology Paula Jensen

ENGM 745 Forecasting for Business & Technology Paula Jensen. 3rd Session 2/01/12: Chapter 3 Moving Averages and Exponential Smoothing. South Dakota School of Mines and Technology, Rapid City. Agenda & New Assignment. ch3(1,5,8,11)

505 views • 27 slides