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Probability assessment - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MEDICAL DECISION MAKING

MEDICAL DECISION MAKING. Dr. Ali M. Hadianfard (Medical Informatics) Faculty member of AJUMS (paramedical school) http:// www.alihadianfard.info / download.html. Further reading.

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1.49k views • 126 slides

CHAPTER 7

CHAPTER 7. Subjective Probability and Bayesian Inference. 7. 1. Subjective Probability. Personal evaluation of probability by individual decision maker Uncertainty exists for decision maker: probability is just a way of measuring it

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566 views • 46 slides

Chapter 8

Chapter 8. Subjective Probability. Chapter 8, Subjective Probability. Learning Objectives: Uncertainty and public policy Subjective probability-assessment technique Heuristics and Biases Experts and Probability Assessment. Chapter 8,Subjective Probability.

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367 views • 19 slides

Challenge: Differences between social & natural sciences Information used Analyses

Guidance Notes for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report on Addressing Uncertainties. Challenge: Differences between social & natural sciences Information used Analyses Indicators of change. Table 1. A simple typology of uncertainties. Often underestimated by experts!.

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52 views • 5 slides

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Probability assessment - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

MEDICAL DECISION MAKING

CHAPTER 7

Chapter 8

Challenge: Differences between social &amp; natural sciences Information used Analyses

Challenge: Differences between social & natural sciences Information used Analyses