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Please, move slowly through this PPP + with timed features. California High Speed Rail And how to get the best rail for the best price!. Fredrick Schermer Penta Publishing Production . California High Speed Rail.

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slide1

Please, move slowly through this

PPP + with timed features

slide2

California High Speed RailAnd how to get the best rail for the best price!

FredrickSchermer

Penta Publishing Production 

slide3

California High Speed Rail

What would aliens conclude when looking from outer space at the California high-speed rail system?

slide4

Aliens could conclude thatCalifornia has central command,

is living in a 19th/20th Century setting,

and that Fresno is its Capital !

slide5

Aliens know that the fastest

line is a straight line, and

wonder about big bends.

There are no connections

between the 5 terminals; an

indication that these locations are not of most importance.

First to notice are

five terminals;

some in close proximity.

slide6

Aliens know that the fastest

line is a straight line, and

wonder about big bends.

They conclude that the

geographical situation

must force the result.

slide7

What are the locations

where the most important

humans reside?

This well connected location is

more impor- tant than either

location in the south.

This location must be

important too, but less so than:

This location must be important.

More so than the two

nearby un-connectedterminal locations.

This location is important but ranks

below the other because it is not

connected to the San Diego terminal.

slide8

FRESNO ! ! !

FRESNO ! ! !

FRESNO ! ! !

FRESNO ! ! !

FRESNO ! ! !

Fresno is connected to all terminals

and to all important locations. No doubt about it! It’s the Capital.

slide9

California has central command

over large population centers -

themselves not interconnected!

slide10

California must be in a 19th/20th C.

time frame based on it not making

optimal use of transit system

knowledge of the 20th/21st Century

(more about this later).

slide11

Let’s start from what we’ve got!

Let’s first look at population distribution.

slide12

3,000,000 people

7,300,000 people

15,600,000 people

Source:

Rand 2007

3,300,000 people

slide13

+

3,000,000 people

7,300,000 people

29,200,000people

77.5% of the entire

California population

15,600,000 people

More than 3 out of

every 4 Californians

3,300,000 people

slide14

3,000,000 people

Medium sized cities

with growth forecasts

Small but still

important cities

7,300,000 people

15,600,000 people

Source:

Rand 2007

3,300,000 people

slide15

Making side trips to smaller

cities on the left and right

diminishes the high speed

product.

The number of stops needs

to be as few as possible to

maximize speed and use.

Only one place lies close by

enough to change this

alignment without

negative impact.

The next step is to

connect the remaining largest population centers, while keeping

a close eye on direction and speed.

The two largest population centers must receive prime position and connect on a straight line to maximize speed and attraction for the largest populations.

Population

15,600,000

7,300,000

3,300,000

3,000,000

800,000

--------------

30,000,000

3,000,000

7,300,000 people

800,000 people

15,600,000 people

3,300,000 people

slide16

This is the F3MA

Fastest

Maximum

Money

Making

Alignment

Population

15,600,000

7,300,000

3,300,000

3,000,000

800,000

--------------

30,000,000

slide17

Let’s look at the rail

transit systems already

in place, ‘easy’ to put

in place, or easy to adjust, that could deliver further support

for this alignment.

Population

15,600,000

7,300,000

3,300,000

3,000,000

800,000

--------------

30,000,000

550,000

2,850,000

1,700,000

1,900,000

--------------

37,000,000

98% Population

slide18

Having local rail transit in placeimproves the number of people using High Speed Rail.

Areas with local rail transit

Areas without it

slide19

Fewest Stops of F3MA High Speed Rail

Sacramento Station

San Francisco Bay

Station (Oakland)

San Jose Station

Avenal Station

Bakersfield Station

Los Angeles Station

Burbank Station

Orange County Station

San Diego Station

slide20

What would the result be for California in 2050?

Areas with acceleratedgrowth due to version A:

slide21

Version B shows a further concentration of the existing urban areas;as desired in the plans for California (SB375).

Growth acceleration

due to version B:

slide22

Operational Differences

San Francisco Bay Station

San Diego Station

slide23

For the same operational level of service, one needs to

go faster

Either way is more expensive or lead to the California High-Speed Rail perform slower.

or use more trains

SFB Station

SD Station

slide24

Are others making the same decisions as California?

Let’s view the High-Speed Rail decisions made in the Netherlands, where The Hague and Rotterdamare found along the best alignment.

Yet having a stop in both cities diminishesthe High-Speed Rail product.

The Hague is where the decision makers reside;

12 miles away from Rotterdam.

slide25

High-Speed Rail

Decisions in Holland

Which city should have a station?

Rotterdam?

The Hague?

The government decides and is seated inThe Hague.

Source: Mapping Netherlands B.V.

slide26

Amsterdam

Source: GVB

Rotterdam

Source: High Speed Rail Netherlands

Source: RET

slide27

In Europe all High-Speed lines are designed along straight lines fromimportant city toimportant city.

Not only did the decision makers decide against themselves in The Hague, not getting the best connectionwith the European Capital of Brussels nor with Paris and London,but the stations In Amsterdam and Rotterdamare not perse in the hearts of the cities, but at the hearts of transit: the well-connected Central Stations.

The High-Speed Rail alignment is a straight line from A to B, and the reason is simply, because not making the top performer in transit perform at its best, trickles down anddiminishes all forms of transit hooking up with that High-Speed Rail.

That would be a waste of money.

slide29

Version A

Version B

Fast

Faster

Expensive to build

Expensive to build

Expensive to operate

Less expensive to operate

Politicians’ decision

Product-based decision

Future adjustments easier

Future adjustments possible

Urban California spreading

Urban California spreading less

Politicians’ dream

Users’ dream

Requires less investing inregular infrastructure (roads)

Requires more investing inregular infrastructure (roads)

literature review
Literature Review
  • California High-Speed Rail Authority http://www.cahighspeedrail.ca.gov/
  • Metropolitan Transportation Commission http://www.mtc.ca.gov/
  • California Department of Transportation

http://www.dot.ca.gov/

  • San Francisco City Scape

http://www.sfcityscape.com/

  • Bay Area Council

http://www.bayareacouncil.org/

  • SPURhttp://www.spur.org
  • California Light Rail

http://www.lightrail.com/usstates/california.htm

  • Pushkarev, B., J. Zupan
  • Urban Rail in America, An Exploration of Criteria forFixed- Guideway Transit (1982) Indiana University Press, Bloomington
  • Vuchic, Vukan R.
  • Urban Transportation Systems and Technology (1982) Prentice- Hall, Englewood Cliffs
slide31

California High Speed RailAnd how to get the best rail for the best price!

FredrickSchermer

Penta Publishing Production

Email: fredrick@pentapublishing.com