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This report presents a detailed analysis of the electric grid's adequacy assessment for the years 2015 to 2017. It includes multiple adequacy metrics, curtailment statistics, hourly and monthly probability curves, market resources analysis, borrowed hydro usage, and preliminary assessments for the future. Future work involves finalizing assumptions, updating data, and creating a prototype report. The report aims to assess and enhance the electric grid's reliability and performance.
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State of the System Report Technical Committee Meeting January 27, 2012
Overall Structure of Report • Adequacy Assessment – Green, YelloworRed • Multiple adequacy metrics • Curtailment statistics and conditions when they occur • Annual probability curves [Not sure we need this] • Monthly probability curves and LOLP values • Market resources • Borrowed hydro • Hourly probability curves by month • Market resources • Borrowed hydro
Likelihood of using Market Resources and Borrowed Hydro For Illustration Only – From a Test Simulation
Average use of Market Resources and Borrowed Hydro For Illustration Only – From a Test Simulation
Monthly Average IPP Dispatch Probability Curve For Illustration Only – From a Test Simulation
SW Market Hourly PurchaseProbability Curve 1000 MW of Off-Peak also
Future Work • Finalize assumptions • Update data • Load • Resources • Contracts • Develop a prototype State of the System report • Create a web site to host the State of the System results • Assess adequacy for 2017 • Complete the State of the System report for 2017